FxWirePro: Buy Swiss franc with 2:7 risk reward ratio

Sep 28, 2016 09:51 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

We expect the Swiss franc to be an outperformer among the group of majors, even if the U.S. Federal Reserve moves with a hike in rates. Swiss franc, thanks to the intervention of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) remains quite...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Prefer selling yen risk premia post-BoJ via writing EUR/JPY straddle

Sep 28, 2016 08:18 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

Median 4-week horizon returns (vol pts.) and information ratios from selling cross-yen 6-week straddles in 2016. Options delta-hedged daily at LDN close using smile forward deltas and option-expiry matched...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: AUD/USD 3m bids in OTC and IV skews to encompass major macro events – Uphold calendar combinations

Sep 28, 2016 07:47 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Please be noted that the skewness in implied volatility of 3m tenors of this pair signifies the hedgers interest in OTM put strikes. While delta risk reversals of the similar expiries reveal more sentiments in hedging...

US election outcome likely to be strong statement on interest rates, dollar and Fed

Sep 28, 2016 07:14 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

This years race to the White House has been like no other. Lots at stake here, trade policies, foreign policies, immigration policies, as well as domestic policies. In addition to those, the race has included an area,...

CBC likely to trim policy rate as benign inflation outlook provides scope for further easing

Sep 28, 2016 06:43 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The Central Bank of the Republic of China (Taiwan) (CBC) is expected to trim its key policy rate at the monetary policy meeting scheduled to be held on Sep 29 as benign inflation outlook laid the bedrock for further...

FxWirePro: Double bonanza for RUB from crude consolidation and CBR’s hawkish tone

Sep 27, 2016 14:35 pm UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

The Russian currency remains our preferred carry currency in EMEA EM. The Rouble restrained dollars bullish rout ever in highs of 84.9493 was unable to sustain from the beginning of 2016. USDRUB has been consistently...

Despite concerns about persistently low inflation, strong housing market likely to keep RBA on hold in Oct

Sep 27, 2016 11:50 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

The Reserve Bank of Australia is scheduled to announce its monetary policy decision on 4th October. It will be new Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowes first RBA board meeting as governor. The RBA will release its second...