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Currency War Series

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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

Banxico plans to fight Trump effects with higher interest rate

Nov 16, 2016 09:17 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Banco de México, popularly known as Banxico will announce interest rate decision tomorrow at 19:00 GMT and it is expected that the central bank will increase interest rate sharply to fight of the recent effects of a...

Currency War Series

US election outcome to determine Banxico's action next week

Nov 08, 2016 14:33 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks Politics

The Mexican Peso remains vulnerable to developments in the U.S. elections which were reflected in the price action over the past two weeks. An improved likelihood of a Trump election victory was bad for the peso, while a...

Currency War Series

RBA remains on hold for 3rd straight month

Nov 01, 2016 05:53 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) remained on hold for the third successive policy meeting in a row and is likely to maintain a neutral stance in the near term. The main change to the press release was the inclusion of a...

Currency War Series

Russian central bank keeps interest rate unchanged, likely to slash rates early next year

Oct 28, 2016 11:46 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

Russian central bank kept its key interest rate on hold at the monetary policy meeting held Friday, but said it might cut rates in the first or second quarter of next year. Russias central bank decided to hold its key...

Currency War Series

U.S. Fed likely to remain on hold, may revise down 2016 GDP growth outlook

Sep 20, 2016 07:04 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The U.S. Fed is likely to refrain from hiking its interest rates tomorrow, according to Nordea Bank. The communication of the U.S. central bank has been ambiguous ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting. Fed Chair Janet Yellen...

Currency War Series

CNB maintains view on right time to exit FX floor; negative rates not on table for now

Sep 05, 2016 06:19 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Board of the Czech National Bank kept its monetary policy on hold again on Thursdayas per expectations. The central bank did not change its view on the likely timing for exiting the FX floor either. CNB Governor Miroslav...

Currency War Series

BoJ Monetary Policy: Trapped without exit

Sep 01, 2016 09:08 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

The central bankers around the developed world have been trying since the great recession of 2008/09, in order to revive their respective economies and fulfill their statutory mandates which are to maintain price...

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Economy

ECB May Stop Rate Hikes After December, Capital Economics Says

Investors may be expecting more European Central Bank rate hikes than necessary, as the euro zones energy-driven inflation surge is unlikely to create lasting wage and price pressures, according to Capital Economics. The...

Trump to Ease U.S. Fuel-Economy Standards

The Trump administration is set to unveil new U.S. vehicle fuel-efficiency standards on Monday, rolling back requirements adopted under former President Joe Biden, Bloomberg reported. President Donald Trump announced plans...

China Consumer Stocks Near Decade Lows as AI Shares Surge

Chinese consumer stocks have fallen close to decade lows as weak household spending and surging investor interest in artificial intelligence widen the divide between Chinas consumer and technology sectors, Bloomberg...

UK PM Burnham to Unveil Economic Vision at Labour Conference

UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham will set out his economic vision at next weeks Labour Party conference, aiming to restore confidence in Britains outlook as households and businesses face rising inflation, energy costs and...

Germany’s 2026 Growth Outlook Strengthens on Fiscal Spending

Germanys economy is showing signs of stronger-than-expected growth in 2026 as increased government spending begins to support activity, according to Citi analysts. The fiscal boost is currently most visible in defence...

Politics

Germany Political Risks Rise as Merz Faces Coalition Pressure

Political uncertainty in Germany remains elevated after a series of regional election setbacks intensified pressure on Chancellor Friedrich Merz and his governing coalition, with UBS economists outlining three possible...

Iran Says Diplomacy Only Path to End U.S.-Israel Conflict

Iran said diplomacy remains the only viable path to ending its conflict with the United States and Israel after President Donald Trump rejected Tehrans proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and pause regional fighting....

South Africa Seeks US Talks Despite Visa Restrictions

South Africa remains willing to negotiate with the United States over key areas of disagreement, including foreign investment rules, racial equity policies and mining opportunities, Foreign Minister Ronald Lamola said...

Taiwan Says U.S. Arms Sales Protect Chip Supply

Continued U.S. arms sales to Taiwan serve Washingtons national interests by strengthening the islands defenses and safeguarding its critical semiconductor industry, Taiwan Deputy Foreign Minister Francois Wu said Saturday....

China Agrees to Buy 20 Million Tons of U.S. Coal

China has agreed to purchase at least 10 million metric tons of U.S. coal annually in 2027 and 2028 as Washington and Beijing deepen trade cooperation following their latest high-level negotiations, Bloomberg reported. The...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

OpenAI AI Agents Bypassed UN Website Controls in Data Scraping

OpenAIs autonomous AI agents used increasingly aggressive methods to retrieve public data from a United Nations website, including bypassing restrictions designed to block automated requests, according to a Wall Street...

TikTok Reaches $100 Million Alabama Settlement Over Child Safety Claims

TikTok and Chinese parent company ByteDance have reached a settlement with Alabama over allegations that the social media platform was designed to encourage addictive behavior among children while misleading consumers...

OpenAI Agents Access U.S. Government Websites During Testing

OpenAI artificial intelligence agents accessed several U.S. government websites and performed unintended online actions during months of testing, raising fresh concerns about the safeguards surrounding autonomous AI...

AMD Hits $1 Trillion as BofA Raises Price Target to $720

Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) has joined the $1 trillion market capitalization club, and BofA Securities believes the semiconductor giant has room to climb further as artificial intelligence drives stronger demand...

US Appeals Court Upholds Anthropic AI Supply Chain Ban

A U.S. federal appeals court has upheld the Department of Wars decision to exclude Anthropic from its supply chain, handing the Trump administration a significant victory in a closely watched dispute over military use of...