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Adrian Beaumont

Adrian Beaumont

I am a PhD student at the University of Melbourne’s Department of Mathematics and Statistics. Since 1998, I have had great interest in electoral politics, and I keenly follow both Australian and US elections. In the lead-up to the Australian Federal election, I will be writing a post every week about the latest polls and what they mean for the number of seats that will be won by each party in the 150-member Australian House of Representatives.

No chance of US gun control despite Las Vegas massacre; NZ left gains two seats after special votes

Oct 08, 2017 02:14 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

In the last decade, there have been many horrific gun crimes in the US, where at least 10 people have been murdered in the one incident. However, the National Rifle Association has successfully fought all efforts to impose...

Former FBI director James Comey very likely caused Trump's win

May 13, 2017 03:14 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

On Tuesday, Donald Trump dramatically sacked FBI director James Comey. There has been speculation that Comey was fired in an attempt to prevent an FBI investigation into Trumps ties to Russia. While such an...

US under Trump Series

Obamacare repeal vote shows power of US hard right

May 07, 2017 09:01 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics Law

Since the passage of the 2010 Affordable Care Act, otherwise known as Obamacare, Republicans have attempted to repeal it. In March, the first attempt to repeal and replace Obamacare under President Trump failed, as both...

US under Trump Series

Anti-Trump backlash at US by-elections

Apr 12, 2017 14:44 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Today, a by-election was held in Kansas fourth Congressional District (CD) for election to the US House. This CD is very conservative, and voted for Donald Trump by 60-33 against Hillary Clinton at the 2016 election. At...

US Election Series

US under Trump Series

US election final results: how Trump won

Dec 17, 2016 15:00 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

At the US election held on 8 November, Donald Trump won the Electoral College by 306 Electoral Votes (EVs), to 232 EVs for Hillary Clinton. While this seems a convincing victory, Trump won four states by 1.2% or less:...

Briferendum Series

Coalition likely to win following Brexit

Jun 28, 2016 20:49 pm UTC| Politics Insights & Views

The UKs vote to leave the European Union (Brexit) was known by the afternoon of the 24 June Melbourne time. The ReachTEL and Galaxy polls in the table were both taken entirely before the Brexit result was known. The one...

US Election Series

Clinton clinches Democratic nomination after big wins in New Jersey and California

Jun 08, 2016 11:38 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Hillary Clinton today clinched the Democratic Presidential nomination, following big wins in the two highest population states voting. She won New Jersey (126 pledged delegates) 63-37 and California (475) 56-43. She also...

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Economy

ECB likely to cut deposit rate by 10bp in September meeting; prepares new stimulus: says Rabobank

Finally, the speculation that Lagarde might lose her ECB nomination should Von der Leyen have failed to cross the line can also be put to rest, even though the European Parliament still has to official confirm her as ECB...

U.S. Treasury yields continue upswing ahead of FOMC’s July policy meeting minutes

The U.S. Treasury yields continued upswing during Mondays afternoon session ahead of few notable releases this week, with the main focus on the Federal Open Market Committees (FOMC) end-July monetary policy meeting...

UK gilt yields jump ahead of 10-year auction amid uncertainties over Brexit deal

The United Kingdoms gilt yields jumped during European trading hours Monday, ahead of the countrys 10-year auction, scheduled to be held on August 20 amid hovering uncertainties over a Brexit deal, to be wrapped up by...

German bunds suffer despite lower-than-expected rise in Eurozone July CPI; eyes on August manufacturing PMI

The German bunds suffered during European trading session Monday even after eurozones consumer price inflation (CPI) for the month of July rose lower than market expectations, with eyes still on the Germanys manufacturing...

China pledges to keep yuan exchange rate basically stable, easing market fears over competitive devaluation: Scotiabank

China has pledged to keep the yuan exchange rate basically stable, easing market fears over competitive devaluation and mitigating implied vols (risks) of EM Asian currencies including the Indonesia Rupiah, according to...

Politics

Donald Trump loves that Melania Trump agrees with him about the prenup

The marriage of United States President Donald Trump and First Lady Melania Trump is possibly one of the most followed subjects in the media today. Since Mr. Trump is known for being a wealthy man, many might be wondering...

Prototype of a nuclear missile that Vladimir Putin bragged about allegedly failed

This month marks the 20-year milestone of Russian President Vladimir Putins political career. However, it has been marred with a series of pro-democracy protests in Moscow as well as the death of five scientists from a...

To restore trust in government, we need to reinvent how the public service works

Around the world, the most informed and effective public servants are changing the way they develop policy and services. Australian public servants are eager to do the same, but their leaders are not supporting them to do...

Why we can't just blame rising inequality for the growth of populism around the world

The idea is now commonplace that income inequality is inexorably on the rise. The US experience in particular has become central to a new grand narrative prominent in public debate and taken to apply across rich countries:...

Russian protests highlight how authorities crackdown on activists – by targeting their families

When Dmitri Prokazov and his wife Olga Prokazov recently found themselves caught up in an unsanctioned demonstration in Moscow, while out with their one-year-old son, they didnt expect it to end with prosecutors...

Science

Cryptic genetic variation: the hidden changes in your DNA that could produce new diseases

Rarely has our environment changed so quickly. On top of climate change, were exposing ourselves to air pollutants, microplastics and unprecedented levels of fat, salt and sugar in our food. Environmental change is one...

Lab studies suggest medicinal plants can help repair human bone and tissue

Theres been a rise in recent years of biomedical engineering techniques that can restore lost tissue and bone. If youve been in a car crash, for instance, there are ways to restore or repair the lost body part or damaged...

Environmental destruction is a war crime, but it's almost impossible to fall foul of the laws

An open letter from 24 scientists published in Nature last month calls on governments to draft a new Geneva Convention dedicated to protecting the environment during armed conflict. This inspired a number of headlines...

HIV/AIDS deaths drop despite lack of complete cure

The HIV and AIDS epidemic has been a global challenge for decades. Unfortunately, a complete cure that would kill HIV and AIDS from a patients body is still unavailable. But that does not mean there is no other way to...

Donald Trump’s cancer cure promise still needs proof

Scientists around the world have reported strides in developing more advanced treatments for cancer while the complete cure is still unavailable. Illnesses like cancer are some of the major concerns for many households,...

Technology

‘Cyberpunk 2077’ release date: What are the mini-games that the developers have created inside the title?

Cyberpunk 2077 will be an emotional journey as confirmed by lead quest designer Pawel Sasko. But apart from the storyline, one of the things that are attracting attention is the mini-games that the developers have given...

‘The Last of Us Part 2’ release date: Is Troy Baker dead in the sequel?

There are a lot of speculations surrounding The Last of Us Part 2 as Naughty Dog is maintaining its silence about the sequel. The latest of which is revolving around Joel after the characters voice actor, Troy Baker, said...

‘GTA 6’ rumor originating from 4chan likely a fake

Another GTA 6 speculation is circulating online after Rockstar North took down the massive banner of Red Dead Redemption 2 that adorned its front building. The gaming studio is responsible for creating the GTA series, so...

Developers promise the series will not end in ‘Borderlands 3’

Borderlands 3 will be released in less than a month and fans of the series are looking forward to it, especially for its new co-op gameplay. On the other hand, some gamers are wondering whether it is going to be the...

South Korea’s generous incentives might boost Tesla Model 3’s sales

Tesla has become a household name in North America, especially in the United States, where more and more consumers are choosing to get electric vehicles that can drive itself. This year, the company is seeing major...
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July 2 15:00 UTC Released

DKCurrency Reserves

Actual

449.6 Stale

Forecast

Previous

451.7 Stale

July 2 13:45 UTC Released

USISM NY Biz Conditions

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50 %

Forecast

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48.6 %

January 31 00:00 UTC 815088815088m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

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2016 bln ARS

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January 31 00:00 UTC 815088815088m

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2016 bln ARS

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Bln AR bln ARS

January 22 19:00 UTC 826908826908m

ARTrade Balance

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-1541 %

January 31 00:00 UTC 815088815088m

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2016 bln ARS

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January 22 19:00 UTC 826908826908m

ARTrade Balance

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-1541 %

January 31 00:00 UTC 815088815088m

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2016 bln ARS

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Bln AR bln ARS

January 31 00:00 UTC 815088815088m

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2016 bln ARS

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Bln AR bln ARS

January 31 00:00 UTC 815088815088m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

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Forecast

2016 bln ARS

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Bln AR bln ARS

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