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Adrian Beaumont

Adrian Beaumont

I am a PhD student at the University of Melbourne’s Department of Mathematics and Statistics. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. In the lead-up to the Australian Federal election, I will be writing a post every week about the latest polls and what they mean for the number of seats that will be won by each party in the 150-member Australian House of Representatives.

No chance of US gun control despite Las Vegas massacre; NZ left gains two seats after special votes

Oct 08, 2017 02:14 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

In the last decade, there have been many horrific gun crimes in the US, where at least 10 people have been murdered in the one incident. However, the National Rifle Association has successfully fought all efforts to impose...

Former FBI director James Comey very likely caused Trump's win

May 13, 2017 03:14 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

On Tuesday, Donald Trump dramatically sacked FBI director James Comey. There has been speculation that Comey was fired in an attempt to prevent an FBI investigation into Trumps ties to Russia. While such an...

US under Trump Series

Obamacare repeal vote shows power of US hard right

May 07, 2017 09:01 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics Law

Since the passage of the 2010 Affordable Care Act, otherwise known as Obamacare, Republicans have attempted to repeal it. In March, the first attempt to repeal and replace Obamacare under President Trump failed, as both...

US under Trump Series

Anti-Trump backlash at US by-elections

Apr 12, 2017 14:44 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Today, a by-election was held in Kansas fourth Congressional District (CD) for election to the US House. This CD is very conservative, and voted for Donald Trump by 60-33 against Hillary Clinton at the 2016 election. At...

US Election Series

US under Trump Series

US election final results: how Trump won

Dec 17, 2016 15:00 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

At the US election held on 8 November, Donald Trump won the Electoral College by 306 Electoral Votes (EVs), to 232 EVs for Hillary Clinton. While this seems a convincing victory, Trump won four states by 1.2% or less:...

Briferendum Series

Coalition likely to win following Brexit

Jun 28, 2016 20:49 pm UTC| Politics Insights & Views

The UKs vote to leave the European Union (Brexit) was known by the afternoon of the 24 June Melbourne time. The ReachTEL and Galaxy polls in the table were both taken entirely before the Brexit result was known. The one...

US Election Series

Clinton clinches Democratic nomination after big wins in New Jersey and California

Jun 08, 2016 11:38 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Hillary Clinton today clinched the Democratic Presidential nomination, following big wins in the two highest population states voting. She won New Jersey (126 pledged delegates) 63-37 and California (475) 56-43. She also...

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Economy

Business as usual? The Sustainable Development Goals apply to Australian cities too

We are still settling Australian cities on unceded Aboriginal lands. With the global agreement on the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in 2015, development has finally come home to the developed world....

FxWirePro: U.S. equities continue to decouple from rest of the world

As the U.S. economic and foreign policies decouple from the rest of the world (President Trumps stance on Jerusalem, NATO, Iran nuclear Agreement, Trans-Pacific Partnership, Paris Climate Accord), so do its economy and...

Cryptocurrency Brief: Bitcoin breaks below 6,500 mark on increased regulations, ASIC suspends five ICOs since April – Tuesday, September 25th, 2018

BTC/USD: Bitcoin prices remained on the downside during late European session Tuesday, for the fourth consecutive day, following increased level of regulations from various financial authorities. The cryptocurrency broke...

U.S. Treasuries plunge ahead of 5-year auction, Fed’s monetary policy decision

The U.S. Treasuries plunged Tuesday ahead of the countrys 5-year auction, scheduled to be held today by 17:00GMT. Also, this weeks two-day FOMC meeting that concludes on Wednesday, will be closely eyed. The yield on the...

German bunds suffer in silent trading session; 5-year auction, ECB President Draghi’s speech in focus

The German bunds suffered during European session Tuesday amid a silent trading session that witnessed data of little economic significance. Investors will now be eyeing the countrys 5-year auction and European Central...

Politics

Michael Foot spy allegations and why MI6 should come clean about the past

According to The Times the late Michael Foot, the former leader of the Labour Party, was a Soviet confidential contact on the payroll of the KGB to the tune of 37,000 (in todays money). This might come as something of a...

What two books have to say about the political lifespan of South Africa's ANC

No political party can govern forever. In democracies with free and fair elections, no political party has been in power longer than half a century. So is the African National Congress (ANC), the party that governs South...

Chequers plan: why Theresa May’s Brexit blueprint is not quite dead

The informal meeting of EU leaders in Salzburg on September 19 and 20 was not intended to be primarily about the UK or Brexit. The EU faces serious challenges around internal security and migration that come much higher up...

Quotas are not pretty but they work – Liberal women should insist on them

It is an historic moment for Liberal Party women. Individual complaints of sexist bullying invariably end with the lone complainant being isolated and getting crunched. But since the Liberal leadership spill, several...

Super. If Labor really wanted to help women in retirement, it would do something else

When it comes to the gender gap in retirement incomes, symbolism appears to matter more than actually achieving something. Labors plan to add super contributions to government-funded parental leave was heralded by...

Science

Low levels of carbon monoxide poisoning can be very difficult to spot – and can cause brain damage

Carbon monoxide (CO), like many gases, cannot be detected by our human senses. We cannot see it, smell it or taste it. But unlike many gases, small amounts are extremely harmful to us. In 2015 (the most recent year for...

Ten years of Large Hadron Collider discoveries are just the start of decoding the universe

Ten years! Ten years since the start of operations for the Large Hadron Collider (LHC), one of the most complex machines ever created. The LHC is the worlds largest particle accelerator, buried 100 meters under the French...

Game-changing resolution: whose name on the laws of physics for an expanding universe?

Astronomers are engaged in a lively debate over plans to rename one of the laws of physics. It emerged overnight in Vienna at the 30th Meeting of the International Astronomical Union (IAU), in Vienna, where members of...

Do dogs have feelings?

If you live with a dog you just know when its happy or miserable, dont you? Of course you do. Even the scientific community, now admits that dogs have emotions even if scientists cant directly measure what they are...

How hydrogen power can help us cut emissions, boost exports, and even drive further between refills

Hydrogen could become a significant part of Australias energy landscape within the coming decade, competing with both natural gas and batteries, according to a new CSIRO roadmap for the industry. Hydrogen gas is a...

Technology

Do you 'zombie check' your phone? How new tools can help you control technology over-use

Technology has undoubtedly become essential for productivity and communication in our professional and personal lives. However, the most prominent reason users of all ages reach for their device is not to work, but to...

Three things we can all learn from people who don't use smartphones or social media

Many of us spend hours every day tethered to our devices, pawing at the screen to see if it will deliver a few more likes or emails, monitoring the world and honing our online presence. Social networking platforms such as...

AI could help us manage natural disasters – but only to an extent

In the last few years, AI has become ever more powerful. It can diagnose diseases, book restaurants, fake presidential speeches, and even compose hit music and produce trailers for horror movies. So in this new era of big...

AI could help drones ride air currents like birds

Birds have long inspired humans to create their own ways to fly. We know that soaring bird species that migrate long distances use thermal updrafts to stay in the air without using up energy flapping their wings. And...

‘Kingdom Hearts 3’ Release Date, Gameplay, Development: Skrillex Co-Writes Opening Theme of Upcoming Installment

The past few weeks saw a goldmine for footage of Kingdom Hearts 3 as Square Enix bombarded fans with one teaser clip after another. Among those that caught the attention of fans is the battle between Sora and Aqua, Comic...
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September 25 14:30 UTC Released

USTexas Serv Sect Outlook

Actual

25.6 bln

Forecast

Previous

21.5 bln

September 25 14:30 UTC Released

USDallas Fed Services Revenues

Actual

26.9 %

Forecast

Previous

21.5 %

January 31 00:00 UTC 342417342417m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

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Forecast

2016 bln ARS

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Bln AR bln ARS

January 31 00:00 UTC 342417342417m

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Forecast

2016 bln ARS

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Bln AR bln ARS

January 22 19:00 UTC 354237354237m

ARTrade Balance

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-1541 %

January 31 00:00 UTC 342417342417m

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Forecast

2016 bln ARS

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Bln AR bln ARS

January 22 19:00 UTC 354237354237m

ARTrade Balance

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-1541 %

January 31 00:00 UTC 342417342417m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

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Forecast

2016 bln ARS

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Bln AR bln ARS

January 31 00:00 UTC 342417342417m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

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2016 bln ARS

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Bln AR bln ARS

January 31 00:00 UTC 342417342417m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

Previous

Bln AR bln ARS

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