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FxWirePro: Sterling advances on delayed Brexit tail risks and UK rate hopes – GBP/JPY hedging frameworks

Apr 18, 2018 07:32 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

GBPs performance in January was stronger than we had expected on a combination of less immediate tail risk from Brexit(following outline political agreement in December over a stand-still transition once the UK leaves the...

FxWirePro: What drives AUD/JPY long portfolios?

Apr 17, 2018 12:42 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The macro conditions are coming together to drive a pocket of JPY underperformance, albeit one that is likely to be limited in duration and magnitude, weve shown some significant driving forces: 1) We reckon that the...

FxWirePro: President Trump’s interference into Fed keeps FX universe edgy but rate spreads to cushion dollar

Apr 17, 2018 11:23 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

FX markets have been seeming indifferent to a lot recently, with most major pairs confined to sideways ranges despite the exceptionally large deluge of geopolitical and trade war risk headlines in the past two...

FxWirePro: Trade and hedge USD/CAD via Diagonal Ratio Call Spreads ahead of BoC

Apr 17, 2018 10:27 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

The BoC should have an interest in the CAD not appreciating significantly against the USD. After all, it does not want to burden the economic and inflation outlook too much with a strong CAD as the competitiveness of...

FxWirePro: Scandis trade perspectives - Encourage NOK longs via shorting EUR/NOK cash trade and long NOK/SEK via optionality

Apr 17, 2018 09:14 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

The Norges Bank sounds ever more confident about economic prospects and keen to start the process of rate normalization seven years after the last hike. Just today Governor Olsen remarked on the solid prospects for...

FxWirePro: Best risk-reward expression of CAD underperformance reversal - Three factors that drives CAD/JPY longs

Apr 17, 2018 07:40 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The potential near-term NAFTA break-through is a potential catalyst for the recent retracement of this underperformance to run significantly further. Therefore we buy CADJPY (bought at 84.036, stop at 82.34) as a best...

FxWirePro: Figure CAD risk premium ahead of BoC – USD/CAD Reverse knock out spreads to trade and hedge

Apr 17, 2018 06:12 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The back and forth in the NAFTA renegotiations has been the main driver of CAD exchange rates in recent months. In the interim, we expect the broad USD to continue to appeal to its countercyclical properties and continue...

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Economy

What should you do if you can’t pay your rent or mortgage?

The cost of living crisis is making it difficult for many people to pay their bills, including housing costs. Private sector rents have increased by an average 9% over the year to February 2024, and rising interest rates...

Reducing energy demand and improving efficiency will help prevent the next gas crisis

Gas prices have relaxed, Europe has come out of the winter with record gas storage levels and a surfeit of liquefied natural gas is set to reach the shores of Europe over the coming years. Many commentators are hopeful...

Minimum wage for South African farm workers: study shows 2013 hike helped reduce poverty even though compliance was poor

Minimum wage policies are typically aimed at reducing poverty. Yet there is little direct evidence of this effect, especially in developing countries. And none for South Africa. In a recent paper, we consider the...

Gas is good until 2050 and beyond, under Albanese gas strategy

The Albanese government is talking up the crucial role of gas as a transition fuel through to 2050 and beyond. In a gas strategy to be released on Thursday, the government envisages the fuels uses would change over...

South Africa’s plan to move away from coal: 8 steps to make it succeed

The South African governments Just Energy Transition Implementation Plan was launched in November 2023. It is a roadmap guiding the country away from reliance on coal-fired power towards renewable energy alternatives by...

Politics

Donald Trump Allegedly Offers Oil Execs a Deal to Scrap EV Incentives for $1B Donation

Former President Donald Trump reportedly proposed a $1 billion deal to oil executives, offering to end electric vehicle (EV) subsidies in return for campaign funding, according to The Washington Post. This move underscores...

US Supreme Court upended decades of precedent in 2022 by allowing voters to vote with gerrymandered maps instead of fixing the congressional districts first

For the 2022 midterm elections, the U.S. Supreme Court allowed Alabama to use congressional districts that violated the law and diluted the voting power of Black citizens. A 5-4 vote by the Supreme Court in February...

Germany lowers voting age to 16 for the European elections

Ahead of the European parliament elections in June, Germany has lowered the age limit on participation to 16. This makes it the largest of just a handful of states in the EU to allow people under the age of 18 to vote....

South Africa will be president of the G20 in 2025: two much-needed reforms it should drive

South Africa will play an important international role in 2025 as president of the G20. The G20 is a group of 19 countries as well as the African Union and the European Union. Between them they represent 85% of global...

What early 2024 polls are revealing about voters of color and the GOP

By the end of winter 2024, the return of Donald Trump to the top of the GOP presidential ticket has revealed a surprising trend in the former presidents base of support: his increasing popularity among Black and Latino...

Science

Is dark matter’s main rival theory dead? There’s bad news from the Cassini spacecraft and other recent tests

One of the biggest mysteries in astrophysics today is that the forces in galaxies do not seem to add up. Galaxies rotate much faster than predicted by applying Newtons law of gravity to their visible matter, despite those...

Why are algorithms called algorithms? A brief history of the Persian polymath you’ve likely never heard of

Algorithms have become integral to our lives. From social media apps to Netflix, algorithms learn your preferences and prioritise the content you are shown. Google Maps and artificial intelligence are nothing without...

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

Technology

Altcoins Expected to Yield 2x-5x Gains by May End: Fetch.AI, Floki, AAVE, ENA

The latest climb in Bitcoins price beyond $65,000 on Wednesday sparked a new relief rally in the cryptocurrency market. Top altcoins are also profiting from the upward momentum, recovering from recent downturn tendencies....

US Orthodontic Leader Accepts Shiba Inu, Embracing Cryptocurrency for Payments

Shiba Inu, the popular meme coin, is experiencing a period of growth and increased utility. Amoré Orthodontic Aligners, a company that specializes in orthodontic care, recently announced that it will now accept SHIB...

Crypto Lender Genesis to Return $3 Billion in Bankruptcy Wind-Down Amid Rising Creditor Haircuts

Crypto lender Genesis Global received court approval to return nearly $3 billion to customers, while a report highlights a significant increase in creditor haircuts in bankruptcy cases to 73% in FY24. Judge Approves...

Binance Enhances SHIB, USTC, AGIX Trading and Liquidity for Better Market Dynamics

Binance has announced efforts to enhance liquidity and trading for Shiba Inu (SHIB), USTC, and SingularityNET (AGIX), including tick size adjustments aimed at improving market dynamics and trading experience. Binances...

OpenAI Disbands Team Tackling AI Risks Amid Leadership Changes and GPT-4o Launch

OpenAI has dismantled its Superalignment team, initially formed to address AI risks, following the resignations of key leaders Ilya Sutskever and Jan Leike. OpenAI Disbands Superalignment Team Days After Leaders Resign,...