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Fundamental Evaluation Series

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In a hope to return to robust and continued global growth in 2016, a strong footing is expected to come from various ‘growth-supporting factors. In this exclusive series of fundamental evaluations, we provide in-depth analytical views on ongoing structural adjustments, continuing demand/supply imbalances, recurring financial market volatility, purchasing power parities, short rates divergences, balance sheet divergences and intensifying geopolitical problems in light of the FX market.

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Take care when examining the economic impact of fires. GDP doesn't tell the full story

Jan 18, 2020 11:15 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Estimates of the economic damage caused by the bushfires are rolling in, some of them big and some unprecedented, as is the scale of the fires themselves. These types of estimates will be refined and used to make or...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

USD/DKK vs. 2-year yield spread

Oct 31, 2017 07:23 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/DKK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: 2-year yield spread vs. GBP/USD

Sep 22, 2017 11:25 am UTC| Commentary

The chart above shows, how the relationship between GBP/USD and 2-year yield divergence has unfolded since 2012. The cosy relationship between the yield spread and the exchange rate, in this case, is quite visible. Back...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/NOK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 12:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/NOK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CZK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 06:21 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/CZK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen even with a naked eye, that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CHF vs. yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:50 am UTC| Commentary

During our evaluation period beginning 2012, the yield spread between the US 2-year bond and a Swiss equivalent has widened by almost 200 basis points but the exchange rate hasnt followed through as much as it should have...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/JPY vs. 2-year yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:44 am UTC| Commentary

This one pair has been at odds with yield divergence throughout early 2016 as the yen benefited from risk aversion and due to market participants doubts on BoJs abilities to ease policies further. It had shown...

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Economy

US Expects China to Boost Purchases of American Farm Products After Trump-Xi Summit

The United States expects China to commit to purchasing double-digit billions worth of U.S. agricultural products following a high-level summit between President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing,...

Japan Wholesale Inflation Hits Three-Year High as Oil Shock Fuels BOJ Rate Hike Expectations

Japans wholesale inflation surged in April at the fastest annual pace in three years, driven by soaring energy and chemical prices linked to tensions in the Middle East and disruptions in oil supply routes. The latest data...

Wall Street Hits Record Highs as Nvidia China Chip Sales Boost Market Optimism

U.S. stock index futures traded steadily Thursday evening after Wall Street closed at fresh record highs, driven by strong gains in technology stocks and renewed optimism over U.S.-China relations. Investor sentiment...

Dollar Gains as Fed Rate Hike Bets Rise Amid Strong U.S. Data

The U.S. dollar strengthened on Thursday as investors increased expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates again later this year following stronger-than-expected economic data. Fresh inflation figures...

Gold Prices Fall as Strong Dollar and Inflation Data Boost Rate Hike Expectations

Gold prices declined sharply on Thursday as a stronger U.S. dollar and rising inflation concerns increased expectations that the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates later this year. Investors also closely monitored...

Politics

Oil Prices Climb as Strait of Hormuz Tensions and Supply Concerns Persist

Oil prices moved higher on Friday as traders remained cautious over ongoing security risks near the Strait of Hormuz, despite Iran reporting increased vessel traffic through the strategic shipping route. Concerns about...

Macron Faces Political Test Over Bank of France Nomination Ahead of 2027 Election

French President Emmanuel Macron is facing mounting political pressure as lawmakers prepare to vote next week on the appointment of his former chief of staff, Emmanuel Moulin, as the next governor of the Bank of France....

Nvidia’s China AI Chip Sales Remain Frozen Despite U.S. Approval

Nvidias efforts to expand AI chip sales in China remain stalled even after the U.S. approved several Chinese technology giants to purchase the companys H200 processors. Although around 10 Chinese firms, including Alibaba,...

Elon Musk’s China Influence Faces New Challenges Amid Rising EV Competition

Elon Musk continues to hold a powerful yet increasingly complicated position in China as Tesla faces growing pressure from local electric vehicle manufacturers and tighter scrutiny from Chinese regulators. Despite...

Taiwan Independence Debate: China, U.S., and Taipei Tensions Explained

Chinas President Xi Jinping recently warned that disagreements over Taiwan could seriously damage U.S.-China relations, once again placing the Taiwan independence issue at the center of global politics. Taiwan, officially...

Science

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

Technology

Applied Materials Forecasts Strong Q3 Revenue as AI Chip Demand Accelerates

Applied Materials posted record fiscal second-quarter revenue on Thursday and issued a stronger-than-expected forecast for the third quarter, fueled by rising global investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure and...

Anthropic Nears $30 Billion Funding Round at $900 Billion Valuation

AI startup Anthropic is reportedly close to securing a massive $30 billion fundraising deal that would value the company at approximately $900 billion, according to a Financial Times report published Friday. The new...

Alibaba Stock Surges After Strong Q4 Earnings Boosted by AI and Cloud Growth

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (HK:9988) saw its Hong Kong-listed shares jump sharply on Thursday after the Chinese e-commerce and technology giant reported better-than-expected quarterly earnings driven by strong momentum in...

SoftBank Shares Slide Despite Record Q4 Profit Fueled by OpenAI Investment

SoftBank Group Corp. (TYO:9984) shares dropped sharply on Thursday despite the company reporting blockbuster fourth-quarter earnings, as investors grew increasingly concerned about the Japanese tech giants expanding...

OpenAI Finds No Evidence of User Data Breach in TanStack npm Supply-Chain Attack

OpenAI confirmed on Wednesday that it found no evidence suggesting user data was compromised following a security incident linked to the TanStack npm package, a widely used open-source JavaScript library. The issue stemmed...