South Korea’s Weak Won Struggles as Retail Investors Pour Money Into U.S. Stocks 
Trump Lifts 25% Tariff on Indian Goods in Strategic U.S.–India Trade and Energy Deal 
Global Markets Slide as AI, Crypto, and Precious Metals Face Heightened Volatility 
Thailand Inflation Remains Negative for 10th Straight Month in January 
Bank of Japan Signals Readiness for Near-Term Rate Hike as Inflation Nears Target 
South Korea Assures U.S. on Trade Deal Commitments Amid Tariff Concerns 
Fed Governor Lisa Cook Warns Inflation Risks Remain as Rates Stay Steady 
U.S.-India Trade Framework Signals Major Shift in Tariffs, Energy, and Supply Chains 
Oil Prices Slide on US-Iran Talks, Dollar Strength and Profit-Taking Pressure 
Dollar Near Two-Week High as Stock Rout, AI Concerns and Global Events Drive Market Volatility 
Gold and Silver Prices Slide as Dollar Strength and Easing Tensions Weigh on Metals 
Singapore Budget 2026 Set for Fiscal Prudence as Growth Remains Resilient 
RBI Holds Repo Rate at 5.25% as India’s Growth Outlook Strengthens After U.S. Trade Deal 
Trump’s Inflation Claims Clash With Voters’ Cost-of-Living Reality 
U.S. Stock Futures Slide as Tech Rout Deepens on Amazon Capex Shock 
Japanese Pharmaceutical Stocks Slide as TrumpRx.gov Launch Sparks Market Concerns 
China Extends Gold Buying Streak as Reserves Surge Despite Volatile Prices 
The recent weakness in the U.S. dollar is expected to be unwarranted, considering the gap that has opened up with relative interest rates. The U.S. dollar’s long positioning has moderated significantly and now stands at just +1 on our +/- 50 BNP Paribas Positioning scale, the lowest level since the US election, reported BNP Paribas in its research note.
Moreover, upbeat United States economic data and upside inflation expectations hinted that markets are under-pricing the Federal Reserve interest rate hikes for 2017 and 2018.
“We, therefore, think this is an opportune time to reload USD long exposure. We keep USD longs via options, against the JPY, EUR & CAD,” suggested BNP Paribas in its note.
The BNP Paribas Bank in its research note mentioned that the risk to the bullish U.S. dollar view likely surrounds the unpredictability of the new US President. It may take time for Trump and Congressional Republicans to agree on tax plans. Furthermore, consumers and businesses may be more optimistic, but are choosing to wait to see how policy plays out before committing actual money.
Lastly, the BNP Paribas Bank concluded that it believe these risks are balanced by the light USD positioning, strong economic fundamentals and near-term USD undervaluation.
