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Markets are preparing for Fed's liftoff since 2006, as the FOMC fears that if it postpones the first hike, the hiking cycle may not be as gradual as hinted at by members, as the FOMC risks to ‘fall behind the curve. In this exclusive series we provide an insightful views and analysis on US labor market- a key to understanding why the Fed will raise rates (IOER and ON RRP), swap yields, dollar index, FX volatility and new hiking framework.

Fed Liftoff Series

Rate hike odds improve sharply after FOMC minutes

May 19, 2016 06:26 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

After yesterdays FOMC minutes gave clearest indication ever for a June rate hike, interest rates market have adjusted sharply in anticipation of such. As per the minutes, many participants believed a riser would be...

Fed Liftoff Series

Fed signals rate hike in June on conditions of economic improvement

May 19, 2016 05:11 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The minutes of the April 26-27 Federal Reserve Open Market Committee Wednesday signaled markets of a possible rate hike in June, if the US economy good track of improvement. Investors and creditors have been warned of such...

Fed Liftoff Series

FED liftoff series – end of series note

Dec 16, 2015 16:38 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC decision that we have been focusing on for past days in this series covering various aspects, probabilities, possibilities surrounding a rate hike from FED, is finally here and just few hours away. Not forgettable,...

Fed Liftoff Series

FED liftoff series – key short term levels for key major pairs

Dec 16, 2015 16:05 pm UTC| Commentary

We have almost covered, key vital areas, heading into FOMC, which is widely expected to be the meeting, where FED finally hike rates. We in this post, finally cover some technical aspects - levels and resistances of key...

Fed Liftoff Series

FED liftoff series – Decision day – watch out for dissenters

Dec 16, 2015 15:29 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

We are only few hours away from much anticipated FOMC decision. We expect, a 25 basis points hike in Federal fund rate, discount rates and 25 basis points hike in excess as well as required reserve. We also expects FED to...

Fed Liftoff Series

FED liftoff series – Decision day – IOER, discount rates and RRP

Dec 16, 2015 15:04 pm UTC| Commentary

We are only hours away from a highest probability chance of a rate hike of 25 basis points from FED, after a decade of no hikes. We in earlier posts have addressed the possible implications, impact of FED hike that might...

Fed Liftoff Series

FED liftoff series – Decision day – general overview

Dec 16, 2015 14:34 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Today finally there is almost certainty that US Federal Reserve will hike rates by 25 basis points, for first time in almost a decade and officially ending long seven years of accommodation. FED however has indicated that...

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Economy

Gold Prices Rise as Oil Slump Eases Fed Rate Hike Fears

Gold prices climbed on Tuesday as a sharp decline in oil prices eased inflation concerns and reduced expectations for additional Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. A softer U.S. dollar and renewed hopes for diplomacy...

Oil Prices Rise as U.S.-Iran Talks Fuel Diplomacy Hopes

Oil prices moved higher in Asian trading on Tuesday, snapping a four-session losing streak as investors assessed the possibility of renewed U.S.-Iran talks during this weeks United Nations General Assembly in New York....

Vietnam, US Trade Deal Could Be Signed Soon, To Lam Says

Vietnam and the United States have made positive progress in negotiations toward a new trade agreement, with a deal potentially ready to be signed soon, Vietnamese leader To Lam said, according to a government statement...

Canada Unveils Bill to Fast-Track Major Resource Projects

Canada unveiled draft legislation on Monday aimed at accelerating approvals for major natural resource and infrastructure projects, as Prime Minister Mark Carney seeks to strengthen economic growth and reduce the countrys...

Yen Weakens as Dollar Gains on Widening US-Japan Rate Gap

The Japanese yen remained under pressure against a firm U.S. dollar on Tuesday as traders focused on the widening interest rate gap between Japan and other major economies following a hawkish shift among global central...

Politics

Macron, Trump Discuss Ukraine-Russia Energy Strike Moratorium

French President Emmanuel Macron said Monday that he discussed potential measures with U.S. President Donald Trump aimed at securing a moratorium on energy-related attacks between Ukraine and Russia, as diplomatic efforts...

Burnham Eyes UK Leadership Role in AI Ahead of Trump Meeting

British Prime Minister Andy Burnham will push for the UK to take a global leadership role in artificial intelligence on Tuesday as he makes his first major appearance on the international diplomatic stage at the United...

US Plans Two New Military Bases in Greenland Under Arctic Deal

The United States plans to expand its military presence in Greenland by reopening a Cold War-era base in the south and establishing operations at another site on the islands east coast, according to people familiar with a...

US, Denmark and Greenland Set to Sign Arctic Security Deal

Denmark, Greenland and the United States are set to sign a new Greenland security agreement on Tuesday that could expand the US military presence while placing broader Arctic security under NATO oversight. The signing is...

UK, Mauritius Seek Diego Garcia Base Deal

British Prime Minister Andy Burnham has pledged to work with Mauritius and the United States to resolve the dispute surrounding the strategically important Diego Garcia military base in the Indian Ocean. Burnham spoke with...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

US Northeast Airports Resume Operations After Telecom Outage Disrupts Thousands of Flights

US airport operations across the Northeast began returning to normal on Monday after crews repaired telecommunications problems that had disrupted air traffic and contributed to thousands of flight delays and cancellations...

OpenAI Urges US-Led Global Standards for Frontier AI

OpenAI is calling for the United States to lead an international effort to establish technical standards for advanced artificial intelligence, as concerns grow over increasingly capable AI systems and the prospect of...

Meta Partners With Shopify to Bring Shop Pay Checkout to Muse AI

Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg announced a new partnership with Shopify aimed at bringing agentic shopping and checkout capabilities to Metas recently launched Muse artificial intelligence platform. Zuckerberg said...

SoftBank Launches $11 Billion Bond Sale to Fund OpenAI Investment

SoftBank Group Corp. has launched a major bond offering worth $10 billion and 1 billion to finance its latest investment in OpenAI, according to a term sheet released Monday. The Japanese technology investment group is...

Trump Plans Federal AI Force and AI Czar

U.S. President Donald Trump said Saturday that he plans to create a federal AI Force and appoint an artificial intelligence czar, outlining an effort to accelerate U.S. AI development while using existing laws to address...
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