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Adrian Beaumont

Adrian Beaumont

I am a PhD student at the University of Melbourne’s Department of Mathematics and Statistics. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. In the lead-up to the Australian Federal election, I will be writing a post every week about the latest polls and what they mean for the number of seats that will be won by each party in the 150-member Australian House of Representatives.

No chance of US gun control despite Las Vegas massacre; NZ left gains two seats after special votes

Oct 08, 2017 02:14 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

In the last decade, there have been many horrific gun crimes in the US, where at least 10 people have been murdered in the one incident. However, the National Rifle Association has successfully fought all efforts to impose...

Former FBI director James Comey very likely caused Trump's win

May 13, 2017 03:14 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

On Tuesday, Donald Trump dramatically sacked FBI director James Comey. There has been speculation that Comey was fired in an attempt to prevent an FBI investigation into Trumps ties to Russia. While such an...

US under Trump Series

Obamacare repeal vote shows power of US hard right

May 07, 2017 09:01 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics Law

Since the passage of the 2010 Affordable Care Act, otherwise known as Obamacare, Republicans have attempted to repeal it. In March, the first attempt to repeal and replace Obamacare under President Trump failed, as both...

US under Trump Series

Anti-Trump backlash at US by-elections

Apr 12, 2017 14:44 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Today, a by-election was held in Kansas fourth Congressional District (CD) for election to the US House. This CD is very conservative, and voted for Donald Trump by 60-33 against Hillary Clinton at the 2016 election. At...

US Election Series

US under Trump Series

US election final results: how Trump won

Dec 17, 2016 15:00 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

At the US election held on 8 November, Donald Trump won the Electoral College by 306 Electoral Votes (EVs), to 232 EVs for Hillary Clinton. While this seems a convincing victory, Trump won four states by 1.2% or less:...

Briferendum Series

Coalition likely to win following Brexit

Jun 28, 2016 20:49 pm UTC| Politics Insights & Views

The UKs vote to leave the European Union (Brexit) was known by the afternoon of the 24 June Melbourne time. The ReachTEL and Galaxy polls in the table were both taken entirely before the Brexit result was known. The one...

US Election Series

Clinton clinches Democratic nomination after big wins in New Jersey and California

Jun 08, 2016 11:38 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Hillary Clinton today clinched the Democratic Presidential nomination, following big wins in the two highest population states voting. She won New Jersey (126 pledged delegates) 63-37 and California (475) 56-43. She also...

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Economy

German bunds surge ahead of October manufacturing PMI, ECB policy rate decision

The German bunds surged Monday as investors wait to watch the countrys manufacturing PMI for the month of October, scheduled to be released on October 24 by 07:30GMT. Also, markets await the European Central Banks (ECB)...

Singapore headline consumer inflation stabilizes in September, in line with estimates

Singapores headline inflation stabilized at 0.4 percent in September, in line with market estimates. Core inflation edged up slightly due to an increase in services costs and telecommunications fees in particular. As...

US dollar likely to advance against EM Asian currencies in weeks ahead, says Scotiabank

The US dollar is expected to advance against the emerging market currencies over the coming weeks, according to a report from Scotiabank. The US Senate approved a Republican-backed 2018 budget on a 51-49 vote last Thursday...

FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 23rd October 2017

Few economic data and events scheduled for today and all with low to medium volatility risks associated. Data released so far: China: House price index is up 6.3 percent y/y in...

JGBs little changed despite PM Abe’s tumultuous snap election win

The Japanese government bonds remained little changed at the start of the trading week Monday even as the countrys snap elections held over the weekend yielded results as per market expectations, with Prime Minister Shinzo...

Politics

As China prepares for its Communist Party congress, what will it mean for the rest of the world?

Of Chinese President Xi Jinpings many achievements in his time in office about which much will be made in the official propaganda one of the most surprising was the more confident and assertive approach to foreign policy...

What it's like to transition on to Universal Credit

Originally designed with the intention of making work pay by smoothing out transitions between paid work and welfare, Universal Credit is now being widely criticised for failing to deliver on its promises. Despite calls by...

Theresa May's speech and the challenge to expand English social housing

Amid the drama of Theresa Mays conference speech was the announcement of new funding for social housing and a new generation of council houses in England. This follows long-term under-investment in social and affordable...

Las Vegas: the US is racked with impossible divisions over rights and freedoms

In the immediate aftermath of the October 2 Las Vegas massacre the USs 273rd mass shooting in 2017 alone it seems neither President Donald Trump nor his Republican colleagues will entertain a review of current gun...

Catalonia's referendum unmasks authoritarianism in Spain

I have long worried about the rise of authoritarianism in the European Union. The Spanish governments violent crackdown during the Catalonia referendum on Oct. 1 is the latest crisis to challenge EU institutions....

Science

New Treatment For Blindness Gets FDA Panel Recommendation, First Of Its Kind

Providing hope to thousands of people suffering from hereditary blindness, advisers for the US Food and Drug Administration just gave a critical recommendation to a new type of treatment. Using gene therapy, the treatment...

VP Mike Pence Heads NASA’s Revived Moon Council, SpaceX To Do The Heavy Lifting

After months of hinting that a Lunar mission is in the works, US vice-president Mike Pence announced via The Wall Street Journal op-ed that NASA would be sending humans to the moon. The article was published just before...

Scientists Makes Hydrogen Fuel Production Cheaper With Seawater And New Nanomaterial

Solar and wind energy might be the renewable resources that are growing in popularity, but hydrogen fuel has proven to be incredibly reliable and powerful as well. Now, a University of Central Florida (UCF) scientist has...

Chilled proteins and 3-D images: The cryo-electron microscopy technology that just won a Nobel Prize

Many people will never have heard of cryo-electron microscopy before the announcement that Jacques Dubochet, Joachim Frank and Richard Henderson had won the 2017 Nobel Prize in chemistry for their work developing this...

Ikea Now Has Indoor Vertical Farm, Huge Potential For Solar Partnership

With the worlds climate constantly becoming hotter by the year, industries such as farming are going to experience massive problems such as drought and daylight heat thats too much for plants to handle. Thats why products...

Technology

The Evil Within 2 Can Be Played In First-Person Via PC Console Command

The Evil Within 2 is the recently launched horror-survival shooter sequel to the critically-acclaimed The Evil Within. Launched for all major platforms, it seems the PC version has another advantage over its console...

Three Leaked Steam Sale Dates Confirmed By Devs

No matter the time of year, Steam Sales are events that PC gamers cant help but look forward to. There are three Steam Sales lined up before Christmas, which include Halloween, Autumn, and Winter. The dates of these events...

Razer Made Webcam Specifically For Live Streamers, Gamers And YouTubers Alike

Although the company is mostly known for making high-quality gaming computers, Razer is also famous for producing some of the best peripherals in the business. Among its latest lineup are a web camera and a microphone that...

Apple Gets Amazon Studio Veteran, Shows It’s Serious About Scripted Shows

For months now, the tech industry has been wondering just how serious Apple was at creating original, scripted content and how far it was willing to go. Recently, the Cupertino firm just announced that it was hiring Morgan...

Apple Sued Over Animoji Trademark By Japanese Company

During the most recent Apple event where the company showed off its latest gadgets and gizmos, the Cupertino firm tried to put hype behind a new type of messaging feature called Animoji. Its basically an emoji that mimics...
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October 23 07:00 UTC Released

TRConsumer Confidence*

Actual

67.30 %

Forecast

Previous

68.70 %

October 23 01:30 UTC Released

CNChina House Prices YY*

Actual

6.3 %

Forecast

Previous

8.3 %

October 23 10:00 UTC 1919m

GBCBI Trends - Orders

Actual

Forecast

9 Mln ARS

Previous

7 Mln ARS

October 23 12:30 UTC 169169m

FRBusiness Climate

Actual

Forecast

Previous

1.5 %

October 23 12:30 UTC 169169m

FRMarkit Mfg Flash PMI

Actual

Forecast

Previous

-0.31 bln $

October 23 12:30 UTC 169169m

USNational Activity Index

Actual

Forecast

Previous

-0.31 %

October 23 12:30 UTC 169169m

CAWholesale Trade MM

Actual

Forecast

0.6 %

Previous

1.5 %

October 23 14:00 UTC 259259m

EZConsumer Confid. Flash

Actual

Forecast

-1.1 %

Previous

-1.2 %

October 24 00:30 UTC 889889m

JPNikkei Mfg PMI Flash

Actual

Forecast

Previous

52.9 bln $

October 24 06:45 UTC 12641264m

FRBusiness Climate

Actual

Forecast

110 %

Previous

110 %

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