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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: CAD risk skewing positive as BoC dovish stance bending, though not yet breaking – Call Ratio Back Spreads to optimally hedge upside risks

Apr 10, 2017 12:33 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Ongoing data surprises mean forecast upgrades forthcoming in next weeks Monetary Policy Report. The data flow from Canada, similar to what has been seen globally, has surprised almost persistently since last September...

Norway's inflation continues to be dragged by falling airfares, likely to keep Norges Bank on hold

Apr 10, 2017 12:18 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

The Executive Board of the Norges Bank kept its policy rate unchanged at 0.50 percent at its March policy meeting as economists had forecast. Norges Bank has maintained the highest key rate of any major European central...

Central Banking Series

Banxico likely to raise rates further in near-term, tracking similar move by the U.S. Fed

Apr 10, 2017 07:43 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The central bank of Mexico is expected to raise its benchmark interest rate further in the near term, especially in the context of a tightening move by the United States Federal Reserve. The central bank has increased...

FxWirePro: NZD/USD IV skews and macros signal bearish risks – Vanilla options, RVs and KOs trades to hedge

Apr 10, 2017 07:25 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

NZDUSD continues to gravitate slowly towards 0.6900, thanks to a firmer US dollar since late March. The pair in medium term perspective: Potential for higher to the 0.7150-0.7300 area during the month ahead, as USD...

FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 10th April 2017

Apr 10, 2017 04:37 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Lots of economic dockets and events scheduled for today and some with high volatility risks associated. Data released so far: Australia: Home loans declined by 0.5 percent in February, investment lending for homes...

FxWirePro: Intricacies of European derivatives and valuation arguments of Bund Swap spread

Apr 07, 2017 13:12 pm UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

The ECB rhetoric has reduced expectation of an early ECB lift off but the EONIA market is still pricing 10bp of tightening by Jun18. Over the past week, swap spreads narrowed at the front while Bund and Buxl widened...

FxWirePro: EUR/PLN calls and other outright trades lure investors in CEE FX streets

Apr 07, 2017 12:07 pm UTC| Central Banks

The MPC of Polish central bank (NBP) meeting yesterday was a non-event from a rate standpoint. But it brought fresh dovish emphasis as per the market anticipation. Perhaps the CBs latest message is best summarized by...

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Economy

Middle East Conflict Drives Dollar Surge as Yen Hits Critical Threshold

The U.S. dollar maintained its strong position on Monday, heading toward its best monthly performance since July, as escalating Middle East tensions continued to unsettle global financial markets. Investors fleeing to...

WTO Digital Trade Moratorium Expires Amid Stalled Negotiations

The long-standing global moratorium on customs duties for digital downloads and streaming services has officially lapsed, according to a senior World Trade Organization official. The expiration marks a significant turning...

Oil Prices Surge Amid Middle East Tensions as Houthi Attacks Escalate Conflict

Global oil prices climbed sharply at the start of Mondays trading session following a significant escalation in Middle East hostilities. Yemens Iran-backed Houthi group launched a missile barrage targeting Israel over the...

Asia Markets Tumble as Gulf Conflict Drives Oil Prices to Historic Highs

Asian stock markets fell sharply on Monday as investors braced for a prolonged Gulf conflict that has sent oil prices surging to their highest monthly gains in decades, raising serious concerns about global inflation and a...

Bank of Japan Signals Rate Flexibility Amid Yen Volatility

Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirmed on Monday that the central bank will keep a close eye on foreign exchange rate movements, acknowledging their significant influence on Japans economic outlook and...

Politics

Israel Blocks Cardinal from Palm Sunday Mass, Then Reverses Ban

Israeli authorities initially prevented Jerusalems Catholic cardinal from celebrating Palm Sunday at the Church of the Holy Sepulchre, triggering sharp international criticism before Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu...

Pakistan Leads Diplomatic Push to Reopen Strait of Hormuz Amid Iran War

Pakistan brought together foreign ministers from Turkey, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia in Islamabad on Sunday in a high-stakes diplomatic effort to end the ongoing Iran war and restore critical oil shipping routes through the...

Trump Eyes Military Operation to Seize Iran's Uranium Stockpile

President Donald Trump is reportedly weighing a bold military operation to physically extract nearly 1,000 pounds of uranium from Iran, according to a Wall Street Journal report citing senior U.S. officials. While no final...

Iran-U.S. Military Tensions Escalate: Markets, Universities, and the Strait of Hormuz at Risk

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have intensified dramatically as Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) issued a stark warning targeting U.S.-affiliated universities across neighboring countries. The IRGC...

Pakistan's Diplomatic Pivot: Brokering Peace Between the U.S. and Iran

Pakistan has undergone a remarkable foreign policy transformation, shifting from regional isolation to becoming one of the most consequential diplomatic players in the Middle East. Under the joint leadership of Prime...

Science

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Technology

Cybersecurity Stocks Tumble After Anthropic's Claude Mythos AI Leak Sparks Market Fears

Major cybersecurity stocks took a sharp hit Friday following reports that Anthropic accidentally exposed details about its next-generation AI model before its official launch. CrowdStrike fell 7%, Palo Alto Networks...

Chinese Universities with PLA Ties Found Purchasing Restricted U.S. AI Chips Through Super Micro Servers

Procurement records reveal that four Chinese universities, two of which have direct ties to the Peoples Liberation Army, acquired Super Micro Computer servers loaded with restricted Nvidia AI chips over the past year. The...

Federal Judge Blocks Pentagon's Blacklisting of AI Company Anthropic

A federal judge has temporarily prevented the Pentagon from enforcing its designation of Anthropic as a national security supply-chain risk, dealing an early blow to the Trump administration in a growing dispute over...

SMIC Allegedly Supplies Chipmaking Tools to Iran's Military, U.S. Officials Warn

Chinas top semiconductor manufacturer, SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation), has reportedly been transferring chipmaking equipment to Irans military industrial complex, according to two senior Trump...

Google's TurboQuant Algorithm Sends Memory Chip Stocks Tumbling

Major memory chipmakers took a significant hit on Thursday after Google researchers introduced a groundbreaking compression algorithm that threatens to reduce artificial intelligence demand for memory chips. Samsung...
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