FxWirePro: EUR/SEK “diagonal credit call spreads” to tackle dovish Riksbank and robust uptrend

Jul 18, 2016 14:54 pm UTC| Insights & Views

We are downgrading the SEK forecast by 1-1.5% to reflect the stubbornly dovish outlook for monetary policy and the unrelenting appetite for carry which has continued to flatten the Swedish yield curve and compress...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: EUR/CHF maintains least IVs among G10 currency pool, risk reversal signals choppy range - Time for counting on “Strangle Shorts”

Jul 18, 2016 14:50 pm UTC| Insights & Views

The EURCHF OTC FX options market appears to be bland in the non-directional trend over the 1w to 3m time horizon as the hedgers have not been showing any interest in this period and as a result delta risk reversal for...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Hedging flavours of EM Asian currency baskets ahead of economic data season

Jul 18, 2016 12:19 pm UTC| Insights & Views

Malaysia CPI (Wed) is expected to fall to 1.8% from 2.0%. We expect one more rate cut in this cycle (link) as the growth picture is not encouraging. Consumer prices rose 2.0 pct YoY in May of 2016, compared to a 2.1 pct...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: TRY struggles to hold onto early gains – Credit Put Spreads likely to fetch handsome yields while serving hedging objectives to bears

Jul 18, 2016 10:15 am UTC| Insights & Views

Developments in Turkey late on Friday during the NY trading session put a damper on the EM FX rally. The TRY suffered its largest daily loss since the 2008 crisis and the risk-off tone permeated across emerging markets....

Australia's Q2 inflation outcome likely to be soft enough to keep August rate cut alive

Jul 18, 2016 10:12 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy Central Banks

Australian government releases inflation data on a quarterly basis. Official Australias Q2 CPI data is scheduled to be released on Wednesday, 27th July and are keenly awaited after the extremely weak Q1 print. Australias...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Turkish CAD may dampen prospects lira but political stability adds cushion to potential slumps – Hedge USD/TRY for upside risks

Jul 18, 2016 07:43 am UTC| Insights & Views

Turkey has the second largest current account deficit as a percent of GDP in the major EM economies and also the second worst basic balance (current account plus FDI). Being heavily reliant on fickle portfolio and...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: 1m NZD/USD IV skew indicates lower strikes on upper hand – “CCS” to serve both hedging and speculating motives

Jul 18, 2016 07:25 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

1m ATM IVs are trending more than 14% which is favourable for option holders. As you can glance through the skewness in 1m IVs of NZDUSD, they highlight more probabilities of underlying spot sensitiveness to the ITM...