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Leighton Vaughan Williams

Leighton Vaughan Williams

Leighton is Professor of Economics and Finance. He is Head of Economics Research and Director of the Betting Research Unit and Political Forecasting Unit at Nottingham Business School. Leighton's main teaching is in the area of money, risk, forecasting, efficiency of markets and financial economics.

US Election Series

The madness of crowds, polls and experts confirmed by Trump victory

Nov 09, 2016 19:09 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Since records began in 1868, no clear favourite for the White House has lost, except in the case of the 1948 election, when 8 to 1 longshot Harry Truman defeated his Republican rival, Thomas Dewey. We can now add 2016...

US Election Series

As US primaries rumble on, betting markets declare the Sanders campaign all but dead

Apr 25, 2016 23:37 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

The race for the Democratic nomination is in the home stretch and victory is in sight, declared Hillary Clinton in the victory speech heralding her resounding New York primary triumph over Bernie Sanders. If anything,...

How the wisdom of crowds could solve the mystery of Shakespeare's 'lost plays'

Apr 14, 2016 15:33 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Are the many wiser than the few? Are the masses cleverer than the expert? This is a question which has in recent years attracted an explosion of interest, perhaps most famously popularised by James Surowieckis 2004 book,...

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Economy

UK gilts surge on better-than-expected October consumer price inflation; retail sales data in focus

The UK gilts surged during Wednesdays afternoon session after the countrys consumer price inflation for the month of October impressed market participants, albeit remaining unchanged from that in September. Also,...

German bunds gain after Q3 GDP falls, albeit better than expectations; 10-year auction in focus

The German bunds gained during European session Wednesday following a fall in the countrys gross domestic product (GDP) for the third quarter of this year, released today, albeit better than market...

German bunds gain after Q3 GDP falls, albeit better than expectations; 10-year auction in focus

The German bunds gained during European session Wednesday following a fall in the countrys gross domestic product (GDP) for the third quarter of this year, released today, albeit better than market...

Australia’s Q3 wage price index rises to highest in three years; AUD/USD trades range-bound

Australias wage price index for the third quarter of this year rose to its highest in three years, while the AUD/USD currency traded range-bound at the time of writing during Asian session Tuesday. Further inroads into...

Australian bonds rally in muted trade ahead of October employment report, RBA Assistant Gov Debelle’s speech

Australian bonds rallied during Asian session Wednesday amid a muted trading session that witnessed data of little economic significance. However, investors will keep a close eye on the countrys employment report for the...

Politics

Threats remain to US voting system – and voters' perceptions of reality

As the 2018 midterms proceed, there are still significant risks to the integrity of the voting system and information warfare continues to try to influence the American publics choices when they cast their ballots. On...

View from The Hill: Katter waves Section 44 stick in a 'notice North Queensland' moment

On the day independent Kerryn Phelps was officially declared the winner in Wentworth, a shot was fired across Scott Morrisons bows to remind him of the challenge of managing a now-hung parliament. It came not from...

Religion and refugees are deeply entwined in the US

Robert Bowers lashed out at what he believed to be a Jewish plot to bring more refugees and asylum seekers to the U.S. before allegedly murdering 11 people at the Tree of Life synagogue in Pittsburgh. Bowerss claim that...

International election observers evaluating US midterm elections will face limitations

The Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe, or OSCE, is sending international election observers to the 2018 U.S. midterm election. American voters may be surprised to learn such visits are routine. In...

Ideologically motivated far-right extremists have killed close to 500 people since 1990 – and 10 percent were targeted based on religion

The mass shooting at the Tree of Life synagogue in Pittsburgh exemplifies an increasingly deadly form of domestic terrorism committed by far-right extremists: the targeting of institutions and individuals due to their...

Science

Dramatic galaxy collision filled the Milky Way with stars, astronomers discover

Imagine trying to map out your home town using only information you could gather from your window. Even with a pair of binoculars youd find it a difficult task. Mapping out our own galaxy, the Milky Way, is a similarly...

How thoughtful, content-rich tutorials can help science students learn

Learning is not a spectator sport. Students need to make what they learn a part of their everyday lives. Tutorials are an excellent way to achieve this at university level. When theyre properly designed, tutorials can be...

Curious Kids: If a star explodes, will it destroy Earth?

This is an article from Curious Kids, a series for children. The Conversation is asking kids to send in questions theyd like an expert to answer. All questions are welcome: find out how to enter at the bottom. You might...

Explainer: what any country can and can't do in Antarctica, in the name of science

Antarctica is owned by no one, but there are plenty of countries interested in this frozen island continent at the bottom of the Earth. While there are some regulations on who can do what there, scientific research has...

We've spotted signs of collisions that may finally help us prove that supermassive black holes exist

Observations of nature tend to throw up unexpected results and new mysteries whether youre investigating the rain forest or outer space. When radio astronomy took off in the 1950s, we had no idea that it would lead to the...

Technology

Bitcoin Latest News & Update: SEC Close to Approving VanEck Bitcoin ETF?

Bitcoin is still trading at a fairly calm state as the cryptocurrencys value wobbles between $6,000 and $6,800. Although this is quite unusual for Bitcoin, it isnt the first for the cryptocurrency to behave in such a way...

AMD Latest News & Update: To Demolish Intel with New EPYC 7371 Processor? Targets Data Centers

AMD has been on a roll recently and the announcement for its new EPYC 7371 Threadripper processor threatens to absolutely bury whatever Intel has to offer. This new monster of a chip comes with 64 cores from the Zen 2 line...

Jailbreak for iOS 12.1 Latest News & Update: Downgrade Advised, Apple Plays Cat & Mouse with Hackers

Jailbreak for iOS 12.1 is proving to be challenging and Apple is simply not letting up. There are those within the mobile software community who are working hard to create a jailbreak kit for the latest iOS version....

‘GTA 6’ Release Date, News & Update: Should Upcoming Game Receive a New Map?

GTA 6 is making a lot of noise on the web again as its predecessor recently accomplished another milestone for the gaming studio. GTA 5 has now reportedly shipped over 100 million copies worldwide, increasing the...

‘Darksiders 3’ Release Date, News & Update: Is the New DLC Coming Out in 2018?

Darksiders 3 is one of the most awaited titles coming out this year and the long wait is finally coming to an end. Gunfire Games announced that theyre going to be releasing the third part of the title on Nov. 27 and has...
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November 14 10:00 UTC Released

EZEmployment Overall Flash

Actual

158285.6 Person

Forecast

Previous

157972 Person

November 14 10:00 UTC Released

BR10 Inflation Index

Actual

-0.16 %

Forecast

-0.14 %

Previous

1.43 %

January 31 00:00 UTC 413928413928m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

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2016 bln ARS

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Bln AR bln ARS

January 31 00:00 UTC 413928413928m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

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Bln AR bln ARS

January 22 19:00 UTC 425748425748m

ARTrade Balance

Actual

Forecast

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-1541 %

January 31 00:00 UTC 413928413928m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

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Forecast

2016 bln ARS

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Bln AR bln ARS

January 22 19:00 UTC 425748425748m

ARTrade Balance

Actual

Forecast

Previous

-1541 %

January 31 00:00 UTC 413928413928m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

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Bln AR bln ARS

January 31 00:00 UTC 413928413928m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

Previous

Bln AR bln ARS

January 31 00:00 UTC 413928413928m

ARAnnual Primary Balance*

Actual

Forecast

2016 bln ARS

Previous

Bln AR bln ARS

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