EM credit momentum strategy turns ‘short’
May 05, 2015 22:06 pm UTC| Commentary
Momentum strategy based on the EMBIG Diversified Index (vs its 18-day moving average) has turned to indicate a short signal after being long since 20 March.Weaker-than-expected Q1 US economic data has led to US dollar...
Taiwan weak global oil prices likely boosted trade surplus in April
May 05, 2015 21:45 pm UTC| Commentary
Taiwan is scheduled to release April trade data on 7 May. Exports are expected to have increased by 0.35% y/y, reversing two straight months of negative growth.The local tech sector benefited from steady global demand for...
Australia unemployment rate likely rose to 6.2% in April
May 05, 2015 21:03 pm UTC| Commentary
The Australian Bureau of Statistics will release April labour-market data on 7 May. Moderate job creation of 4,000 jobs are expected, versus 37,700 in March.The unemployment rate likely rose to 6.2% from 6.1% in March,...
EM manufacturing weakens further as BRICs struggle
May 05, 2015 18:15 pm UTC| Commentary
Manufacturers across the emerging world appear to have continued to struggle in April, according to the latest PMI data. The slowdown was driven by weakness in the larger BRIC economies. Meanwhile, although PMIs also...
US ISM Non-manufacturing remains at robust level
May 05, 2015 17:38 pm UTC| Commentary
The rebound in the ISM non-manufacturing index to a five-month high of 57.8 in April, from 56.5, leaves it at a level that historically has been consistent with GDP growth of nearly 4% annualised. Accordingly, there is...
Today’s trade report suggests US final GDP figure may be negative
May 05, 2015 17:18 pm UTC| Commentary
That meager 0.2 percent preliminary increase in reported Q1 U.S. GDP could actually be in jeopardy. After todays trade report the final GDP figure may be negative.The U.S. trade deficit soared 43 percent in March to $51.4...
US ISM non-manufacturing shows some recent headwinds weighing on U.S. growth are starting to lift
May 05, 2015 17:03 pm UTC| Commentary
The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) non-manufacturing index rose by 1.3 points to 57.8 in April, well above the median consensus forecast which called for a modest pullback to 56.2.This mornings ISM release stands in...