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Fundamental Evaluation Series

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In a hope to return to robust and continued global growth in 2016, a strong footing is expected to come from various ‘growth-supporting factors. In this exclusive series of fundamental evaluations, we provide in-depth analytical views on ongoing structural adjustments, continuing demand/supply imbalances, recurring financial market volatility, purchasing power parities, short rates divergences, balance sheet divergences and intensifying geopolitical problems in light of the FX market.

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Take care when examining the economic impact of fires. GDP doesn't tell the full story

Jan 18, 2020 11:15 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Estimates of the economic damage caused by the bushfires are rolling in, some of them big and some unprecedented, as is the scale of the fires themselves. These types of estimates will be refined and used to make or...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

USD/DKK vs. 2-year yield spread

Oct 31, 2017 07:23 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/DKK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: 2-year yield spread vs. GBP/USD

Sep 22, 2017 11:25 am UTC| Commentary

The chart above shows, how the relationship between GBP/USD and 2-year yield divergence has unfolded since 2012. The cosy relationship between the yield spread and the exchange rate, in this case, is quite visible. Back...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/NOK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 12:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/NOK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CZK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 06:21 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/CZK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen even with a naked eye, that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CHF vs. yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:50 am UTC| Commentary

During our evaluation period beginning 2012, the yield spread between the US 2-year bond and a Swiss equivalent has widened by almost 200 basis points but the exchange rate hasnt followed through as much as it should have...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/JPY vs. 2-year yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:44 am UTC| Commentary

This one pair has been at odds with yield divergence throughout early 2016 as the yen benefited from risk aversion and due to market participants doubts on BoJs abilities to ease policies further. It had shown...

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Economy

U.S.-Iran War Talks Resume Amid Economic Pressure and Ceasefire Uncertainty

The Trump administration signaled cautious optimism Wednesday over ending its ongoing war with Iran, while simultaneously threatening tighter economic measures if Tehran refuses to cooperate at the negotiating table....

Asian Currencies Hold Steady Amid U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Hopes and Soft U.S. Inflation Data

Asian currencies traded within a narrow range on Wednesday as investors awaited further developments in U.S.-Iran ceasefire negotiations, while softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data offered modest relief to markets. The...

Gold Prices Ease From One-Month High Amid Iran Ceasefire Uncertainty

Gold prices slipped slightly from a one-month peak during Asian trading on Wednesday, with investors closely watching developments between the United States and Iran as a fragile ceasefire deadline approaches next week....

Strait of Hormuz Oil Shipments Resume Amid U.S.-Iran War Tensions

Global energy markets remain on edge as the U.S. blockade on Iranian ports continues to disrupt shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint that normally handles roughly one-fifth of worldwide oil and gas...

Asian Stocks Rally on Tech Gains and U.S.-Iran Diplomacy Hopes

Asian equity markets extended their winning streak on Wednesday, buoyed by strong performances in technology stocks and growing optimism surrounding potential U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks. The positive momentum followed a...

Politics

DHS Shutdown Delays World Cup Security Planning Despite Full Funding Release

The U.S. government has successfully released all $625 million in federally approved security funding for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, but an ongoing shutdown at the Department of Homeland Security continues to disrupt...

Brazil's Former Intelligence Chief Alexandre Ramagem Released from U.S. Immigration Custody

Paulo Figueiredo, a close ally of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro currently residing in the United States, confirmed on Wednesday that Alexandre Ramagem Brazils former intelligence chief has been released from...

Russia Unleashes Massive Drone and Missile Barrage on Ukraine, Killing Civilians

Russia launched one of its most intense aerial assaults on Ukraine in recent memory, deploying hundreds of drones and missiles over a 24-hour period that left civilians dead, residential buildings destroyed, and critical...

Justice Jackson Slams Supreme Court's Growing Use of Shadow Docket

Supreme Court Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson has intensified her public criticism of the conservative-majority courts increasing reliance on its emergency docket a fast-track legal pathway that has repeatedly been used to...

Iran Offers Partial Strait of Hormuz Access Amid U.S. Peace Talks

A source briefed by Tehran told Reuters that Iran may be willing to allow vessels to navigate freely through the Omani side of the Strait of Hormuz as part of ongoing ceasefire negotiations with the United States. The...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

ASML Raises 2026 Revenue Outlook as AI Chip Demand Surges

ASML Holding N.V. lifted its full-year 2026 revenue forecast after the Dutch semiconductor equipment giant surpassed first-quarter profit and sales expectations. The results were fueled by accelerating AI-driven chip...

Federal Agencies Secretly Test Anthropic's AI Despite Trump Administration Ban

Despite a formal directive from President Donald Trump ordering federal agencies to stop using Anthropics artificial intelligence technology, multiple U.S. government bodies have been quietly evaluating the companys latest...

KKR's $820M Investment Fuels Samsung SDS AI Expansion, Sending Group Shares Soaring

Samsung Group stocks rallied sharply on Wednesday following KKRs announcement of a major strategic partnership with Samsung SDS, reigniting investor confidence in the conglomerates artificial intelligence and digital...

DEEPX Partners with Hyundai to Power Next-Gen AI Robots Ahead of IPO

South Korean AI chip startup DEEPX is deepening its collaboration with Hyundai Motor Group to build a cutting-edge computing platform for generative AI-powered robots. The initiative will be driven by the companys upcoming...

Anthropic Nears $800 Billion Valuation as Investor Confidence Surges

Anthropic, the artificial intelligence startup behind the Claude AI assistant, is reportedly fielding investment offers that could value the company at up to $800 billion. According to Business Insider, multiple venture...