Consumption may lead Mexican growth next year

Dec 22, 2015 05:23 am UTC| Commentary

Seasonally adjusted retail sales figure in Mexico escalated by 0.3% month on month for October. In annual terms, the year on year retail sales rose by 4.8%. The result is in line with markets expectation. Since the retail...

BoC likely to begin tightening monetary policy in Q4 2016

Dec 22, 2015 05:08 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

As the year progresses, a pullback is likely in USD/CAD, on an expected stabilization after rebounce in crude oil prices, better performance in non resource sector. Benefits of a weak CAD are likely to present a boost...

Currency War Series

Two more cuts likely from RBA in H1 2016

Dec 22, 2015 04:36 am UTC| Commentary

Mirroring the lack of front end direction in AU/US rate spreads, AUD/USD is still trading in 0.70/0.74 range. This spread is likely to narrow from both sides over coming three months, sending the pair lower. Our...

USD/CAD likely to trade around 1.45 in short term

Dec 22, 2015 04:20 am UTC| Commentary

As a result of tumbling crude oil prices, CAD is ending 2015 the same wat as it started the year. Currently USD/CAD is trading at 11 year high as crude oil prices trade below $35 per barrel after the OPECs December...

EUR/NOK likely to be at 9.00 by end 2016

Dec 22, 2015 03:41 am UTC| Commentary

NOKs short term moves are dictated by oil, but long term outlook depends on oil prices lasting effects to domestic drivers. NOK is down nearly 30% in import weighted terms since early 2013. In real trade weighted terms,...

Spanish assets likely to suffer

Dec 22, 2015 02:43 am UTC| Commentary

In the recent polls in Spain, the financial markets were hoping for election results which would allow PPCs government to be formed. These results will come as a disappointment, with the Spanish assets set to suffer from...

BoJ Tankan show corporates fine now but worried about the future

Dec 22, 2015 02:43 am UTC| Commentary

The BoJ quarterly Tankan showed corporate sentiment was stable between September and December, a somewhat firmer result than expected. The headline DI of large manufacturers business sentiment stayed flat at 12, while the...