The Fed is likely to tighten monetary policy only by as much as markets allow without major turmoil. The FOMC statement showed that the Fed takes the financial market turmoil and the development in China and other emerging markets into account.
Fed expectations of 4 rate hikes this year are unlikely. The actual path of the federal funds rate will depend on the economic outlook as informed by incoming data. For now markets are pricing in barely 1 hike this year. Will this cautious Fed stance benefit the Emerging Markets?
A more muted hiking cycle will definitely be welcomed by EM central banks. EM economies and assets typically outperform when developed markets illustrate above trend growth. So to expect EM currencies to illustrate a sustained appreciation trend simply because the Fed takes a more sanguine view may not be justified. Nonetheless a more muted pace of USD appreciation could mean at least one less macro risk to deal with.


FxWirePro: Daily Commodity Tracker - 21st March, 2022
U.S.-India Trade Framework Signals Major Shift in Tariffs, Energy, and Supply Chains
Dollar Near Two-Week High as Stock Rout, AI Concerns and Global Events Drive Market Volatility
Why Trump’s new pick for Fed chair hit gold and silver markets – for good reasons
Bank of Japan Signals Cautious Path Toward Further Rate Hikes Amid Yen Weakness
Silver Prices Plunge in Asian Trade as Dollar Strength Triggers Fresh Precious Metals Sell-Off
BOJ Rate Decision in Focus as Yen Weakness and Inflation Shape Market Outlook
RBA Raises Interest Rates by 25 Basis Points as Inflation Pressures Persist
Gold and Silver Prices Rebound After Volatile Week Triggered by Fed Nomination
Trump Signs Executive Order Threatening 25% Tariffs on Countries Trading With Iran
Fed Governor Lisa Cook Warns Inflation Risks Remain as Rates Stay Steady
Japanese Pharmaceutical Stocks Slide as TrumpRx.gov Launch Sparks Market Concerns
Federal Reserve Faces Subpoena Delay Amid Investigation Into Chair Jerome Powell




