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In a hope to return to robust and continued global growth in 2016, a strong footing is expected to come from various ‘growth-supporting factors. In this exclusive series of fundamental evaluations, we provide in-depth analytical views on ongoing structural adjustments, continuing demand/supply imbalances, recurring financial market volatility, purchasing power parities, short rates divergences, balance sheet divergences and intensifying geopolitical problems in light of the FX market.

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Take care when examining the economic impact of fires. GDP doesn't tell the full story

Jan 18, 2020 11:15 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Estimates of the economic damage caused by the bushfires are rolling in, some of them big and some unprecedented, as is the scale of the fires themselves. These types of estimates will be refined and used to make or...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

USD/DKK vs. 2-year yield spread

Oct 31, 2017 07:23 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/DKK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: 2-year yield spread vs. GBP/USD

Sep 22, 2017 11:25 am UTC| Commentary

The chart above shows, how the relationship between GBP/USD and 2-year yield divergence has unfolded since 2012. The cosy relationship between the yield spread and the exchange rate, in this case, is quite visible. Back...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/NOK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 12:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/NOK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CZK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 06:21 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/CZK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen even with a naked eye, that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CHF vs. yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:50 am UTC| Commentary

During our evaluation period beginning 2012, the yield spread between the US 2-year bond and a Swiss equivalent has widened by almost 200 basis points but the exchange rate hasnt followed through as much as it should have...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/JPY vs. 2-year yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:44 am UTC| Commentary

This one pair has been at odds with yield divergence throughout early 2016 as the yen benefited from risk aversion and due to market participants doubts on BoJs abilities to ease policies further. It had shown...

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Economy

Dollar Holds Near Two-Week High as Fed Hawkish Shift Lifts Yields, Yen Near Intervention Zone

The U.S. dollar remained close to its strongest level in more than two weeks on Thursday, supported by a hawkish shift from Federal Reserve policymakers that pushed Treasury yields to a one-month high. Currency markets are...

US Stock Futures Mixed as Fed Holds Rates, Oil Prices Surge, and Big Tech Earnings Drive Market Moves

U.S. stock index futures traded mixed on Wednesday evening as investors reacted to the Federal Reserves latest policy decision, rising oil prices, and a fresh round of earnings from major technology companies. Market...

China Factory Activity Extends Growth in April Despite Global Pressures

Chinas manufacturing sector continued to expand for a second consecutive month in April, signaling resilience in the worlds second-largest economy despite ongoing global uncertainties. According to official data from the...

AI Stocks Rally in Asia as Oil Surge and Hawkish Central Banks Shake Global Markets

Asian markets showed resilience on Thursday as AI-related stocks climbed following strong earnings from major U.S. tech firms, even as rising oil prices and tightening monetary policy pressured global bonds and currencies....

China Manufacturing PMI Beats Forecasts in April Amid Weak Domestic Demand

Chinas manufacturing sector showed modest growth in April, surpassing expectations, but broader economic momentum remained uneven due to weak domestic demand and slowing non-manufacturing activity. According to data...

Politics

US House Advances $70 Billion Immigration Enforcement Budget Plan

The U.S. House of Representatives has approved a three-year budget framework that could unlock an additional $70 billion for immigration enforcement, marking a significant step in shaping future border security policies....

Trump to Receive Briefing on Potential U.S. Military Action Against Iran

U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to receive a high-level security briefing on Thursday regarding new military options targeting Iran, according to a report by Axios citing unnamed sources. The briefing will be led...

Taiwan Independence Explained: History, Status, and Rising China Tensions

Taiwan independence remains a highly debated issue in global politics, especially as tensions between China and the United States continue to shape international relations. The topic is expected to feature prominently in...

Taiwan Activates Backup Communications After Undersea Cable Break on Dongyin Island

Taiwan has activated emergency backup communications for Dongyin, its northernmost and strategically important island, after an undersea cable was damaged due to shifting shipwreck debris caused by severe weather. The...

US-China Talks Put Taiwan at Center of Rising Geopolitical Tensions

A high-stakes diplomatic meeting between the United States and China is drawing global attention, with Taiwan emerging as a central issue that could reshape regional stability. As U.S. President Donald Trump prepares for a...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

Meta Raises 2026 Capex Outlook Amid AI Spending Surge, Shares Drop After Earnings

Meta Platforms has increased its full-year capital expenditure guidance for 2026, signaling continued aggressive investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure despite rising costs and market concerns. The company...

Amazon Stock Dips Despite Record Earnings as AI Infrastructure Spending Surges

Amazon (AMZN) shares slipped 2.6% in after-hours trading on Wednesday, even after the company delivered record-breaking quarterly earnings that exceeded Wall Street expectations. The decline reflects investor concerns over...

Alphabet Earnings Surge on AI Growth, Cloud Revenue, and Strong Search Performance

Alphabet Inc. delivered an impressive first-quarter performance, surpassing Wall Street expectations with strong growth driven by its Cloud division and core Search business. The tech giant reported adjusted earnings per...

Qualcomm Stock Surges Despite Weak Guidance After Q2 2026 Earnings Beat

Qualcomm Inc. (NASDAQ: QCOM) shares climbed sharply on Wednesday, closing up 9% after a volatile trading session triggered by its fiscal second-quarter 2026 earnings report and softer-than-expected forward guidance. The...

Microsoft Azure Growth Forecast Beats Expectations Amid Rising AI Competition

Microsoft has projected stronger-than-expected growth for its Azure cloud business, signaling continued momentum in the competitive cloud computing and artificial intelligence market. The company announced it expects Azure...
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