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FxWirePro: A run through on buying 2M25D risk-reversals against shorting 9M35D USD puts/CNH calls

May 09, 2017 10:20 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Hedging back-end USDCNH option shorts with front-end risk-reversals (equal USD notionals on all legs) does not detract from short vol returns while reducing drawdowns by 30%-40% Cum. P/Ls (bp USD) from i) selling 9M 35D...

FxWirePro: Are you dubious on GBP/JPY’s major trend? Snap rallies to write exorbitant puts to reduce cost of “Put Ratio Back Spreads” for hedging

May 09, 2017 10:13 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Brexit caused two Sterling debacles, first in June with the vote and then after the summer when PM May suggested a hard exit. In spite of GBPJPY downtrend, election clears the way for a longer and smoother Brexit...

FxWirePro: More RORO than Euro-up on perplexed macro plot, OTC FX to substantiate

May 09, 2017 07:33 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Macrons victory has been greeted by markets with a big yawn, which in hindsight should not be too surprising given that it was anticipated. The euro had rallied last week in expectation of a Macron presidency. Perhaps...

Government spending explained in 10 charts; from Howard to Turnbull

May 09, 2017 03:51 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics Economy

Successive Australian governments are usually judged on how they balance the budget and spend taxpayers dollars. The stereotypes are that Liberal governments keep a tight hold on the purse strings, while Labor governments...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Easing trend in Chinese Trade - Calendar straddles for USD/CNH and relative value delta hedging for EUR/CNH

May 08, 2017 12:36 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The Chinese PMIs indicate easing Trend in Trade: Chinas NBS manufacturing PMI eased in April, declining to 51.2 from 51.8 in March, which was the highest reading since April 2012. Easing was broad-based across the major...

FxWirePro: VXY vols print fresh Fed-cycle lows after French polls

May 08, 2017 12:23 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

VXY printed fresh Fed-cycle lows this past week and is screening 1 vol cheap vis-à-vis macro correlations. The undershoot is not yet at historical extremes but bears close watching in a seasonally volatile...

China’s export growth momentum likely to soften in Q2, outlook to remain stable through 2017

May 08, 2017 12:11 pm UTC| Economy Insights & Views

Chinas exports and imports data surprised negatively in April, suggesting that Chinas export growth momentum is likely to soften in Q2. Data released earlier on Monday that Chinas exports in April rose 8 percent...

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Economy

Nigerians throw naira notes around to show love: but it could land you in jail

The legal implication of physically damaging the naira, Nigerias currency, came into focus recently with the prosecution of at least two celebrities by the countrys Economic and Financial Crimes Commission. Nigeria has a...

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Politics

Sudan’s civil war is rooted in its historical favouritism of Arab and Islamic identity

The current civil war in Sudan goes beyond a simple power struggle between two generals. It reflects a deep-rooted crisis within the countrys governing structure thats been present since it gained independence from the...

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

The politics stopping the UK from opening a youth mobility scheme with Europe

Earlier this week, it seemed possible that young people in the UK might soon be able to travel freely to work and live in Europe again. The European Commission laid out proposals to open mobility to millions of 18- to...

Biden administration tells employers to stop shackling workers with ‘noncompete agreements’

Most American workers are hired at will: Employers owe their employees nothing in the relationship except earned wages, and employees are at liberty to quit at their option. As the rule is generally stated, either party...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Technology

Samsung's Galaxy S25 Rumored to Boost Longevity with 'Battery AI'

Samsungs upcoming Galaxy S25 Ultra is poised to incorporate Battery AI, an innovative technology promising to improve battery life by up to 10% through smarter energy management. Unlocking the Potential of Battery AI in...

AI Protocol Render (RNDR) Soars 15% As Bitcoin Fights For Balance

As Bitcoin grapples with market volatility, altcoin Render (RNDR) stands out with a remarkable 15% surge, showcasing its resilience amid the crypto markets tumult. This surge comes as Bitcoin struggles to find stability,...

Huawei's Covert US Funding Scheme Raises Eyebrows Amid Export Ban

The revelation of Huaweis discreet sponsorship of U.S. research through a Washington-based foundation has reignited concerns about the efficacy of the export ban. Despite regulatory hurdles, the tech giant managed to fund...

Crypto.com's F1 Sponsorship Expansion Sparks Global Visibility Drive

Crypto.com, one of the top exchanges in the digital currency ecosystem, is set to expand its sporting ad budget. Notably, the trading platform is looking to expand its dominance in its push for global...

Stablecoins Set to Overtake Visa, Ripple CEO Affirms XRP and ETH Not Securities

Stablecoins are poised to challenge Visas dominance in payment volume, marking a significant shift in the crypto landscape. Meanwhile, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse asserts that XRP and Ethereum (ETH) are not securities,...