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• USD/ZAR dipped on Wednesday as dollar weakned after tame U.S. inflation data cemented expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve next month .
• U.S. inflation data showed the consumer price index (CPI) rising slightly less than forecast in the year through July, suggesting President Donald Trump's import tariffs had yet to impact consumer prices..
• South Africa's retail sales grew 1.6% year-on-year in June 2025, slowing from a 4.3% increase in May.On a monthly basis, retail sales were flat, after increasing by 0.2% in the prior month.
• The rand, like other risk-sensitive currencies, often takes cues from global drivers such as U.S. policy and economic data.
• At GMT 13:07,the dollar was down 0.15% at 17.532 against South African rand.
• Immediate resistance is located at 17.719(38.2%fib), any close above will push the pair towards 17.556(SMA 20).
• Strong support is seen at 17.464(23.6%fib) and break below could take the pair towards 17.316 (Lower BB)
Recommendation: Good to buy around 17.500 with stop loss of 17.400 and target price of 17.800
