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A new oil order has emerged over the past few years as oil prices have taken a plunge of about 60%. U.S., world’s one of key importer is about to become a major exporter of hydrocarbons. OPEC cartel, which has historically been a key player politically and price maker, losing its relevance and pricing power. On the energy front, renewables and gas becoming key challenger to oil’s global dominance. Moreover, this lower price is hitting energy exporters harder, creating global economic vulnerabilities. This new oil price and geo-political order demand greater analysis, which is the main focus of this series.

Oil in Global Economy Series

Oil price drop gets its own dynamics

Dec 14, 2015 10:22 am UTC| Commentary

The sell-off in the oil market took on unreasonable dimensions. Oil-prices were falling almost continuously for weeks now and find themselves marginally above the lows, compared to the crisis period. The speculative...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Oil prices falls back to new 7-year lows

Dec 11, 2015 10:44 am UTC| Commentary

After yesterdays recovery in the Brent price, it again came under renewed pressure during the time of trading, today morning it finds itself at a new 7-year low at $39.5 per barrel. Sell-offs were triggered ahead by the...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Base metals and oil hit toll on commodity driven currencies – a bird’s eye view of impact of supply cycle shrink in demand on FX market

Dec 11, 2015 09:54 am UTC| Insights & Views

A brief historical snapshot: Commodities are experiencing what has already been the second-deepest and longest bear market of the past 45 years, with a decline from their peak of over 55% over the past 4.5...

Oil in Global Economy Series

FxWirePro: Oil – what are next target areas?

Dec 11, 2015 07:40 am UTC| Commentary Technicals

Oil bears are just not backing down, even if the price is inches away from its lowest level in 2008/09. During the financial crisis WTI price hit as low as $36.18/barrel in the spot market for immediate delivery and today...

Oil in Global Economy Series

No much change from OPEC ahead of inventory checks, crude pressure still lingers in short run, prospects only in long run

Dec 09, 2015 13:54 pm UTC| Insights & Views

Brent costed less than $40 per barrel again yesterday for the first time since February 2009 but recovered upto 40.46, WTI has been lingering with bearish favorite figure at 37.75 ahead of inventory data. No doubt it...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Supply glut of crude oil and industry raw materials likely to abate in 2016

Dec 07, 2015 09:15 am UTC| Commentary

US higher interest rates are certain to be the biggest difference in the coming year, but the conditions could also change fundamentally on commodity markets. Supply glut of crude oil and industry raw materials should...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Oil in global economy series – An OPEC without ceiling

Dec 07, 2015 08:35 am UTC| Commentary

Two of the global benchmarks, WTI and Brent, are only few Dollars shy from lowest price of 2008/09 crisis, as OPEC last Friday not only failed to cut back production, they just dropped the ceiling. Nevertheless there seems...

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Economy

US Stock Futures Flat as Iran Strait of Hormuz Demands Fuel Oil Concerns

U.S. stock futures were largely flat Sunday night as investors assessed renewed geopolitical risks surrounding the Strait of Hormuz, with Iran setting conditions for fully reopening the critical oil shipping route. SP 500...

Oil Prices Rise as Hormuz Reopening Remains Uncertain

Oil prices climbed on Monday as uncertainty over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz kept supply concerns elevated, despite signs that Iran and Oman are nearing an agreement on new shipping lanes. Brent crude futures...

BOJ Signals Faster Rate Hikes as Inflation Risks Raise September Move Odds

Bank of Japan policymakers are increasingly concerned about inflation pressures, with several officials suggesting that interest rate hikes may need to come faster than financial markets currently expect, according to a...

US Yen Intervention Unlikely to Deliver Lasting Recovery, Yardeni Says

U.S. efforts to strengthen the Japanese yen may offer only temporary relief as Japans fiscal policies, wide interest-rate gap with the United States, and preference for a weaker currency continue to pressure the yen,...

Iran-Oman Near Strait of Hormuz Deal as Shipping Tensions Persist

Iran and Oman are nearing an agreement on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, but Tehran says a bilateral deal alone will not be enough to fully reopen the critical global energy route. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas...

Politics

Houthi Attack on Yemen’s Mocha Port Kills Seven, Injures 30

Seven people were killed and 30 others wounded after Houthi forces launched a large-scale drone and missile attack on Yemens Red Sea port city of Mocha, according to the Yemeni military. In a statement issued early Monday,...

Germany Warns of Daily Hybrid Warfare Threats

Germany is facing foreign hybrid warfare operations on a daily basis, Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt has warned after authorities discovered an explosive-carrying drone at Leipzig/Halle Airport. Dobrindt said hostile...

ICE to Complete Nationwide Body Camera Rollout by End of August

U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) will equip all officers and agents working in the field with body-worn cameras by the end of August, accelerating a nationwide rollout that was initially expected to take...

Joe Biden’s Prostate Cancer Has Spread Further, Hunter Biden Says

Former U.S. President Joe Bidens prostate cancer has spread beyond his bones and is causing significant pain, according to his son, Hunter Biden, who discussed his fathers health in a BBC interview. Speaking to the BBCs...

Senate Majority Leader John Thune Moves to Advance Crypto Clarity Act

U.S. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has taken a key step toward advancing the Clarity Act, a major cryptocurrency regulation bill that could establish the first comprehensive federal framework for the U.S. crypto...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Nvidia Seen Beating Q2 Targets as Vera Rubin Cycle Begins

Nvidia (NVDA) could enter a multi-quarter growth cycle as shipments of its next-generation Vera Rubin AI chips begin, with BofA Global Research forecasting stronger-than-expected quarterly results and maintaining a bullish...

OpenAI Restricts Astra AI Over Cyberattack Risks

OpenAI has reportedly restricted parts of the development of its next-generation AI model, code-named Astra, after early evaluations indicated the system could potentially carry out sophisticated cyberattacks with limited...

Nvidia to Invest Up to $3 Billion in Blackstone-Backed Lancium

Nvidia is reportedly preparing to invest as much as $3 billion in Lancium, a Blackstone-backed power infrastructure developer involved in the Stargate artificial intelligence infrastructure initiative, as demand for...

Meta Ordered to Pay $567M Over Child Safety Violations in New Mexico

Meta Platforms Inc. has been ordered to pay $567 million into a fund designed to address harm to young people, in a major legal ruling involving child safety on Facebook and Instagram. Judge Bryan Biedscheid of New Mexicos...

Nintendo Shares Jump as Switch 2 Sales Boost Earnings

Nintendo shares surged nearly 5% on Friday after the Japanese gaming giant reported stronger-than-expected first-quarter earnings and upgraded its full-year financial outlook, supported by robust demand for the new Switch...
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