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Fundamental Evaluation Series

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In a hope to return to robust and continued global growth in 2016, a strong footing is expected to come from various ‘growth-supporting factors. In this exclusive series of fundamental evaluations, we provide in-depth analytical views on ongoing structural adjustments, continuing demand/supply imbalances, recurring financial market volatility, purchasing power parities, short rates divergences, balance sheet divergences and intensifying geopolitical problems in light of the FX market.

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Take care when examining the economic impact of fires. GDP doesn't tell the full story

Jan 18, 2020 11:15 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Estimates of the economic damage caused by the bushfires are rolling in, some of them big and some unprecedented, as is the scale of the fires themselves. These types of estimates will be refined and used to make or...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

USD/DKK vs. 2-year yield spread

Oct 31, 2017 07:23 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/DKK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: 2-year yield spread vs. GBP/USD

Sep 22, 2017 11:25 am UTC| Commentary

The chart above shows, how the relationship between GBP/USD and 2-year yield divergence has unfolded since 2012. The cosy relationship between the yield spread and the exchange rate, in this case, is quite visible. Back...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/NOK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 12:00 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/NOK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year Danish government bond...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CZK vs. 2-year yield spread

Aug 22, 2017 06:21 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between USD/CZK and 2-year yield spread has unfolded since 2012. It can be seen even with a naked eye, that the pair and the yield spread between 2-year treasury and 2-year...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CHF vs. yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:50 am UTC| Commentary

During our evaluation period beginning 2012, the yield spread between the US 2-year bond and a Swiss equivalent has widened by almost 200 basis points but the exchange rate hasnt followed through as much as it should have...

Fundamental Evaluation Series

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/JPY vs. 2-year yield divergence

Aug 17, 2017 08:44 am UTC| Commentary

This one pair has been at odds with yield divergence throughout early 2016 as the yen benefited from risk aversion and due to market participants doubts on BoJs abilities to ease policies further. It had shown...

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Economy

China Export Growth Surges in April as Global Buyers Rush to Secure Supplies

Chinas export growth likely accelerated sharply in April as overseas companies increased orders to secure manufacturing supplies amid concerns that the ongoing Iran conflict could drive global production and shipping costs...

Japan’s Yen Intervention and BOJ Rate Hike Bets Support Currency Recovery

Japan reportedly intervened in the foreign exchange market during the Golden Week holidays in early May to stabilize the yen and curb speculative trading, according to Reuters. The move came after the USD/JPY exchange rate...

Lula and Trump Talks Signal New Phase in Brazil-US Relations

Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva said his lengthy White House meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump helped stabilize Brazil-US relations after months of tension linked to trade tariffs and political...

U.S.-China Beef Trade Deal Hopes Rise Ahead of Trump-Xi Summit

U.S. beef producers are pushing for renewed access to the Chinese market ahead of the May 14-15 summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. American exporters hope the meeting will lead to...

Asian Currencies Slip as US Dollar Gains on Rising Iran Tensions and Awaited Jobs Data

Asian currencies mostly weakened on Friday while the U.S. dollar moved higher as investors reacted to renewed tensions between the United States and Iran, alongside expectations surrounding the upcoming U.S. nonfarm...

Politics

Trump Inspects Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool Renovation in Washington

U.S. President Donald Trump made a surprise visit Thursday to review renovations at the Lincoln Memorial reflecting pool, highlighting one of several major projects aimed at reshaping Washington, D.C. The restoration...

Judge Rules DOGE Humanities Grant Cuts Unconstitutional

A federal judge has ruled that the Trump administrations termination of hundreds of humanities grants through the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) was unconstitutional and discriminatory. The decision marks a...

Australia’s Wealthy Donors Shift Support to One Nation Amid Conservative Party Decline

Australias political landscape is undergoing a dramatic transformation as wealthy donors increasingly abandon the conservative Liberal Party in favor of Pauline Hansons populist One Nation party. The shift comes after the...

Trump Invites Top CEOs Including Nvidia, Apple, Boeing to China Summit With Xi Jinping

The Trump administration has reportedly invited executives from some of Americas largest corporations to join President Donald Trump on his upcoming trip to China next week, according to a Semafor report. The visit is...

Vietnam Plans AI-Driven Propaganda Push With Influencers and Podcasts

Vietnams Communist Party is preparing a major overhaul of its propaganda strategy by recruiting social media influencers and artificial intelligence experts to strengthen control over online narratives and public opinion....

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

CoreWeave Q1 2026 Revenue Surges as AI Infrastructure Demand Grows

CoreWeave reported mixed first-quarter 2026 earnings on Thursday, posting massive revenue growth driven by rising demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure, while widening losses reflected aggressive expansion...

AWS Data Center Overheating Disrupts Cloud Services in Northern Virginia

Amazon Web Services (AWS), the cloud computing division of Amazon, announced Thursday that it is actively working to restore normal operations after overheating issues at one of its Northern Virginia data centers caused...

Japan Tech Stocks Surge as AI Optimism Lifts SoftBank, Chipmakers

Japanese technology and semiconductor stocks rallied sharply on Thursday, driven by growing global optimism surrounding artificial intelligence and strong momentum in the AI chip sector. The surge followed impressive...

U.S.-China AI Talks May Take Center Stage at Trump-Xi Summit

The United States and China are reportedly exploring the possibility of launching formal discussions on artificial intelligence, according to a Wall Street Journal report published Wednesday. The talks could become a major...

Arm Stock Drops Despite Strong AI Chip Demand and Earnings Beat

Arm Holdings delivered stronger-than-expected quarterly earnings and revenue, driven by rising demand for artificial intelligence data center chips. However, despite the positive results, Arm stock reversed early gains in...