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Adrian Beaumont

Adrian Beaumont

I am a PhD student at the University of Melbourne’s Department of Mathematics and Statistics. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. In the lead-up to the Australian Federal election, I will be writing a post every week about the latest polls and what they mean for the number of seats that will be won by each party in the 150-member Australian House of Representatives.

No chance of US gun control despite Las Vegas massacre; NZ left gains two seats after special votes

Oct 08, 2017 02:14 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

In the last decade, there have been many horrific gun crimes in the US, where at least 10 people have been murdered in the one incident. However, the National Rifle Association has successfully fought all efforts to impose...

Former FBI director James Comey very likely caused Trump's win

May 13, 2017 03:14 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

On Tuesday, Donald Trump dramatically sacked FBI director James Comey. There has been speculation that Comey was fired in an attempt to prevent an FBI investigation into Trumps ties to Russia. While such an...

US under Trump Series

Obamacare repeal vote shows power of US hard right

May 07, 2017 09:01 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics Law

Since the passage of the 2010 Affordable Care Act, otherwise known as Obamacare, Republicans have attempted to repeal it. In March, the first attempt to repeal and replace Obamacare under President Trump failed, as both...

US under Trump Series

Anti-Trump backlash at US by-elections

Apr 12, 2017 14:44 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Today, a by-election was held in Kansas fourth Congressional District (CD) for election to the US House. This CD is very conservative, and voted for Donald Trump by 60-33 against Hillary Clinton at the 2016 election. At...

US Election Series

US under Trump Series

US election final results: how Trump won

Dec 17, 2016 15:00 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

At the US election held on 8 November, Donald Trump won the Electoral College by 306 Electoral Votes (EVs), to 232 EVs for Hillary Clinton. While this seems a convincing victory, Trump won four states by 1.2% or less:...

Briferendum Series

Coalition likely to win following Brexit

Jun 28, 2016 20:49 pm UTC| Politics Insights & Views

The UKs vote to leave the European Union (Brexit) was known by the afternoon of the 24 June Melbourne time. The ReachTEL and Galaxy polls in the table were both taken entirely before the Brexit result was known. The one...

US Election Series

Clinton clinches Democratic nomination after big wins in New Jersey and California

Jun 08, 2016 11:38 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Hillary Clinton today clinched the Democratic Presidential nomination, following big wins in the two highest population states voting. She won New Jersey (126 pledged delegates) 63-37 and California (475) 56-43. She also...

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Economy

Bank Negara Malaysia likely to adopt two rate hikes of 25 bps each in 2018, says ANZ Research

Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) is expected to adopt two rate hikes of 25 basis points each in 20108, with the first one in January 2018, according to a recent report from ANZ Research. The downside surprise to October...

UK gilts decline in muted trading session, reverse gains post Q3 GDP data

The UK gilts declined on the last trading day of the week amid a silent session that witnessed least data of any major economic significance, reversing all gains seen after the release of the third-quarter gross domestic...

German bunds slump after Ifo business climate index beats expectations in November

The German bunds slumped Friday after the countrys business climate index released by Ifo hit a new record-high during the month of November, also surpassing what markets had initially anticipated. The German 10-year...

Euro likely to extend further gains in 2018, says Canadian Imperial Bank

The common currency is expected to extend further gains going into 2018, according to a recent report from the Canadian Imperial Bank. On track to cut back asset purchases later this month, the ECB is now on the precipice...

New Zealand bonds close higher after imports hit record high in October, trade deficit widens

New Zealand government bonds closed higher on Friday after the countrys imports hit a record high in October. Also, rising expectations that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is set to keep interest rates at record lows for...

Politics

Brexit: why Macron has more room to manoeuvre than May and Merkel

Despite the valiant efforts of both the EU and the UK to uphold confidence in the Brexit negotiations process, its clear the talks have been deeply unsatisfactory for both sides. Fundamental conflicts of interest and...

Why PR agencies and their spin should be the subject of greater scrutiny

It was one of the biggest and best-known British PR agencies around. So when Bell Pottinger came crashing down earlier this year, you could be forgiven for wondering why it hadnt prepared a better crisis strategy to deal...

Catalonia crisis: Spain enters unchartered territory following Madrid move to end autonomy

Shortly after Catalonias parliament in Barcelona voted to declare independence from Spain on October 27, the senate in Madrid voted to trigger Article 155 of the Spanish constitution, removing Catalonias autonomy. In...

China's ambition burns bright - with Xi Jinping firmly in charge

The most important political event of 2017, the 19th Chinese Communist Party Congress, has concluded. And while there was much to digest, one image above all stands out: Xi Jinpings political dominance and his burning...

Kuwait's economic interest in mediating the Qatar-Gulf crisis

A blockade against Qatar by its Gulf neighbours is now in its fifth month. Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Egypt and the United Arab Emirates severed socio-economic ties with Qatar as punishment for its alleged support of terrorism...

Science

Drug Addiction Could Be Cured With Gene Therapy

The opioid addiction crisis gripping the U.S. is currently one of the biggest health issues plaguing the country. In many cases, opioid addicts turn to using heroin or methamphetamine in order to get high. In what could...

Cancer Patient Injected With Vaccine For The First Time

Cancer is one of the last remaining major illnesses that still does not have a vaccine, but human trials have finally begun to change all this. Moderna Therapeutics just injected a patient with a cancer vaccine for the...

New Zealand’s Plan To Weaponize CRISPR To Annihilate Pests Sparks Debate In Scientific Community

Its always the same story. Governments want to use science as a weapon of mass destruction, certain members of the scientific community speak up about the potential consequences, and the debates ensue. In the case of New...

Scientists Achieved Real-Time Gene Editing In Live Human Subject For The First Time

Gene editing is considered by many as the future of medicine. The potential uses attributed to the field range from curing all kinds of diseases to making humans practically invulnerable. For the first time, scientists...

Scientist Proves Brain Implant Can Improve Memory By 30%

These days, one of the hottest topics in the tech and medical industries is the matter of cybernetics or merging man with machine. A scientist has recently advanced this field by demonstrating how a brain implant can...

Technology

JPMorgan CEO Calls Bitcoin ‘Stupid’, Offers Bitcoin Trading Anyway

The CEO Of JPMorgan, Jamie Dimon has been quite vocal in his criticism of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. In fact, he has been known to threaten to fire employees who traded in cryptocurrency and called the market stupid....

Russia Finally Acknowledges Radiation Clouds Over Europe But Denies Responsibility

For months now, European monitoring agencies have been detecting radioactive clouds over several EU countries. These agencies have been speculating that these clouds may be coming from Russia. However, not only did Russia...

$35,000 Off-Road EV Has 555 Horsepower And More Torque Than A Tank

While Tesla might be the reigning king of both sports and sedan electric vehicles, its cars are not exactly suited to off-road driving. This is where the Nikola Powersports Nikola Zero UTV (Utility Task Vehicle) could make...

Hawaii Joins In Condemning EA And Loot Boxes, Wants To Block Battlefront II Sales

At this point, its safe to say that loot boxes and microtransactions are incredibly unpopular features in games with anyone except the publishers. Everyone from the gamers to developers, and now, even politicians hate the...

Valve To Make Steam ‘Review Bombing’ Toothless With New Changes

Reviews are meant to inform customers, which is why Valve opted to allow users on its digital distribution platform Steam to leave them on games and other products. However, it would seem that some people have found a way...
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November 24 15:30 UTC Released

USECRI Weekly Index*

Actual

145.6 %

Forecast

Previous

145.6 %

November 24 14:45 UTC Released

US1st Half-Mth Infl YY*

Actual

54.6 %

Forecast

Previous

54.6 %

November 27 09:00 UTC 30863086m

ITExport Prices*

Actual

Forecast

Previous

111 %

November 27 09:00 UTC 30863086m

ITImport Prices*

Actual

Forecast

Previous

116.1 %

November 27 14:00 UTC 33863386m

MXTrade Balance, $*

Actual

Forecast

Previous

-1.886 Bln USD

November 27 14:00 UTC 33863386m

MXTrade Balance SA*

Actual

Forecast

Previous

-1.559 Bln USD

November 27 15:30 UTC 34763476m

USDallas Fed mfg bus index

Actual

Forecast

Previous

27.6

November 27 21:00 UTC 38063806m

KRBOK Manufacturing BSI*

Actual

Forecast

Previous

87 Bln BRL

November 28 00:00 UTC 39863986m

BRCentral Govt Balance

Actual

Forecast

Previous

-22.725 Bln BRL

November 28 07:00 UTC 44064406m

DEGDP Growth QQ* Advance

Actual

Forecast

Previous

10.7 %

Close

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