As Republican candidate Donald Trump won the US Presidential election, the narrowing of the duration premium, which measured by the yield difference between 10-year and 2-year treasury, reversed course.
Whenever the gap dropped below zero, a recession followed. After declining to 0.78 percent in September, the spread widened to 1.21 percent.


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Singapore Budget 2026 Set for Fiscal Prudence as Growth Remains Resilient
U.S.-India Trade Framework Signals Major Shift in Tariffs, Energy, and Supply Chains
South Korea’s Weak Won Struggles as Retail Investors Pour Money Into U.S. Stocks
Gold Prices Slide Below $5,000 as Strong Dollar and Central Bank Outlook Weigh on Metals
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Russian Stocks End Mixed as MOEX Index Closes Flat Amid Commodity Strength
South Korea Assures U.S. on Trade Deal Commitments Amid Tariff Concerns




