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FxWirePro: Prefer USD/MXN gamma neutral calendar skews on carry-to-vols ratio and Banxico hikes

Apr 07, 2017 09:43 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Banxico hiked 25bp; we see limited MXN gains but prefer calendar skews at the current juncture. Banxico has hiked its policy rate 25bp to 6.5% and signaled a shift in gears towards a slower pace of tightening...

Fitch: Chinese Banks' Profitability Is Likely to Decline Further

Apr 07, 2017 09:28 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Chinese banks will struggle to avoid further declines in profitability this year if tight market liquidity aimed at slowing further build-up in leverage remains in effect, as it is likely to increase funding costs, Fitch...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Antipodeans bank upon central banks, Aussie dollar edgy on commodity markets – 3-way straddles vs OTM call for optimal hedging

Apr 07, 2017 06:54 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

The Antipodean pair now wants to retest the 1.0800 area, which looks vulnerable to giving way to 1.0750. We expect NZD to fall through this year, reaching 0.63 at year-end. The support to growth from migration will...

FxWirePro: Bullish SEK against EUR covered put and NZD vanilla put

Apr 06, 2017 13:13 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

SEK has been one of the underperformers in G10 this week, weakening in sympathy with EUR. There isnt an immediately identifiable catalyst for the underperformance, although wage negotiations yielded an outcome that was...

FxWirePro: USD/CAD 2m2w IV skews and risk reversals conducive for both holders and writers in diagonal call ratio back spreads

Apr 06, 2017 12:51 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

OTC outlook: Please be noted that it seems to be ideal time for the writers of overpriced call options as you could observe the negative shift in risk reversal flashes in 1m tenors, whereas we see neutral changes to the...

FxWirePro: European recovery on stage via FX options ahead of French polls

Apr 06, 2017 10:31 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The European recovery theme has become increasingly mainstream in recent weeks as continued Euro-area growth out-performance intersects with moderating political risks. Last week, we opened an outright long EUR/USD...

FxWirePro: Cheapness of long-dated CHF vol lures favoring long vega in USD/CHF calls and delta hedges

Apr 06, 2017 10:17 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

One sticking point is that 5Y USD/CHF forwards are realizing 1.5-1.8 pts. below 5Y ATMs. This is not a direct impediment to vol buying since gamma contribution to long-expiry option P/Ls is miniscule, but the implied ...

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Economy

Oil Prices Drop as Strait of Hormuz Shipping Recovers

Global oil prices declined sharply on Wednesday as concerns over supply disruptions in the Middle East eased following the recovery of shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude and U.S. West Texas...

Trump Requests $11 Billion More in Farm Aid as Rising Costs Pressure U.S. Farmers

U.S. President Donald Trump has asked Congress to approve more than $11 billion in additional farm aid to help American farmers cope with soaring fuel and fertilizer expenses linked to the recent Iran conflict. According...

Gold Falls Below $4,000 as Strong Dollar and Fed Rate Hike Expectations Weigh on Prices

Gold prices extended their losses on Wednesday, with spot gold dropping below the key $4,000 per ounce level for the first time since November 2025. The decline came as a stronger U.S. dollar and renewed expectations of...

U.S. Dollar Reaches One-Year High as Tech Sell-Off and Fed Rate Hike Expectations Support Demand

The U.S. dollar strengthened on Wednesday, climbing to its highest level in more than a year as investor demand for safe-haven assets increased amid weakness in technology stocks and continued expectations of Federal...

Wall Street Ends Mixed as Tech Stocks Struggle Ahead of Micron Earnings

Wall Street closed mixed on Wednesday as investors remained cautious toward technology stocks ahead of Micron Technologys highly anticipated earnings report. Concerns surrounding semiconductor stocks and the broader...

Politics

Pelosi Discloses Major Intel and Uber Call Option Purchases Worth Up to $6 Million

Representative Nancy Pelosi has disclosed a new financial transaction report revealing that her spouse, Paul Pelosi, purchased substantial call options in Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) and Uber Technologies Inc. (NYSE:...

Trump Orders DOJ Investigation Into Exxon, Chevron Over High Gas Prices

President Donald Trump announced that the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) is investigating ExxonMobil, Chevron, and other major oil companies over persistently high gasoline and natural gas prices. The move comes amid...

NATO Chief Tries to Ease Trump Alliance Dispute

NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte sought to reduce tensions with U.S. President Donald Trump during a White House meeting on Wednesday, emphasizing that most NATO allies have continued to support the United States despite...

U.S. Reviewing Potential F-35 Fighter Jet Sale to Turkey Amid S-400 Dispute

The United States is reviewing the possibility of selling F-35 fighter jets to Turkey, according to comments made by U.S. Vice President JD Vance on Wednesday. The move signals a potential shift in relations between...

White House Seeks $1.4 Billion to Combat Growing Ebola Outbreak

The White House is preparing to request more than $1.4 billion in emergency funding from Congress to strengthen the response to the rapidly expanding Ebola outbreak, according to a Trump administration official. The...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Micron Stock Surges on Strong AI Demand, Record Revenue, and Bullish Q4 Forecast

Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) delivered a stronger-than-expected fiscal third-quarter performance and issued an optimistic outlook for the fourth quarter, sending its shares up nearly 9% in after-hours trading. The...

Anthropic AI Model Uncovers Vulnerabilities in Classified U.S. Government Systems During Security Test

Anthropics advanced artificial intelligence model identified vulnerabilities in classified U.S. government computer systems during a recent security testing exercise, according to a report by the Associated Press citing a...

Samsung Electronics Stock Surges on Report of Massive $59 Billion Share Buyback Plan

Samsung Electronics shares rallied sharply on Wednesday after a report suggested the company could launch a substantial share buyback program worth nearly 90 trillion won ($59 billion) over the next three years. The...

SK Hynix Moves Closer to New York ADR Listing Amid AI Chip Boom

South Korean memory chip giant SK Hynix is reportedly preparing to take a major step toward a U.S. market debut by filing documents for an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) offering with South Koreas financial regulator....

Cerebras Revenue Forecast Tops Expectations, but Margin Concerns Weigh on Stock

Cerebras Systems delivered a strong revenue outlook for 2026 that exceeded Wall Street expectations, but investors remained cautious as the companys profit margin forecast highlighted the challenges of competing with AI...