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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Korean GDP may reduce easing hopes – add OTM call-writing strategy in conjunction with longs in 3m USD/KRW forwards

Jul 25, 2016 08:07 am UTC| Central Banks

Korea Q2 GDP (Tue) is expected to improve compared to a year earlier (SG 3.1%, consensus 3.0%, previous 2.8%). The move lower in USDKRW is running into intervention flows and downside technical support and further gains in...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Bidding USD/JPY 1m RR and IV skew makes PRBS more productive in hedging ahead of central banks’ monetary policy season

Jul 25, 2016 08:01 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The FOMC meeting next week is also likely to stay on script. We do not expect the Fed to use the July FOMC statement to push up market expectations for a September hike. While recent data and the easing in financial...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: JPY IVs blow out of proportion, disparity between ATM premiums and 1w IVs – Calls seem under-priced ahead of Fed and BoJ

Jul 25, 2016 07:11 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Please be noted that the yen currency crosses flash the highest IVs among G20 space (seems quite exaggerated OTC moves), while USDJPY sizeable market pin risks at 105.50 for tomorrows expiries and higher skews for OTM put...

Canadian inflation remains stable in June; current monetary policy stance to remain warranted for some time

Jul 25, 2016 06:02 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Inflation in Canada remained stable at 1.5 percent year-on-year in June. The Bank of Canadas core inflation measure also remained steady at 2.1 percent year-on-year. This did not come as a surprise as hot housing...

Fundamentals to watch out for this week

Jul 25, 2016 04:54 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

In terms of data and events, this week is extremely risk heavy, especially with looming Fed and BoJ. What to watch for over the coming days: US earnings season: Earnings season in the United States will keep...

BoE rate cut probability rises to 88 percent

Jul 22, 2016 12:04 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The market is almost certain that a rate cut from the Bank of England (BoE) is coming in August, especially after the release of PMI reports today. In July, Flash manufacturing PMI dropped to 41-month low to 49.1. UK...

ECB stands pat, makes no change to rules governing quantitative easing

Jul 22, 2016 10:13 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks Economy

The European Central Bank (ECB) kept its interest rates and forward guidance unchanged as expected on Thursday. The ECB kept its deposit rate at -0.4 percent and the main refinancing rate at 0.00 percent, both record lows,...

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Economy

JPMorgan Cuts Gold Price Forecast, Sees Bullion Reaching $4,500 by End of 2026

JPMorgan has sharply lowered its near-term gold price outlook, citing weaker-than-expected demand from major buying sectors and growing uncertainty over U.S. monetary policy. The bank now expects gold prices to average...

Oil Prices Steady as U.S.-Iran Peace Talks Ease Strait of Hormuz Supply Fears

Oil prices ended the week largely unchanged as investors weighed improving prospects for a lasting U.S.-Iran peace agreement against rising crude supply from the Middle East. Brent crude futures settled up 14 cents, or...

Asian Currencies Rise as Dollar Weakens; Yen Holds Steady Amid Japan Intervention Watch

Most Asian currencies edged higher on Friday after the U.S. dollar retreated from a 13-month high following weaker-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payrolls data, raising fresh questions about the Federal Reserves interest rate...

Asian Stocks Rebound as Tech Shares Rally on Fed Rate Cut Hopes and Easing Iran Tensions

Asian stock markets rebounded sharply on Friday as investors returned to technology shares following a week of heavy selling, while easing geopolitical tensions and growing expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate...

Oil Prices Slip as Oversupply Concerns and U.S.-Iran Talks Shape Market Outlook

Oil prices edged lower on Friday as improving global crude supplies and expectations of near-term oversupply continued to pressure the market, while traders reduced bearish positions ahead of the U.S. holiday weekend....

Politics

UN Warns of Looming Human Rights Catastrophe in Sudan’s Al-Obeid

The United Nations has warned that a new human rights catastrophe is unfolding in Sudan as fighting intensifies around the besieged city of al-Obeid, the capital of North Kordofan state. U.N. High Commissioner for Human...

Amy Coney Barrett Faces Conservative Backlash After Key Supreme Court Rulings Against Trump

U.S. Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett has drawn criticism from some conservatives after joining decisions that blocked several major priorities of President Donald Trump during the courts latest term. Although...

France Battles Mediterranean Wildfires as Heatwave Fuels Fire Risk

Around 2,000 firefighters battled multiple wildfires across Frances Mediterranean coast on Thursday as strong winds and dry conditions intensified blazes following Europes recent heatwave. One of the most serious fires...

Russia Claims Capture of Kostiantynivka as Putin Pushes Donetsk Offensive

Russia claimed on Friday that its forces had captured the eastern Ukrainian city of Kostiantynivka, a move that, if confirmed, would mark a major step in Moscows campaign to seize full control of Ukraines Donetsk region....

Russian Attacks Kill Six Across Ukraine as Kyiv Mourns Deadly Strike

Russian attacks killed at least six people and injured dozens across multiple regions of Ukraine on Friday, according to regional officials, as Kyiv observed a day of mourning following one of the deadliest assaults on the...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Anthropic Tightens AI Access Controls After Reports of China-Based Workarounds

Anthropic is strengthening measures to prevent unauthorized access to its artificial intelligence services from China after discovering that several Chinese companies had allegedly bypassed its restrictions, according to a...

Kuaishou Stock Jumps as Kling AI Secures $2 Billion Funding Round

Hong Kong-listed shares of Kuaishou Technology (HK:1024) climbed more than 6% on Thursday after its spun-off artificial intelligence business, Kling AI, secured an initial $2 billion in venture capital funding to...

Meta CEO Zuckerberg Says AI Agent Development Has Slowed Despite Massive AI Investment

Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) CEO Mark Zuckerberg has acknowledged that the companys progress in developing artificial intelligence (AI) agents has been slower than expected, despite Metas aggressive investment in AI...

Kioxia Bets on AI Memory Boom With Next-Gen NAND Production in Japan

Kioxia is set to mark a major milestone on Friday with a ceremony at its manufacturing facility in northern Japan as the company prepares to begin mass production of its next-generation NAND flash memory chips. The move...

OpenAI Proposes 5% U.S. Government Stake Amid AI Policy Talks

OpenAI has reportedly proposed granting the U.S. government a 5% ownership stake in the artificial intelligence company as it seeks to strengthen ties with Washington and address growing political scrutiny over the rapidly...
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