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FxWirePro: Three major driving forces for BoE’s status quo with a hawkish twist – Gaining traction of hedging bids for bearish risks in GBP against EUR

Mar 28, 2017 12:33 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The summary of the BoE meeting in March contained three main triggers for changes to the BoEs current monetary policy stance. 1. CPI inflation. 2. Wage growth. 3. Private consumption. Higher CPI inflation and/or...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: WTI and Brent demand/supply forecasts send conducive signals for both speculators and investors – Diagonal option straps to stiff hedge

Mar 28, 2017 11:35 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The supply estimates of now incorporated in our forecasts for the coming 18 months drive a further structural loosening in projected market balances. Consequently, we lower price forecasts for 2017 and 2018 to...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Prefer AUD/CAD 6m put switch as low-cost risk hedge signifies competitive edge over USD/CAD

Mar 28, 2017 07:49 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Data events: BoC Gov Poloz speech on 28th March. Canadian GDP on 31st March. Aussie Retail Sales on 2nd April. Aussie Trade balance on 3rd April. RBAs Monetary Policy on 4th April. Canadian Trade balance on...

Moody's: Kazakhstan more resilient than Azerbaijan in adjustment to lower oil prices

Mar 27, 2017 07:44 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service (Moodys) says that policymakers in Kazakhstan (Baa3 negative) and Azerbaijan (Ba1 negative) have faced similar challenges from the decline in oil prices from their mid-2014 highs, including a sharp...

FxWirePro: GBP/AUD vega longs and theta shorts in 3-way straddles versus OTM call as hedging vehicle ahead of RBA’s cash rates

Mar 24, 2017 12:54 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

The central bank of Australia is scheduled to be announcing its monetary policy on April 04th which is likely to stay pat, even if the RBA does not deliver easings in 2H17, three hikes from the Fed will still leave minimal...

FxWirePro: Bearish GBP basket via shorts in cable spot trades and long 2m EUR/GBP call spread

Mar 24, 2017 10:01 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

This write up emphasizes on the prevailing shorts in GBP and those who squared off lets reopen a bearish basket (stay short cable in cash, buy a 2-m EURGBP call spread), we bought cable two weeks ago as this was the most...

FxWirePro: Option strips to hedge AUD/JPY as Aussie seems vulnerable global commodity supply surge cools off

Mar 24, 2017 07:21 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

TheAustralian federal governments mid-year fiscal updateis expected to show a deteriorating deficit as broad economic weakness offsets commodity price gains. Markets will be watching for any rating agency reactions. The...

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Economy

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Why is the London Stock Exchange losing out to the US

London Stock Exchange (LSE), which can trace its heritage to the coffee houses of the 17th century, is failing. The volume of shares traded is sharply declining, and some UK companies are swiftly moving to the US...

Why Germany ditched nuclear before coal – and why it won’t go back

One year ago, Germany took its last three nuclear power stations offline. When it comes to energy, few events have baffled outsiders more. In the face of climate change, calls to expedite the transition away from fossil...

What if the Reserve Bank itself has been feeding inflation? An economist explains

Heres something for the board of the Reserve Bank of Australia to ponder as it meets next month to set interest rates. It has pushed up rates on 13 occasions since it began its attempt to restrain inflation in May...

Politics

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

History for sale: what does South Africa’s struggle heritage mean after 30 years of democracy?

One of my favourite statues is the one of Nelson Mandela at the Sandton City shopping centre in Johannesburg. Larger than life, its oversized bronze shoes shimmer in the evening light, polished by the hands of many...

Sudan: civil war stretches into a second year with no end in sight

In the early hours of April 15 2023, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) a Sudanese paramilitary force attacked the military airstrip in the town of Merowe and deployed troops across strategic locations in Sudans capital,...

Joe Biden Proposes Record 44.6% Capital Gains Tax in Latest Budget Plan That May Favor Cryptocurrencies

President Joe Biden has proposed raising the capital gains tax to an unprecedented 44.6% in a bold fiscal move, targeting the wealthiest Americans. This hike is part of his 2025 budget proposal to reduce income...

Turkey’s suppression of the Kurdish political movement continues to fuel a deadly armed conflict

The world has 91 democracies and 88 autocracies. Yet 71% of the worlds population (some 5.7 billion people) are living under autocratic rule, a big jump from 48% ten years ago. This trend towards authoritarianism can...

Science

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

Technology

Huawei Leaks: Next-Gen Kirin CPU to Rival Apple's M3 Processor

Huaweis chip development team is rumored to be working on a next-generation Kirin CPU that could give Apples M3 a run for its money. The chip is expected to leverage the innovative Taishan V130 architecture, focusing on...

SHIB Burn Rate Soars 88% Following Major Shibarium Upgrade Announcement

Following a crucial upgrade announcement for Shibarium, Shibburn reports a dramatic 88.32% increase in the SHIB burn rate, removing millions from circulation and significantly boosting Shiba Inu coin holders. SHIB...

Solana Co-Founder Clashes with Vitalik Buterin, Champions Meme Coin Culture

In a bold social media move, Solanas co-founder Raj Gokal defended meme coins and subtly critiqued Ethereums Vitalik Buterin, stirring controversy in the crypto community. Solanas Gokal Defends Meme Coins, Warns...

Tesla Model 3 Performance Price Surges Days After Debut, Cybertruck Powershare Costs Skyrocket

Just days after Tesla released its Model 3 Performance, the company increased its price by $1,000. Meanwhile, a Tesla Cybertruck owner faces a staggering $30,000 quote for a Powershare installation, which would enable his...

Apple Partners with OpenAI for On-Device AI in iOS 18, Enhancing Privacy

Apple Inc. has reignited discussions with OpenAI to integrate advanced AI features into iOS 18, utilizing large language models entirely on-device. According to a Bloomberg report, this move promises to significantly...