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In a hope to return to robust and continued global growth in 2016, a strong footing is expected to come from various ‘growth-supporting factors. In this exclusive series of fundamental evaluations, we provide in-depth analytical views on ongoing structural adjustments, continuing demand/supply imbalances, recurring financial market volatility, purchasing power parities, short rates divergences, balance sheet divergences and intensifying geopolitical problems in light of the FX market.

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Take care when examining the economic impact of fires. GDP doesn't tell the full story

Jan 18, 2020 11:15 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Estimates of the economic damage caused by the bushfires are rolling in, some of them big and some unprecedented, as is the scale of the fires themselves. These types of estimates will be refined and used to make or...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

USD/DKK vs. 2-year yield spread

Oct 31, 2017 07:23 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/DKK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: 2-year yield spread vs. GBP/USD

Sep 22, 2017 11:25 am UTC| Commentary

The chart above shows, how the relationship between GBP/USD and 2-year yield divergence has unfolded since 2012. The cosy relationship between the yield spread and the exchange rate, in this case, is quite visible. Back...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/NOK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 12:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/NOK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CZK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 06:21 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/CZK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen even with a naked eye, that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CHF vs. yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:50 am UTC| Commentary

During our evaluation period beginning 2012, the yield spread between the US 2-year bond and a Swiss equivalent has widened by almost 200 basis points but the exchange rate hasnt followed through as much as it should have...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/JPY vs. 2-year yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:44 am UTC| Commentary

This one pair has been at odds with yield divergence throughout early 2016 as the yen benefited from risk aversion and due to market participants doubts on BoJs abilities to ease policies further. It had shown...

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Economy

US Stock Futures Steady as Nvidia Earnings and Iran Tensions Keep Investors on Edge

U.S. stock futures traded mostly unchanged late Monday as investors remained cautious following a technology-driven pullback on Wall Street. Market sentiment stayed fragile as traders closely watched escalating tensions...

Oil Prices Drop as Trump Delays Iran Strike, Russia Sanctions Waiver Eases Supply Concerns

Oil prices declined during early Asian trading on Tuesday after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a delay in a planned military strike against Iran, signaling that diplomatic negotiations were still underway. The...

Gold Prices Climb as Trump Delays Iran Strike, Boosting Safe-Haven Demand

Gold prices edged higher during Asian trading on Tuesday after U.S. President Donald Trump announced that a planned military strike against Iran had been postponed while diplomatic negotiations continued. The development...

Australian Consumer Sentiment Improves Slightly as Fuel Prices Ease

Australias consumer sentiment showed a modest recovery in May as lower fuel prices offered temporary relief to households facing ongoing financial pressure. The Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment Index...

Dollar Slips as Bond Market Stabilizes Amid Iran Tensions and Fed Rate Hike Expectations

The U.S. dollar weakened on Monday as the global bond market sell-off showed signs of slowing, while investors remained cautious over ongoing geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran. The U.S. Dollar Index,...

Politics

TrumpRx Expands Discount Drug Access With 600 Generic Medications

U.S. President Donald Trump announced that TrumpRx.gov will now offer more than 600 generic prescription drugs, significantly expanding the administrations effort to lower medication costs for Americans. The...

Minnesota ICE Agent Charged in Venezuelan Immigrant Shooting During Trump Immigration Crackdown

Minnesota prosecutors have charged a U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agent in connection with the January shooting of a Venezuelan immigrant in Minneapolis during President Donald Trumps intensified...

Pentagon Watchdog Probes U.S. Caribbean Boat Strikes Amid Legality Concerns

The Pentagons internal watchdog has launched an investigation into whether U.S. military boat strikes in the Caribbean complied with official targeting procedures during operations tied to anti-crime and security missions,...

Alex Saab Faces U.S. Money Laundering Charges Over Venezuela Oil and Food Deals

Alex Saab, a Colombian-Venezuelan businessman closely linked to former Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, has been charged by the U.S. Department of Justice in a major money laundering case tied to Venezuelan government...

US Sanctions Target Cuban Officials and Intelligence Agency Amid Trump Pressure Campaign

The Trump administration has intensified its crackdown on Cuba by imposing new sanctions on 11 senior Cuban officials and the countrys main intelligence agency, escalating tensions between Washington and Havana. The latest...

Science

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

Technology

Analog Devices Nears $1.5B Acquisition of AI Chip Firm Empower Semiconductor

U.S. semiconductor giant Analog Devices is reportedly in advanced discussions to acquire AI-focused chipmaker Empower Semiconductor in a deal valued at approximately $1.5 billion in cash, according to a Bloomberg News...

Google, Blackstone Launch $5B AI Cloud Venture to Challenge Nvidia and CoreWeave

Alphabets Google and Blackstone are reportedly joining forces to launch a new artificial intelligence cloud company powered by Googles proprietary AI chips, according to a Wall Street Journal report published Monday. The...

OpenAI Wins Elon Musk Lawsuit as Jury Rejects Claims Over AI Mission

A U.S. jury has ruled that OpenAI is not liable in a lawsuit brought by Elon Musk, marking a major legal victory for the artificial intelligence company. The verdict was delivered Monday in a federal court in Oakland,...

Samsung, Union Edge Closer to Deal as Strike Threat Looms

Samsung Electronics and its South Korean labor union are reportedly making progress in negotiations aimed at preventing what could become the largest strike in the companys history. According to a report from Yonhap...

Anthropic to Brief Financial Stability Board on AI-Driven Cyber Risks

Artificial intelligence startup Anthropic is preparing to discuss potential cyber vulnerabilities in the global financial system linked to its latest AI model, Mythos, with members of the Financial Stability Board (FSB),...
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