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FxWirePro: Macro level hedging radar amid fading interest rates and political tail risks

Mar 23, 2017 11:00 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

The USD index has set a new low for the year having dropped 1.25% on the Feds caution. Not only that, the dollar has now retraced over 60% of the entire Trump rally, which goes a long way to validating a key assumption in...

FxWirePro: EURGBP call spread to complement handful of proxy EUR recovery trades

Mar 23, 2017 10:54 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

The portfolio was tactically long USD into the FOMC but only where positioning and valuations were most favorable (CAD and GBP). This was partially hedged through a USDCHF put. The delivery of only a dovish hike counts...

BoE, ECB unlikely to change monetary policy stances through 2017, says Lloyds Bank

Mar 23, 2017 07:58 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

Neither the Bank of England (BoE) nor the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to change their monetary policy stances throughout the remainder of 2017. However, following their latest respective policy meetings, the...

FxWirePro: Idiosyncratic drivers engulf most EMEA EM currency space

Mar 23, 2017 07:33 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

We think the idiosyncratic drivers for both ZAR (political uncertainty ahead of ANC leadership contest in December) and RUB (central banks response to persistent currency strength) are likely to remain in the background...

FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 23rd March 2017

Mar 23, 2017 05:08 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Lots of economic dockets and events scheduled for today but all with low to medium volatility risks associated. Upcoming: Germany: GFK consumer confidence survey for April will be published at 7:00...

Central Banking Series

ECB's Villeroy calls for continuance of accommodative monetary policy

Mar 22, 2017 16:39 pm UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Francois Villeroy de Galhau speaking at a business conference in Frankfurt said that the ECB should continue pursuing accommodative monetary policies, even as inflation...

Central Banking Series

BoE likely to look through above-target inflation, rates to remain on hold this year and probably beyond

Mar 22, 2017 12:26 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

Stronger-than-expected U.K. inflation data for February will lead to speculation for a more hawkish sentiment towards BoE policy. Data released by the Office for National Statistics showed Tuesday that UK Consumer Prices...

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Economy

Oil Prices Surge Amid Middle East Tensions as Houthi Attacks Escalate Conflict

Global oil prices climbed sharply at the start of Mondays trading session following a significant escalation in Middle East hostilities. Yemens Iran-backed Houthi group launched a missile barrage targeting Israel over the...

Asia Markets Tumble as Gulf Conflict Drives Oil Prices to Historic Highs

Asian stock markets fell sharply on Monday as investors braced for a prolonged Gulf conflict that has sent oil prices surging to their highest monthly gains in decades, raising serious concerns about global inflation and a...

Bank of Japan Signals Rate Flexibility Amid Yen Volatility

Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirmed on Monday that the central bank will keep a close eye on foreign exchange rate movements, acknowledging their significant influence on Japans economic outlook and...

WTO Digital Trade Talks Stall as E-Commerce Tariff Deadline Looms

Trade ministers convening in Cameroon for the World Trade Organization ministerial summit are entering a critical final stretch with no agreement in sight on one of global commerces most consequential digital policy...

Australia's Energy Crisis: Free Public Transport as Fuel Shortages Bite

Victoria and Tasmania have rolled out emergency public transport fare waivers as surging fuel costs put pressure on Australian households. The relief measures come amid a month of escalating supply risks linked to Middle...

Politics

Trump Says Iran Nuclear Deal Could Be Near as Direct Talks Progress

President Donald Trump announced Sunday that the United States is actively engaged in direct negotiations with Iran, expressing cautious optimism that a diplomatic agreement could be reached soon. Speaking to reporters...

Pakistan Leads Diplomatic Push to Reopen Strait of Hormuz Amid Iran War

Pakistan brought together foreign ministers from Turkey, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia in Islamabad on Sunday in a high-stakes diplomatic effort to end the ongoing Iran war and restore critical oil shipping routes through the...

Trump Eyes Military Operation to Seize Iran's Uranium Stockpile

President Donald Trump is reportedly weighing a bold military operation to physically extract nearly 1,000 pounds of uranium from Iran, according to a Wall Street Journal report citing senior U.S. officials. While no final...

Iran-U.S. Military Tensions Escalate: Markets, Universities, and the Strait of Hormuz at Risk

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have intensified dramatically as Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) issued a stark warning targeting U.S.-affiliated universities across neighboring countries. The IRGC...

Pakistan's Diplomatic Pivot: Brokering Peace Between the U.S. and Iran

Pakistan has undergone a remarkable foreign policy transformation, shifting from regional isolation to becoming one of the most consequential diplomatic players in the Middle East. Under the joint leadership of Prime...

Science

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Technology

Cybersecurity Stocks Tumble After Anthropic's Claude Mythos AI Leak Sparks Market Fears

Major cybersecurity stocks took a sharp hit Friday following reports that Anthropic accidentally exposed details about its next-generation AI model before its official launch. CrowdStrike fell 7%, Palo Alto Networks...

Chinese Universities with PLA Ties Found Purchasing Restricted U.S. AI Chips Through Super Micro Servers

Procurement records reveal that four Chinese universities, two of which have direct ties to the Peoples Liberation Army, acquired Super Micro Computer servers loaded with restricted Nvidia AI chips over the past year. The...

Federal Judge Blocks Pentagon's Blacklisting of AI Company Anthropic

A federal judge has temporarily prevented the Pentagon from enforcing its designation of Anthropic as a national security supply-chain risk, dealing an early blow to the Trump administration in a growing dispute over...

SMIC Allegedly Supplies Chipmaking Tools to Iran's Military, U.S. Officials Warn

Chinas top semiconductor manufacturer, SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation), has reportedly been transferring chipmaking equipment to Irans military industrial complex, according to two senior Trump...

Google's TurboQuant Algorithm Sends Memory Chip Stocks Tumbling

Major memory chipmakers took a significant hit on Thursday after Google researchers introduced a groundbreaking compression algorithm that threatens to reduce artificial intelligence demand for memory chips. Samsung...