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FxWirePro: AUD/USD Hedging Barometer and Derivatives Strategies Ahead of RBA

Nov 04, 2019 08:08 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Ahead of RBAs monetary policy scheduled for this week, the OTC outlook of AUDUSD are useful for the options strategic framework. Please be noted that the positively skewed IVs of 3m tenors still signify the hedgers...

BoJ likely to keep policy rates unchanged through 2020, says Capital Economics

Oct 31, 2019 14:24 pm UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is expected to keep policy rates unchanged throughout next year, after leaving on hold today and reiterated its readiness to ease policy if required, according to the latest research report from...

FxWirePro: Take Glance At FOMC’s Hawkish Rhetoric and EUR/USD Derivatives Trades

Oct 31, 2019 13:52 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Yesterday, the Federal Reserve delivered the hawkish rate cut as widely anticipated. A rate cut by 25bp to 1.50-1.75%, two FOMC members voted against the step and there was one dove (James Bullard) who was content with...

FxWirePro: Fed’s Hawkishness Fuels Kiwis Gains – Diagonal Debit Put Spreads Best Suitable For NZD/USD

Oct 31, 2019 10:26 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

TheUS Federal Reservecut its policy rate by 25bp to a range midpoint of 1.625% - its third consecutive reduction, and widely expected. Its statement on the outlook did not signal further cuts but retained the optionality...

Central Banking Series

Why the Fed has no choice but to keep cutting interest rates?

Oct 31, 2019 06:13 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks Economy

The U.S. Federal Reserve is stuck between an apparently booming economy and a financial crisis that might be right around the corner. Thats why its decision to cut interest rates by another quarter point on Oct. 30 its...

FxWirePro: Deploy USD/BRL Calendar Spreads on Lingering Hopes of BCB Rate Cuts

Oct 30, 2019 12:43 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

How much further will the Brazilian central bank (BCB) cut its key rate? Today it will certainly cut it by a further 50bp to then 5%. It had signalled its willingness to do so at its last meeting in September, and the...

FxWirePro: Spotlight on AUD’s Vols Divergence To EMFX and FVAs Ahead of RBA and Fed

Oct 30, 2019 12:05 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The Aussie has closed within a 0.6700 - 0.6900 range every day since late July. Iron ore prices are rolling over on patchy demand and resilient supply, while we believe the US and China still have major hurdles which will...

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Economy

Dollar Holds Firm as Markets Weigh Warsh-Led Fed and Yen Weakness Ahead of Japan Election

The U.S. dollar held onto its recent gains on Monday as global investors assessed what monetary policy could look like under a Federal Reserve chaired by Kevin Warsh, a figure widely seen as favoring a smaller Fed balance...

China Manufacturing PMI Slips Into Contraction in January as Weak Demand Pressures Economy

Chinas manufacturing activity contracted in January, signaling renewed economic pressure as weak domestic demand weighed heavily on production and orders, according to official data released on Saturday. The official...

Japan Election Poll Signals Landslide Win for Sanae Takaichi, Raising Fiscal Policy Concerns

Japans ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), led by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, is poised for a decisive victory in the upcoming lower house election, according to a new opinion poll released by the Asahi newspaper....

India Budget 2026: Modi Government Eyes Reforms Amid Global Uncertainty and Fiscal Pressures

Indias central government is set to present its annual budget on Sunday, a closely watched event as Prime Minister Narendra Modis administration seeks to accelerate domestic reforms while navigating rising global...

China Home Prices Rise in January as Government Signals Stronger Support for Property Market

Average prices of new homes across 100 major Chinese cities recorded an increase in January, while price declines in the secondary housing market continued to narrow, according to a private survey. The data suggests early...

Politics

U.S. Accuses Cuba of Harassing Top Diplomat Amid Rising Tensions

The United States has accused Cuba of interfering with the work of its senior diplomat in Havana after videos emerged showing small groups of Cubans verbally harassing him during visits outside the capital. The incident...

Democrats Score Surprise Texas State Senate Win, Fueling Momentum Ahead of 2026 Midterms

A Democratic candidate has won a closely watched Texas state senate special election by a double-digit margin, flipping a Republican-held seat for the first time in decades and adding to growing Democratic momentum ahead...

Trump Proposes Two-Year Shutdown of Kennedy Center Amid Ongoing Turmoil

President Donald Trump has proposed that the John F. Kennedy Memorial Center for the Performing Arts suspend all events for approximately two years, beginning July 4, as part of what he described as a major transformation...

Russian Drone Strike Kills Miners as Ukraine Pushes for Peace Talks Amid Energy Crisis

A Russian drone strike on a bus carrying Ukrainian miners has killed at least 12 people in the southeastern Dnipropetrovsk region, according to Ukrainian officials, underscoring the continued human cost of the war even as...

Syria Detains Group Over Rocket Attacks on Damascus Military Airport Amid Hezbollah Allegations

Syria announced on Sunday that its security forces have detained a group accused of carrying out a series of rocket attacks targeting the Mezzeh military airport in Damascus, a strategic site near the capital. According to...

Science

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Technology

Elon Musk’s Empire: SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI Merger Talks Spark Investor Debate

Speculation around a potential Musk Inc has resurfaced as Elon Musks companiesSpaceX, Tesla, and xAIexplore closer ties amid rapid advances in artificial intelligence and automation. With SpaceX expected to go public later...

SpaceX Reports $8 Billion Profit as IPO Plans and Starlink Growth Fuel Valuation Buzz

SpaceX delivered a strong financial performance last year, generating an estimated $8 billion in profit on revenues between $15 billion and $16 billion, according to people familiar with the companys results. The figures,...

SpaceX Updates Starlink Privacy Policy to Allow AI Training as xAI Merger Talks and IPO Loom

SpaceX has revised its Starlink privacy policy to allow customer data to be used for artificial intelligence training, a move that could significantly support Elon Musks broader AI ambitions. The policy change comes as...

Nvidia’s $100 Billion OpenAI Investment Faces Internal Doubts, Report Says

Nvidias ambitious plan to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI, aimed at supporting the training and operation of next-generation artificial intelligence models, has reportedly hit a roadblock. According to a report...

Federal Judge Signals Possible Dismissal of xAI Lawsuit Against OpenAI

A U.S. federal judge has signaled she may dismiss a high-profile lawsuit filed by Elon Musks artificial intelligence startup, xAI, against rival OpenAI, dealing a potential setback to Musk in an escalating legal battle...