US retail sales to rebound sharply on improved weather
Apr 14, 2015 06:22 am UTC| Commentary
US retail sales are poised to rise by an estimated 1.5% mom in March driven by improved weather conditions and by the earlier gains in real disposable income which have yet to be spent, according to Societe Generale...
Brazil's consumption outlook remains dim despite a mild spur in Q4
Apr 14, 2015 06:11 am UTC| Commentary
Brazils retail sales growth has averaged 0.4% yoy since mid-2014 and while sales growth in Q4 was better than that in Q3, it was largely pulled up by 2.2% yoy growth in October.In general, retail sales were nearly flat...
UK CPI inflation still avoiding a negative number
Apr 14, 2015 06:06 am UTC| Commentary
After the surprise fall in CPI inflation to precisely zero in February, and the prediction from the Bank of England in its February Inflation Report that "inflation ... will ... potentially turn negative in the spring" the...
Final March Italian HICP inflation to confirm flash estimates at -0.1% yoy
Apr 14, 2015 06:02 am UTC| Commentary
Flash March Italian HICP inflation fell by -0.1% yoy after its reading of 0.1% in February. Even though the energy component rose from -8.4% yoy to -6.5% yoy, adding 19bp to the headline numbers, and food prices added a...
Spanish final March HICP inflation seen at -0.7% yoy
Apr 14, 2015 06:00 am UTC| Commentary
The flash estimate of Spanish HICP inflation came in at -0.7% yoy, up from -1.2% yoy in February (2.0% mom).Markets were looking for a reading of -0.9% but some analysts see inflation sharply rebounding to -0.6%, on the...
Euro area industrial output to rise in February
Apr 14, 2015 05:56 am UTC| Commentary
Available national data accounting for 80% of global euro area industrial production points to a nice rebound in growth in February (0.9% mom, 1.1% yoy w.d.a.)."The carry-over for Q1 2015 also points to growth in...
Good momentum in Euro area, but ECB will continue with QE
Apr 14, 2015 05:40 am UTC| Commentary
European Central Bank (ECB) President Draghi is likely to note stronger euro-area survey data at Wednesdays post-meeting press conference. But ongoing negative headline CPI and weak core inflation (down to 0.6% y/y in...
Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility
Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget
Biden administration tells employers to stop shackling workers with ‘noncompete agreements’
IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects