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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: US election premiums visible USD/JPY OTC markets - Vega-neutral USD/JPY calendar spreads

Sep 30, 2016 09:19 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

Just as the market was craving any clear-cut statement on the Feds future interest rate policy in the run-up to the last FOMC meeting, regardless of how clearly they are staking out a rate rise in December. It simply...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: USD/JPY OTC bets still on bearish risks as 3m risk reversal move in sync with IV skews

Sep 30, 2016 07:09 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Although USDJPY kept spiking 3-4 days, today changed hands at 100.840, down 0.17%, the pair trades at thelargely similar level to that around a month ago. However, JPY has weakened against most other majors over the...

Research Highlights Variations in Food Costs Throughout the U.S.

Sep 29, 2016 15:14 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

Feeding AmericasMap the Meal Gap 2016study finds many low-income communities that are home to a significant number of food-insecure households have higher-than-average food costs. The study, released earlier this year...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: USD/CAD OTC bids suggest bearish risks in 1m and upside risks in 3m tenors on OPEC and Fed’s speculation – 3way straddles vs calls hedge either ways

Sep 29, 2016 12:37 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

It seems that the OPEC countries did decide on a cut in production at their informal meeting in Algiers in a surprise move. The details will only be worked out in time for the next official meeting in November. The...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: EUR/CHF 1W IVs conducive for option writers – scenario analysis of strangle shorts in choppy range

Sep 29, 2016 08:14 am UTC| Research & Analysis

The forecast shows continued tight range-trading in EURCHF over the 1Y horizon. This stability masks a still unstable underlying flow position in which the SNB is recycling all of Switzerlands current account surplus...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: EUR/GBP “Diagonal Credit Call Spread” to address both momentary declines and major uptrend

Sep 29, 2016 07:39 am UTC| Economy Research & Analysis

This week, although EURGBP is losing in its price, we remain bearish of GBP, and forecast a 5-10% move from here in GBP/USD, taking the pair below 1.25, taking EUR/GBP to a little above 0.90. EURGBP was at 0.8616 from...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Prefer selling yen risk premia post-BoJ via writing EUR/JPY straddle

Sep 28, 2016 08:18 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

Median 4-week horizon returns (vol pts.) and information ratios from selling cross-yen 6-week straddles in 2016. Options delta-hedged daily at LDN close using smile forward deltas and option-expiry matched...

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Economy

Italy's Service Sector Contracts for First Time in 16 Months Amid Rising Costs and Weakening Demand

Italys services industry slipped into contraction territory in March 2026 for the first time in over a year, as escalating costs tied to Middle East tensions and softening demand weighed heavily on business activity. The...

Sterling Slides as Dollar Holds Firm Amid U.S.-Iran Tensions

The British pound came under pressure Tuesday, trading near $1.3234 against the U.S. dollar as geopolitical uncertainty and strong American economic data kept the greenback well-supported. Cable dipped to an intraday low...

Goldman Sachs Cuts 2026 Copper Price Forecast Amid Global Growth Concerns

Goldman Sachs has revised its 2026 copper price outlook downward, now projecting an average of $12,650 per tonne compared to its earlier estimate of $12,850. The adjustment reflects softer global demand expectations tied...

European Stocks Hold Steady as Iran Ceasefire Deadline Looms

European stock markets showed little movement on Tuesday following a long holiday weekend, as investors remained cautious amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. The pan-European Stoxx 600 edged up 0.1%, Germanys DAX...

Asian Markets Hold Steady Ahead of Trump's Iran Deadline as Oil Tops $110

Asian equity markets traded within tight ranges on Tuesday as cautious investors stepped back from risk assets ahead of a critical U.S. deadline tied to the escalating Iran conflict. With President Donald Trump warning...

Politics

Russia Secretly Aids Iran With Satellite Intelligence and Cyber Support Across the Middle East

A Ukrainian intelligence assessment has revealed that Russian satellites conducted at least 24 detailed reconnaissance missions over 11 Middle Eastern countries between March 21 and 31, surveying 46 strategic locations to...

Trump May Delay Iran Military Strike If Diplomatic Deal Shows Promise

President Donald Trump is reportedly open to postponing planned military action against Iran should credible signs of a diplomatic breakthrough emerge, according to multiple media outlets citing an Axios report. U.S....

Iran-Israel War Escalates as Trump's Ceasefire Deadline Looms

Tensions in the Middle East reached a critical flashpoint as Iran and Israel continued exchanging strikes, with Tehran firmly rejecting a U.S.-brokered ceasefire proposal just hours before a deadline issued by President...

Vance Visits Hungary to Back Orban Ahead of Pivotal 2025 Elections

U.S. Vice President JD Vance is traveling to Hungary this week in a show of political solidarity with Prime Minister Viktor Orban, who faces his most difficult re-election battle since coming to power in 2010. The two-day...

China's Push to Steal Taiwan's Chip Technology and Talent Raises Security Alarms

Taiwans National Security Bureau has raised serious concerns about Beijings escalating efforts to infiltrate the islands world-class semiconductor industry. According to a report submitted to Taiwanese lawmakers, China is...

Science

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

Technology

Samsung Electronics Posts Eightfold Profit Surge Driven by AI Chip Demand

Samsung Electronics delivered a stunning financial turnaround in the first quarter of 2025, projecting operating profit of approximately 57.2 trillion won (roughly $38 billion) a more than eightfold increase compared to...

Apple's Foldable iPhone Faces Engineering Setbacks, Mass Production Timeline at Risk

Apples highly anticipated foldable iPhone is running into significant engineering hurdles during its test phase, raising concerns about potential delays in both mass production and product shipments, according to a report...

Britain Courts Anthropic Amid US Defense Department Dispute

The United Kingdom is actively working to attract Anthropic, the company behind the popular Claude AI app, to expand its footprint in the country. This diplomatic push comes as Anthropic finds itself in the middle of a...

OpenAI Executive Shake-Up Ahead of Anticipated 2026 IPO

OpenAI is navigating a significant leadership restructuring at one of the most pivotal moments in its history. The AI powerhouse confirmed that Chief Operating Officer Brad Lightcap is transitioning into a newly created...

Elon Musk Ties SpaceX IPO Access to Mandatory Grok AI Subscriptions

Elon Musk is reportedly making Grok subscriptions a prerequisite for banks and advisers involved in SpaceXs highly anticipated initial public offering. According to the New York Times, citing insiders familiar with the...
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