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Adrian Beaumont

Adrian Beaumont

I am a PhD student at the University of Melbourne’s Department of Mathematics and Statistics. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. In the lead-up to the Australian Federal election, I will be writing a post every week about the latest polls and what they mean for the number of seats that will be won by each party in the 150-member Australian House of Representatives.

Trump's ratings slightly down after Ukraine scandal as Warren surges to tie Biden in Democratic polls

Oct 12, 2019 08:37 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

About two weeks since a transcript of Donald Trumps phone conversation with the Ukrainian president was revealed, his approval with all polls in the FiveThirtyEight aggregate is 41.6% and his disapproval is 54.0%. Trumps...

No chance of US gun control despite Las Vegas massacre; NZ left gains two seats after special votes

Oct 08, 2017 02:14 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

In the last decade, there have been many horrific gun crimes in the US, where at least 10 people have been murdered in the one incident. However, the National Rifle Association has successfully fought all efforts to impose...

Former FBI director James Comey very likely caused Trump's win

May 13, 2017 03:14 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

On Tuesday, Donald Trump dramatically sacked FBI director James Comey. There has been speculation that Comey was fired in an attempt to prevent an FBI investigation into Trumps ties to Russia. While such an...

US under Trump Series

Obamacare repeal vote shows power of US hard right

May 07, 2017 09:01 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics Law

Since the passage of the 2010 Affordable Care Act, otherwise known as Obamacare, Republicans have attempted to repeal it. In March, the first attempt to repeal and replace Obamacare under President Trump failed, as both...

US under Trump Series

Anti-Trump backlash at US by-elections

Apr 12, 2017 14:44 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Today, a by-election was held in Kansas fourth Congressional District (CD) for election to the US House. This CD is very conservative, and voted for Donald Trump by 60-33 against Hillary Clinton at the 2016 election. At...

US Election Series

US under Trump Series

US election final results: how Trump won

Dec 17, 2016 15:00 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

At the US election held on 8 November, Donald Trump won the Electoral College by 306 Electoral Votes (EVs), to 232 EVs for Hillary Clinton. While this seems a convincing victory, Trump won four states by 1.2% or less:...

Briferendum Series

Coalition likely to win following Brexit

Jun 28, 2016 20:49 pm UTC| Politics Insights & Views

The UKs vote to leave the European Union (Brexit) was known by the afternoon of the 24 June Melbourne time. The ReachTEL and Galaxy polls in the table were both taken entirely before the Brexit result was known. The one...

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Economy

MAS likely to adopt further easing to a neutral policy by next policy review in April 2020, says ANZ Research

With the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) expecting growth to improve only modestly in 2020 and core inflation not seeing a pick up, further easing to a neutral policy is possible at the next policy review in April...

U.S. Treasuries recover ahead of September retail sales, FOMC members’ speeches

The U.S. Treasuries recovered during Tuesdays afternoon session amid a muted trading day that witnessed data of little economic significance after returning from a long weekend ahead of the countrys retail sales for the...

UK gilts gain on disappointment in August employment report; September CPI in focus

The United Kingdoms gilts jumped during European trading hours Tuesday after the countrys employment report for the month of August disappointed market sentiments, while eyes still remain on the consumer price inflation...

German bunds narrowly mixed after October ZEW economic sentiment improves, eurozone September CPI eyed

The German bunds remained narrowly mixed during European session of the second trading day of the week Tuesday after the countrys ZEW economic sentiment index for the month of October, improved, while investors still eye...

China’s CPI-PPI divergence widens to 4.2ppt y/y in September, shows negative correlation after 2016: ANZ Research

The consumer price index (CPI) and the producer price index (PPI) are both important indicators of changes in prices and underlying inflation over time. Since 2016, Chinas CPI and PPI have been negatively correlated since...

Politics

Donald Trump’s alleged habit of ‘unwanted touching’ of women continues just before proposing to Melania Trump

Many people, especially the critics, have been having a hard time believing that the marriage and relationship between Donald Trump and Melania Trump are as good as they say it is. One of the pressing issues anchored to...

Melania Trump reacts to Donald Trump cheating allegations

Donald Trump and Melania Trump have always been in the limelight since they tied the knot. But the status of their marriage has become much more exposed to public speculations once they occupied the White House. Many...

Melania Trump: Is she distancing herself from Donald Trump’s political woes?

The past weeks have been hectic for the Trump administration, especially after an impeachment inquiry has been officially launched in the Congress in late September against President Donald Trump. Meanwhile, it is hard not...

How a 1905 debate about 'tainted' Rockefeller money is a reminder of ethical dilemmas today

Many nonprofits, including top universities and museums are confronting serious ethical dilemmas regarding accepting tainted money. The MIT Media Lab, an interdisciplinary research lab, has been widely criticized for...

Trump's bad Nixon imitation may cost him the presidency

Whatever Donald Trump does, Richard Nixon usually did it first and better. Nixon got a foreign governments help to win a presidential election over 50 years ago. Trumps imitation of the master has proven far from...

Science

NASA rover allegedly captures an image proving there's life on Mars

It has been decades since humans started launching missions to space. At this point, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) has already sent numerous rovers to Mars to observe the several sections of the...

Elon Musk reminded NASA it can share SpaceX’s IP to anyone; Agency unwilling to do so due to security concern

Elon Musk and NASAs partnership has been standing on rocky ground in recent months as the Commercial Crew endeavor has been delayed. The mission aims to put American astronauts to space using SpaceXs services, opting to...

NASA unveils the design of new spacesuit for Moon landing mission in 2024

The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) has been preparing for its next Moon landing mission that will be taking place within the next few years. One of the important things the agency has been working on...

ESA detects 46-foot wide asteroid approaching Earth much closer than usual in 2084

A 46-foot asteroid was recently detected by the European Space Agency (ESA) and is making headlines even though its next Earth close-approach will not happen within the next decades. Certain qualities of the asteroid have...

NASA asteroid watch confirms 7 more space rocks are approaching Earth this weekend

Several asteroids have come close to the Earth over the previous days, and a few more will approach the planet this weekend. Scientists from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) have detected that seven...

Technology

‘World of Warcraft Classic’ new dungeon arrives today; European servers to receive an update tomorrow

World of Warcraft Classic is preparing to bring in new content for the game, this time adding Dire Maul into the world. The dungeon was supposed to arrive next month but was slotted in early, hitting North American servers...

‘Elder Scrolls 4: Skyblivion’ release date: Developers will be changing areas on the map to reflect certain stories

Elder Scrolls 4: Skyblivion isnt expected to come out soon, and the games release is just adding more anticipation to an already anticipated title. Part of the reason for this excitement is due to the developers addressing...

Pocophone F2 will likely sport the Snapdragon 855 Plus processor

There are only two and a half months left in 2019, and Xioami is still remaining reticent about its plans regarding the Pocophone F2. The smartphones predecessor came out in August last year and was received by the...

Switch Lite: Nintendo unlikely to slash portable console’s price on Black Friday

Black Friday is just around the corner, and for those who are interested in purchasing the Switch Lite, its best to remain vigilant for now. For the unaware, the portable console has been plagued by the Joy-Con drift issue...

‘PES 2020’ needs to address its AI performance ranging from the referee to the players themselves

PES 2020 is a superior version of its 2019 self and has been met with general positivity based on numbers shown by review aggregator site Metacritic. Having said this, the game does have several issues that can easily...
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