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US Dollar Hits 18-Month High as Fed Signals More Rate Hikes

US Dollar Hits 18-Month High as Fed Signals More Rate Hikes. Source: Image by Brett Hondow from Pixabay

The U.S. dollar climbed to a nearly 18-month high on Wednesday as Federal Reserve minutes signaled another interest rate hike could come before year-end, while weakness in the euro and British pound provided additional support.

The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the greenback against six major currencies, gained 0.4% to 102.24, hovering around its strongest level since April 9, 2025.

Minutes from the Fed’s September meeting showed that most Federal Open Market Committee participants believed another increase in the federal funds rate would likely be appropriate by the end of 2026. The Fed unanimously raised rates by 25 basis points in September, its first increase in more than three years.

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has also emphasized the challenge of bringing inflation back toward the central bank’s 2% target. However, expectations for an October hike remain limited, with markets assigning an approximately 83% probability that rates will remain unchanged.

The euro fell 0.6% to $1.1195 as investors focused on France’s worsening fiscal outlook and political uncertainty. France’s budget deficit is projected at 5.4% of GDP this year, while public debt is nearing 120% of GDP. The government’s 2027 budget proposal seeks €54 billion in spending reductions to bring the deficit to 5%.

French bond yields have surged amid concerns over public finances and political tensions ahead of next year’s presidential election, adding pressure to the euro.

Sterling also weakened, falling 0.5% to $1.3213 as Britain’s 30-year government bond yield reached its highest level since January 1998. UK officials reiterated their commitment to fiscal credibility amid challenging global financial conditions.

In Asia, the Indian rupee dropped as low as 97.151 per dollar despite the Reserve Bank of India raising its repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50%. The RBI also shifted its policy stance to “calibrated tightening,” but the widely expected hike failed to offset pressure from high crude oil prices and continued capital outflows.

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