FxWirePro: All eyes on ECB, more room for EUR/GBP bulls’ flash or crash move – Uphold RV options trades

Aug 31, 2017 10:36 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Well, after all, it seems puzzling whether levels well above 1.20 for EURUSD and 0.9306 for EURGBP might be too much for ECB President Mario Draghi and his colleagues on the ECB council. Despite the fact that European...

Central Banking Series

BoE MPC member Michael Saunders lays out case for rate hike

Aug 31, 2017 08:19 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Bank of Englands (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Michael Saunders laid out a case for rate hike during a speech on Thursday. He said that the UK labor market is quickly approaching full employment, while the...

FxWirePro: EUR/JPY shrinking vols and bearish neutral RRs imply options writers’ competitive advantage - Bid call RKOs for dubious uptrend

Aug 31, 2017 07:03 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Please be noted that the implied vols of euro crosses have been shrinking lower in spite of the series of data flows are lined up. German retail sales (actual -1.2% versus consensus -0.5% and previous 1.1%), German and...

EUR/CZK likely to decline gradually to around 24.5 in one year’s time, says Commerzbank

Aug 30, 2017 22:14 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Sine Tuesday afternoon, the EUR/CZK pair has declined sharply after the Czech National Bank board members spoke about the requirement to hike rates again. The vice governor in particular and board member Marek Mora cited...

FxWirePro: Rate cut speculation begins amid Baxico’s inflationary targets – Bid 3m USD/MXN vega neutral skews for hedging

Aug 30, 2017 13:26 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Following the end of the rate hike cycle in Mexico, the markets are now speculating when the first rate cut may follow. Against this background, todays publication of the inflation report, as well as a speech by central...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Market pushed back hike expectations to June 2018

Aug 30, 2017 11:18 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Despite hawkish rhetoric from several including Fed chair Janet Yellen, the hike odds are declining across meetings as the economic numbers including inflation continue to disappoint to the downside, coupled with political...

FxWirePro: Box spreads for EUR rates as Bund rally to loosen impetus

Aug 30, 2017 09:16 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

European economic figures look likely to confirm the underlying health of the economy, and with the Bund nearing the June highs of 165.50, reducing duration (or going short futures) looks more attractive than increasing...