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Adrian Beaumont

Adrian Beaumont

I am a PhD student at the University of Melbourne’s Department of Mathematics and Statistics. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. In the lead-up to the Australian Federal election, I will be writing a post every week about the latest polls and what they mean for the number of seats that will be won by each party in the 150-member Australian House of Representatives.

No chance of US gun control despite Las Vegas massacre; NZ left gains two seats after special votes

Oct 08, 2017 02:14 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

In the last decade, there have been many horrific gun crimes in the US, where at least 10 people have been murdered in the one incident. However, the National Rifle Association has successfully fought all efforts to impose...

Former FBI director James Comey very likely caused Trump's win

May 13, 2017 03:14 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

On Tuesday, Donald Trump dramatically sacked FBI director James Comey. There has been speculation that Comey was fired in an attempt to prevent an FBI investigation into Trumps ties to Russia. While such an...

US under Trump Series

Obamacare repeal vote shows power of US hard right

May 07, 2017 09:01 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics Law

Since the passage of the 2010 Affordable Care Act, otherwise known as Obamacare, Republicans have attempted to repeal it. In March, the first attempt to repeal and replace Obamacare under President Trump failed, as both...

US under Trump Series

Anti-Trump backlash at US by-elections

Apr 12, 2017 14:44 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Today, a by-election was held in Kansas fourth Congressional District (CD) for election to the US House. This CD is very conservative, and voted for Donald Trump by 60-33 against Hillary Clinton at the 2016 election. At...

US Election Series

US under Trump Series

US election final results: how Trump won

Dec 17, 2016 15:00 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

At the US election held on 8 November, Donald Trump won the Electoral College by 306 Electoral Votes (EVs), to 232 EVs for Hillary Clinton. While this seems a convincing victory, Trump won four states by 1.2% or less:...

Briferendum Series

Coalition likely to win following Brexit

Jun 28, 2016 20:49 pm UTC| Politics Insights & Views

The UKs vote to leave the European Union (Brexit) was known by the afternoon of the 24 June Melbourne time. The ReachTEL and Galaxy polls in the table were both taken entirely before the Brexit result was known. The one...

US Election Series

Clinton clinches Democratic nomination after big wins in New Jersey and California

Jun 08, 2016 11:38 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Hillary Clinton today clinched the Democratic Presidential nomination, following big wins in the two highest population states voting. She won New Jersey (126 pledged delegates) 63-37 and California (475) 56-43. She also...

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Economy

U.S. Treasuries narrowly mixed ahead of initial jobless claims, 30-year auction

The U.S. Treasuries remained narrowly mixed during Thursdays afternoon session ahead of the countrys initial jobless claims and super-long 30-year auction, both scheduled to be released today by 12:30GMT and 17:00GMT...

German bunds suffer after August manufacturing PMI cheers market investors

The German bunds suffered during European trading session Thursday after the countrys manufacturing PMI for the month of August cheered market investors, edged tad higher from that in July. The German 10-year bond...

Insurance rate cuts likely to re-steepen 2-10Y UST yield curve at the initial stage, bolster DXY Index: Scotiabank

insurance rate cuts could re-steepen the 2-10Y UST yield curve at the initial stage, bolstering the DXY Index. However, without an aggressive stance on further reductions, the steepening trend could reverse along with...

JGB yields deteriorate as Asian markets await to digest FOMC’s July meeting minutes; trade deal eyed

.The Japanese government bond yields deteriorated at close of morning session Thursday as Asian markets are yet to digest the FOMC July meeting minutes, released overnight amid ongoing global economic disturbances. Wall...

U.S. Treasuries suffer ahead of FOMC’s July meeting minutes, Fed Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole speech

The U.S. Treasuries suffered during Wednesdays afternoon session ahead of the Federal Open Market Committees (FOMC) end-July monetary policy meeting minutes, scheduled to be released today by 18:00GMT. Also, Fed Chair...

Politics

Emmanuel Macron, Vladimir Putin argue over their response to massive protests

French President Emmanuel Macron is the latest world leader to meet with Russias Vladimir Putin. He arrived in France on Monday for an official state visit. While in the country, Putin and Macron are expected to hold a...

Trevor Noah’s satirical theory suggests Donald Trump wants to get rid of Melania Trump

Both critics and supporters of Melania Trump and Donald Trump had recently been talking about one thing. It was Trevor Noahs theory that the President is allegedly weaving his immigration policies with the endgame of...

Donald Trump loves that Melania Trump agrees with him about the prenup

The marriage of United States President Donald Trump and First Lady Melania Trump is possibly one of the most followed subjects in the media today. Since Mr. Trump is known for being a wealthy man, many might be wondering...

Prototype of a nuclear missile that Vladimir Putin bragged about allegedly failed

This month marks the 20-year milestone of Russian President Vladimir Putins political career. However, it has been marred with a series of pro-democracy protests in Moscow as well as the death of five scientists from a...

To restore trust in government, we need to reinvent how the public service works

Around the world, the most informed and effective public servants are changing the way they develop policy and services. Australian public servants are eager to do the same, but their leaders are not supporting them to do...

Science

Cryptic genetic variation: the hidden changes in your DNA that could produce new diseases

Rarely has our environment changed so quickly. On top of climate change, were exposing ourselves to air pollutants, microplastics and unprecedented levels of fat, salt and sugar in our food. Environmental change is one...

Lab studies suggest medicinal plants can help repair human bone and tissue

Theres been a rise in recent years of biomedical engineering techniques that can restore lost tissue and bone. If youve been in a car crash, for instance, there are ways to restore or repair the lost body part or damaged...

Environmental destruction is a war crime, but it's almost impossible to fall foul of the laws

An open letter from 24 scientists published in Nature last month calls on governments to draft a new Geneva Convention dedicated to protecting the environment during armed conflict. This inspired a number of headlines...

HIV/AIDS deaths drop despite lack of complete cure

The HIV and AIDS epidemic has been a global challenge for decades. Unfortunately, a complete cure that would kill HIV and AIDS from a patients body is still unavailable. But that does not mean there is no other way to...

Donald Trump’s cancer cure promise still needs proof

Scientists around the world have reported strides in developing more advanced treatments for cancer while the complete cure is still unavailable. Illnesses like cancer are some of the major concerns for many households,...

Technology

‘Code Vein’ release date: Demo to be released on Sept. 3, Bandai Namco revealed

Code Vein will be dropping next month and fans cant wait to do a lot of dying. Having been inspired by the Dark Souls series, the action role-playing game has been given a heavy emphasis on its difficulty factor, perfect...

Pocophone F2 release date: Second entry unlikely to come out this year

August is coming to a close, but news about the Pocophone F2 is virtually non-existent, with rumors mostly dominating the entire narrative. Xiaomi previously said that its still evaluating the sequels position within their...

GoPro Hero 8 release date: Latest leak mentions no battery upgrade; Could spell bad news for the action camera

The GoPro Hero 8 is expected to arrive next month, but news about the device is few and far in between. The rumors, on the other hand, are plenty. The latest of which claims that the GoPro Hero 8 will come with a brand...

‘PES 2020’ release date: Konami planning to create UEFA eEURO 2020 tournament next year

PES 2020 is going after the throne of FIFA, snagging exclusive rights from the competition and ensuring that the title will feature teams that are up to date with the current football landscape. Now, Konami has once again...

iOS 12 jailbreak now available for 12.4 version but users are also warned due to a security breach

A new iOS 12 jailbreak for the 12.4 version is now available after Apple made a head-scratching gaff that elated the jailbreaking community. The exploit used for the hacking was a previous vulnerability that was patched by...
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July 2 15:00 UTC Released

DKCurrency Reserves

Actual

449.6 Stale

Forecast

Previous

451.7 Stale

July 2 13:45 UTC Released

USISM NY Biz Conditions

Actual

50 %

Forecast

Previous

48.6 %

January 31 00:00 UTC 818872818872m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

Previous

Bln AR bln ARS

January 31 00:00 UTC 818872818872m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

Previous

Bln AR bln ARS

January 22 19:00 UTC 830692830692m

ARTrade Balance

Actual

Forecast

Previous

-1541 %

January 31 00:00 UTC 818872818872m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

Previous

Bln AR bln ARS

January 22 19:00 UTC 830692830692m

ARTrade Balance

Actual

Forecast

Previous

-1541 %

January 31 00:00 UTC 818872818872m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

Previous

Bln AR bln ARS

January 31 00:00 UTC 818872818872m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

Previous

Bln AR bln ARS

January 31 00:00 UTC 818872818872m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

Previous

Bln AR bln ARS

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