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Fundamental Evaluation Series

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In a hope to return to robust and continued global growth in 2016, a strong footing is expected to come from various ‘growth-supporting factors. In this exclusive series of fundamental evaluations, we provide in-depth analytical views on ongoing structural adjustments, continuing demand/supply imbalances, recurring financial market volatility, purchasing power parities, short rates divergences, balance sheet divergences and intensifying geopolitical problems in light of the FX market.

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Take care when examining the economic impact of fires. GDP doesn't tell the full story

Jan 18, 2020 11:15 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Estimates of the economic damage caused by the bushfires are rolling in, some of them big and some unprecedented, as is the scale of the fires themselves. These types of estimates will be refined and used to make or...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

USD/DKK vs. 2-year yield spread

Oct 31, 2017 07:23 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/DKK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: 2-year yield spread vs. GBP/USD

Sep 22, 2017 11:25 am UTC| Commentary

The chart above shows, how the relationship between GBP/USD and 2-year yield divergence has unfolded since 2012. The cosy relationship between the yield spread and the exchange rate, in this case, is quite visible. Back...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/NOK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 12:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/NOK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CZK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 06:21 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/CZK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen even with a naked eye, that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CHF vs. yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:50 am UTC| Commentary

During our evaluation period beginning 2012, the yield spread between the US 2-year bond and a Swiss equivalent has widened by almost 200 basis points but the exchange rate hasnt followed through as much as it should have...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/JPY vs. 2-year yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:44 am UTC| Commentary

This one pair has been at odds with yield divergence throughout early 2016 as the yen benefited from risk aversion and due to market participants doubts on BoJs abilities to ease policies further. It had shown...

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Economy

U.S.-Iran Talks May Take Days as Oil Prices React to Strait of Hormuz Tensions

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said negotiations with Iran could take several more days, cooling expectations for a quick resolution to the ongoing Middle East conflict. His remarks came after U.S. forces launched...

Sri Lanka Central Bank Surprises Markets With 100 Basis Point Rate Hike Amid Inflation and Currency Pressure

Sri Lankas central bank unexpectedly raised its benchmark interest rate by 100 basis points on Tuesday, increasing the overnight policy rate to 8.75% from 7.75% as the country battles rising inflation, a weakening...

Asian Stocks Slip as U.S.-Iran Tensions Weigh on Markets; South Korea’s KOSPI Hits Record High

Asian stock markets traded mostly lower on Tuesday as renewed U.S. military strikes in Iran weakened investor confidence and reduced optimism surrounding a potential Middle East peace agreement. Despite the cautious...

ASX Shares Plunge as Rising Tech Upgrade Costs Shake Investor Confidence

Shares of ASX Ltd (ASX: ASX) tumbled more than 10% on Tuesday after the Australian stock exchange operator warned investors about a significant increase in future spending tied to major technology upgrades and regulatory...

Huawei Chip Breakthrough Sparks Rally in Hong Kong AI and Semiconductor Stocks

Hong Kong-listed semiconductor and artificial intelligence stocks surged on Tuesday after Huawei Technologies revealed a major breakthrough in chip design, fueling optimism about Chinas push to reduce dependence on U.S....

Politics

DOJ Pushes to Resume Trump White House Ballroom Project After Security Incident

The U.S. Justice Department has renewed its request for a federal judge to remove an injunction blocking progress on President Donald Trumps proposed White House ballroom project, arguing that a recent shooting near the...

Rubio Says Strait of Hormuz Must Stay Open Amid Rising Iran Tensions

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Tuesday that the Strait of Hormuz must remain open following recent U.S. strikes on Iran, stressing that global shipping routes are critical for international stability and energy...

Cambodia King Pardons Opposition Leader Kem Sokha After Treason Conviction

Cambodias King Norodom Sihamoni has officially pardoned former opposition leader Kem Sokha following his controversial treason conviction, according to a royal decree released Monday. The move comes only weeks after a...

Putin Offers Debt Relief to New Russian Recruits Fighting in Ukraine

Russian President Vladimir Putin has signed a new decree granting debt relief to citizens who join the military campaign in Ukraine, according to a statement released by the Kremlin. The measure is part of Russias broader...

Senegal Appoints Economist Ahmadou Al Aminou Lo as Prime Minister Amid IMF Debt Crisis

Senegal President Bassirou Diomaye Faye has appointed veteran economist Ahmadou Al Aminou Lo as the countrys new prime minister following the dismissal of Ousmane Sonko and his cabinet. The move comes as Senegal faces...

Science

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

Technology

Samsung Union Dispute Escalates Over Semiconductor Bonus Vote

A labor dispute at Samsung Electronics is intensifying after a union representing employees outside the semiconductor business filed a court injunction to halt an ongoing vote tied to bonus increases for chip division...

EU Antitrust Probe Could Lead to Massive Google Fine Under DMA Rules

Alphabets Google could face a major antitrust fine from the European Union as regulators intensify enforcement of the Digital Markets Act (DMA). According to a report from Germanys Handelsblatt newspaper, the European...

SpaceX IPO Hype Raises Questions as Many Major Stock Debuts Underperform Market

Wall Street investors are eagerly awaiting the expected SpaceX IPO next month, but history suggests that buying into highly valued stock market debuts may not always deliver strong returns. According to a Reuters analysis...

Morgan Stanley Names Top AI Security and Data Center Stocks for 2026

Morgan Stanley has identified five leading companies in the growing Security, Identity, and Data Centers for AI Agents sector, highlighting firms expected to benefit from rising enterprise demand for secure artificial...

Macquarie Names Five Taiwan AI Stocks Set to Benefit From Data Center Growth in 2026

Macquarie has highlighted five major Taiwanese electronics stocks that it believes are well positioned to benefit from rising artificial intelligence infrastructure spending, data center upgrades, and next-generation...