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Fundamental Evaluation Series

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In a hope to return to robust and continued global growth in 2016, a strong footing is expected to come from various ‘growth-supporting factors. In this exclusive series of fundamental evaluations, we provide in-depth analytical views on ongoing structural adjustments, continuing demand/supply imbalances, recurring financial market volatility, purchasing power parities, short rates divergences, balance sheet divergences and intensifying geopolitical problems in light of the FX market.

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Take care when examining the economic impact of fires. GDP doesn't tell the full story

Jan 18, 2020 11:15 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Estimates of the economic damage caused by the bushfires are rolling in, some of them big and some unprecedented, as is the scale of the fires themselves. These types of estimates will be refined and used to make or...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

USD/DKK vs. 2-year yield spread

Oct 31, 2017 07:23 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/DKK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: 2-year yield spread vs. GBP/USD

Sep 22, 2017 11:25 am UTC| Commentary

The chart above shows, how the relationship between GBP/USD and 2-year yield divergence has unfolded since 2012. The cosy relationship between the yield spread and the exchange rate, in this case, is quite visible. Back...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/NOK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 12:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/NOK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CZK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 06:21 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/CZK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen even with a naked eye, that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CHF vs. yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:50 am UTC| Commentary

During our evaluation period beginning 2012, the yield spread between the US 2-year bond and a Swiss equivalent has widened by almost 200 basis points but the exchange rate hasnt followed through as much as it should have...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/JPY vs. 2-year yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:44 am UTC| Commentary

This one pair has been at odds with yield divergence throughout early 2016 as the yen benefited from risk aversion and due to market participants doubts on BoJs abilities to ease policies further. It had shown...

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Economy

Asian Stocks Rally as Japan’s Nikkei Hits Record High on U.S.-Iran Peace Optimism

Asian stock markets surged on Thursday, led by Japanese equities as investors reacted positively to signs of easing tensions between the United States and Iran. Growing optimism surrounding a possible U.S.-Iran peace...

Gold Prices Rise as Weaker Dollar and U.S.-Iran Peace Hopes Boost Demand

Gold prices moved higher during Asian trading on Thursday after recording their strongest daily gain since March, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and easing concerns over inflation linked to Middle East tensions....

Oil Prices Rebound Slightly After Sharp Drop on Iran Deal Hopes

Oil prices moved modestly higher during Asian trading on Thursday after suffering a steep decline of more than 7% in the previous session. Investors continued to monitor developments surrounding a possible U.S.-Iran...

Dollar Weakens as Iran Peace Hopes Boost Risk Appetite and Yen Gains Strength

The U.S. dollar slipped on Wednesday as investors shifted away from safe-haven assets and moved toward riskier investments following renewed optimism over a possible peace agreement between Washington and Tehran. The...

Wall Street Futures Slip After Record Rally Fueled by Iran Peace Hopes and AMD Surge

U.S. stock index futures edged lower on Wednesday evening after Wall Street closed at fresh record highs, driven by growing optimism over a possible peace agreement between the United States and Iran, alongside a powerful...

Politics

Trump Pauses Strait of Hormuz Escort Plan After Saudi Backlash

U.S. President Donald Trump has reportedly paused Project Freedom, a proposed military operation aimed at escorting ships through the Strait of Hormuz, after facing strong opposition from Saudi Arabia and other Gulf...

Ukraine Accuses Russia of Violating Ceasefire Amid Fresh Drone and Missile Attacks

Ukraine has accused Russia of breaking a newly proposed ceasefire just hours after it came into effect at midnight on Wednesday, intensifying tensions in the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war. Ukrainian officials reported that...

US Military Strike in Eastern Pacific Sparks Debate Over ‘Narco-Terrorist’ Operations

The U.S. military confirmed on Tuesday that it carried out another deadly strike in the Eastern Pacific, targeting a vessel allegedly linked to drug trafficking operations. According to U.S. Southern Command, the operation...

Guatemala President Bernardo Arevalo Appoints Gabriel Garcia Luna as New Attorney General

Guatemalan President Bernardo Arevalo has appointed former judge and university professor Gabriel Estuardo Garcia Luna as the countrys new attorney general, marking a significant political shift in Guatemalas justice...

Rubio Signals Possible U.S. Action on Cuba, Calls Current Situation “Unacceptable”

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Tuesday that the current situation in Cuba is unacceptable, signaling that the United States intends to address ongoing concerns involving the island nation in the future. Speaking...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

Hua Hong Semiconductor Stock Surges to Multi-Year High Amid AI Boom

Hua Hong Semiconductor shares soared on Wednesday as investors rushed into technology stocks fueled by strong artificial intelligence momentum and improving confidence in Chinas economy. The Hong Kong-listed chipmaker...

Infineon Raises 2026 Outlook as AI Data Center Chip Demand Surges

Infineon Technologies (ETR: IFXGn) raised its fiscal 2026 revenue growth forecast on Wednesday, citing booming demand for AI data center power chips despite continued weakness in the electric vehicle semiconductor market....

BHP Attracts AI-Focused Investors as Copper Demand Surges

BHP Group is drawing growing attention from international investors as the global artificial intelligence boom increases the value of copper, according to Chief Financial Officer Vandita Pant. Speaking at the Macquarie...

AMD Q1 Earnings Surge on AI Demand, Stock Jumps After Strong Guidance

AMD delivered stronger-than-expected first-quarter 2026 earnings, fueled by booming demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure and data center chips. The semiconductor giant reported adjusted earnings of $1.37 per...

Agentic AI Boom to Drive Massive Growth in CPU Market, UBS Says

The rapid rise of agentic AI is reshaping the future of data center infrastructure, creating major growth opportunities for CPU manufacturers such as Arm Holdings, AMD, and Intel. According to UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri,...