ECB Rate Outlook: Ceasefire Eases Pressure but Hikes Still Expected in 2026 
Paraguay Holds Interest Rate at 5.5% as Inflation Remains Stable Amid Global Uncertainty 
BOJ Rate Decision in Focus as Yen, Inflation, and Nikkei Hang in Balance 
Bank of England Set to Hold Interest Rates as Inflation Risks and Iran War Impact Loom 
DOJ Ends Probe Into Fed Chair Jerome Powell, Boosting Kevin Warsh Confirmation Prospects 
Fed’s Goolsbee Warns Inflation Remains Elevated, Signals Caution on Rate Cuts 
South Korea Central Bank Signals Cautious Policy Amid Inflation and Middle East Tensions 
Not many economic data and events scheduled for today and some with high volatility risks associated.
Data released so far:
- Australia: TD Securities inflation gauge is up 2.8 percent y/y in May. Companies’ gross operating profit grew 6 percent q/q in the first quarter.
- China: Caixin services PMI grew to 52.8 in May.
Upcoming:
- Spain: Markit services PMI report will be published at 7:15 GMT.
- Italy: Markit services PMI report will be published at 7:45 GMT.
- France: Markit services PMI report will be published at 7:50 GMT.
- Germany: Markit services PMI report will be published at 7:55 GMT.
- Eurozone: Markit services PMI report will be published at 8:00 GMT.
- United Kingdom: Services PMI report will be published at 8:30 GMT. BRC retail sales report will be published at 23:00 GMT.
- United States: 1st quarter non-farm productivity report will be released at 12:30 GMT, along with labor cost report. Markit services PMI report will be published at 13:45 GMT, followed by ISM non-manufacturing PMI, and Factory orders at 14:00 GMT. Labor market condition index will be updated at 14:05 GMT.
- Auction: The US will auction 3-month and 6-month bills at 15:30 GMT.
