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Lessons from Queensland on alcohol, violence and the night-time economy
This is the first in a series of articles on a recently released comprehensive evaluation of the Queensland government’s 2016 policy reforms to tackle alcohol-fuelled violence and the implications for alcohol regulation and the night-time economy in Queensland and Australia. A summary report is also available.
Under the “Tackling Alcohol-Fuelled Violence” policy, which among other things introduced statewide restrictions on trading hours, Queensland has recorded reductions in assaults, ambulance attendances and hospital admissions. These reductions represent a substantial cost saving to the Queensland community. At the same time, tourism and the number of liquor licences have continued to grow in many areas.
Despite this, levels of alcohol-related harm still remain too high, which calls for further effort.
In this article we describe the report findings from “archival” data – data collected by government services. The next three articles will:
The Queensland government has provided an interim response to the report’s 38 recommendations. Community consultation will continue to the end of 2019.
What were the 2016 policy changes?
In 2016, the government responded to community concerns about alcohol-related harm by implementing a multifaceted policy with three broad aims:
Table 1. Measures introduced as a part of the ‘Tackling Alcohol-Fuelled Violence’ policy (click to enlarge). Author provided
The policy measures were partly based on the successful “Newcastle intervention” in New South Wales. From 2008, Newcastle CBD venues closed at 3.30am and had a 1.30am one-way door (or “lockout”). These changes resulted in steady reductions in harms over time.
The measures introduced in Queensland differed from those in Newcastle in four key ways:
The measures were implemented in a series of steps, shown in the timeline below.
Timeline for implementing TAFV measures (click to enlarge). Author provided
How did we measure impact?
We were able to collect and report on more than 40 datasets. The full report provides detailed methods. The main elements include:
administrative service and business data (police, ambulance, hospital, liquor licensing, alcohol sales, transport)
interviews with patrons in the street (including follow-up surveys)
interviews with key informants (licensees, police, support service workers, doctors, licensing officials etc)
structured venue observations
precinct streetscape and business mapping
foot traffic counting
ID scanner data
live music performances (based on events recorded by music rights licensing organisation APRA-AMCOS and Facebook)
education campaign assessments
tourism data and survey
What did we find?
After 2016, there were no deaths around licensed venues in a safe night precinct.
Statewide, the rate of serious assaults from 3am-6am fell by 29% per month on average. But serious assaults increased by 19% earlier in the night (8pm to midnight).
Figure 2. Rate of serious assault (per 100,000 population) during high alcohol hours (8pm-6am Friday and Saturday nights), Queensland. QUANTEM final report, Author provided
A 40% reduction in serious assaults was recorded in Fortitude Valley between 3am and 6am and 35% in Toowoomba (3-6am). Trends were stable elsewhere.
Figure 3. Quarterly counts of serious assault during high alcohol hours, Fortitude Valley. QUANTEM final report, Author provided
Alcohol-related ambulance call-outs were reduced significantly statewide: 11% on average per month 3-6am, and in all safe night precincts (29% 3-6am).
Figure 4. Rate of monthly alcohol-related ambulance call-outs for Queensland, July 2011 to June 2018. QUANTEM final report, Author provided
Hospital admissions for ocular bone fractures also fell significantly statewide, as did intracranial injuries in Greater Brisbane. These are some of the most common fractures related to alcohol.
Figure 5. Monthly count of intracranial injury hospital admissions among 16-to-65-year-olds, Brisbane. QUANTEM final report, Author provided
Hospital admissions for alcohol intoxication and a range of injuries, which had been increasing, also levelled out statewide and in Brisbane.
Figure 6. Monthly rate of alcohol intoxication hospital admissions among 16-to-65-year-olds per 10,000 population, Queensland. QUANTEM final report, Author provided
Other key findings included:
no displacement of issues to outside safe night precincts for most of the state
at least one serious crime solved (such as rape and grievous bodily harm) per week using ID scanner data.
Key findings included:
The economic evaluation identified a A$16 million overall benefit from the changes to the Queensland community. The returns on every dollar spent by govt on implementation have been A$1.96-6.80.
Table 2. Benefit, cost, net present value (NPV) and benefit-cost ratio (BCR) sensitivity analysis using 50% of implementation cost to the government (in 2018 dollars) QUANTEM final report, Author provided
Other findings included:
increased number of liquor licences across Queensland
increased number of people using transport (public transport, taxis and Uber) on weekend nights in Fortitude Valley over time
tourism continues to grow strongly statewide
all live music performances have continued to increase. However, the number of original live music performances may have continued declining since 2012.
Building on the gains
The findings are terrific news in terms of reductions in ambulance callouts, serious assaults and hospital admissions, although alcohol-related harm across much of Queensland has remained stable. Further, the policy has not significantly harmed business and has delivered an overall economic benefit to the community.
The report made recommendations to further reduce alcohol-related harm. These include increasing banning periods for unruly patrons, shutting venues at 3.30am and introducing point-of-sale health promotion.
But, overall, the evaluation is a good news story for the people of Queensland. These findings hold important lessons for other states grappling with how to reduce alcohol-related violence.
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