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• USD/CAD slipped from three month high on Friday as dollar fell after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell pointed to a possible rate cut at the central bank's September .
•Upcoming U.S. payroll and inflation data, scheduled before the Fed’s September rate decision, will be key in shaping expectations for future policy.
• Trump has criticized Powell for being slow to cut interest rates, and traders anticipate he may appoint a more dovish successor when Powell’s term ends in May.
• Powell could remain on the Board of Governors, limiting the number of appointments Trump can make and potentially constraining efforts to shift the board toward a more dovish stance unless additional resignations occur.
• Meanwhile, Canadian retail sales rose 1.5% in June, rebounding from a tariff-related slowdown in May, driven by stronger sales at food and beverage stores.
• Immediate resistance is located at 1.3848(50%fib), any close above will push the pair towards 1.3892(Higher BB).
• Support is seen at 1.3757(SMA 20) and break below could take the pair towards 1.3717(38.2%fib).
Recommendation: Good to buy around 1.3800, with stop loss of 1.3740 and target price of 1.3910
