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Fed Hike Aftermath Series

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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial monetary cycle, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, bond markets, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Stronger ADP strengthens case for further hikes from FED

Jan 06, 2016 13:30 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Today ADP employment numbers were released from US for the month of December. ADP number shows US economy and its labour markets are quite robust, in spite of global economic slowdown. There are two things to note...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed likely to begin gradual normalization

Jan 06, 2016 10:19 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The overarching investment theme heading into 2016 is the divergence of global monetary policies among major central banks. Ultra-low interest rates alongside substantial amounts of quantitative easing by the Fed, BoE,...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED hike aftermath series – market becoming hawkish in hike expectation

Jan 05, 2016 12:28 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Market is now more hawkish than last time we checked after FED hike in December and speech from Janet Yellen. Market seems to be expecting FED to be more aggressive in 2016. Lets look at the market pricing of hikes over...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

US NFP, manufacturing PMI and job claims likely to post positive numbers that target Fed’s normalization cycle in 2016

Jan 04, 2016 13:51 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

Persistent growth in job market to support the USD and Fed tightening: The USD to trip up on support on Fridays NFP report. Average job creation of 150k or more during the next few employment reports should be...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

No signs of relief to Fed wondering if they might have jumped the gun in December

Jan 04, 2016 02:55 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The data surely arent bringing sighs of relief to any Fed officials wondering if they might have jumped the gun in December. 3Q GDP growth had already dropped to 2% (QoQ, saar) before they pulled the trigger and the higher...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

FED hike aftermath series – Economists expect FED to strike again in March

Dec 24, 2015 10:57 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

According to a survey of 42 economists by Financial Times, more than 2/3rd of them has aligned themselves with a rate hike by FED again in March. In previous articles under the same series name we discussed there are...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Is US becoming socialist in its approach to regulating financial activities?

Dec 24, 2015 08:37 am UTC| Commentary Politics

For decades now, United States have been considered to wear the crown of capitalism, where business can thrive, banks can pursue new avenues and traders can make millions. But it is increasingly becoming clear that the...

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Economy

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Inflation is slowly falling, while student debt is climbing: 6 graphs that explain today’s CPI

Australias inflation rate has fallen for the fifth successive quarter, and its now less than half of what it was back in late 2022. The annual rate peaked at 7.8% in the December quarter of 2022 and is now just 3.6%, in...

Extraordinary Vietnam fraud case exposes the inherent vulnerabilities of banks

The financial crisis of 2008 showed just how much the world depends on banks being well run. Since then, regulators have been given new powers to keep some of the biggest institutions on a much shorter leash to stamp out...

Politics

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

History for sale: what does South Africa’s struggle heritage mean after 30 years of democracy?

One of my favourite statues is the one of Nelson Mandela at the Sandton City shopping centre in Johannesburg. Larger than life, its oversized bronze shoes shimmer in the evening light, polished by the hands of many...

Sudan: civil war stretches into a second year with no end in sight

In the early hours of April 15 2023, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) a Sudanese paramilitary force attacked the military airstrip in the town of Merowe and deployed troops across strategic locations in Sudans capital,...

Military conscription is returning to Europe, but is it really a more equal way of mobilising? What history tells us

The idea that conscription, defined as the compulsory enlistment of citizens for military service, can increase equality and instil a sense of solidarity that transcends traditional societal divides has echoed throughout...

The 50th anniversary of Portugal’s Carnation Revolution

Across Portugal, a number of photography exhibitions are currently on display that commemorate the ousting of the Estado Novo, the dictatorial, authoritarian and corporatist political regime that had ruled the country...

Science

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

Technology

Anthropic Launches Claude AI App on iPhone to Rival OpenAI’s ChatGPT

Anthropic PBC, an artificial intelligence startup established in 2021, announced on Wednesday, May 1, that it launched an iOS app for its Claude 3 AI chatbot or language models. The company also unveiled a new subscription...

Shiba Inu Whale Moves 100 Billion SHIB Before FOMC, Signals Market Stir

In a surprising move, a mysterious Shiba Inu whale deposited 100 billion SHIB tokens into Coinbase, coinciding with a significant price drop just before the Federal Reserves crucial rate decision. This action has stirred...

Dongfeng Unveils High-Power Tesla Cybertruck Rival, Eyes Production in Italy

At the Beijing Auto Show, Dongfeng Motor Group showcased a Cybertruck-inspired electric vehicle boasting an impressive 1,305 horsepower, signaling its ambitions to produce over 100,000 electrified cars annually in Italy....

Biden Administration Set to Finalize Stricter EV Tax Credit Rules

The Biden administration is finalizing new electric vehicle tax credit rules, slashing the list of eligible models to just 13. This update, part of a broader effort to refine economic incentives before the election,...

Zeus Network Set to Launch Solana to Bitcoin Bridge in Q3 2024

Zeus Network has announced the launch of Zeus Program Library (ZPL) by Q3 2024, a pioneering bridge designed to connect and enhance asset transfer between the Solana and Bitcoin ecosystems, offering broad applications in...