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Oil in Global Economy Series

Is energy 'dominance' the right goal for US policy?

Jun 28, 2017 16:02 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

In recent weeks, a new energy buzzword has taken flight from Washington, D.C., making stops in Alaska, North Dakota, Texas, Utah and more: American energy dominance. Taking a cue from a 2016 speech by then-candidate Donald...

FxWirePro: Policy-induced trembles in EMFX – Play long gamma in G10 FX space via calendar spreads

Jun 28, 2017 12:53 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

FX vols enter H2 meaningfully cheap versus macro drivers and should mean-revert moderately higher. A U- rather than a V-shaped rebound is consistent with past vol cycles and mixed carry trade positioning. Steep vol curves...

FxWirePro: Commodity hotspot and options trade recommendations

Jun 28, 2017 12:33 pm UTC| Insights & Views

Energy: The post-OPEC meeting slide in prices has lasted longer and pushed lower than we had anticipated in late May. Top down balances still give cause for optimism, but the necessary adjustment will be forced back onto...

FxWirePro: Macro driving forces of GBP/AUD – Fetch beneficial disparity between IVs and pricing via 3-way straddles versus OTM call

Jun 28, 2017 12:09 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Macro outlook: The near-term outlook for sterling is murky given that there are several factors likely to pull the currency in offsetting directions. The positives include: i) The possibility of a more conciliatory...

UK to see modest growth in Q2, slowdown likely to be temporary

Jun 28, 2017 11:51 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

UK second quarter started off on a bad note as the manufacturing and construction sectors performed poorly in April. Office for National Statistics data showed that manufacturing rose by just 0.2 percent in the month,...

FxWirePro: How to attain implied correlation between Euro and Scandinavians?

Jun 28, 2017 09:39 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

The euro had no difficulties breaking the 1.13 mark yesterday as the dollar simply had nothing to oppose this move. The FX market for euro interpreted the information ECB President Mario Draghi provided at the opening of...

FxWirePro: Capitalize GBP/JPY IV skews to bid overpriced call writing in ratio back spreads

Jun 28, 2017 07:58 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Please be noted that the nutshell showing the positively skewed IVs of GBP against JPY options has been indicating upside risks in short run and downside risks in the weeks to come. Also, be noted that the ATM call...

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Economy

Asian Currencies Rise as Dollar Weakens; Yen Holds Steady Amid Japan Intervention Watch

Most Asian currencies edged higher on Friday after the U.S. dollar retreated from a 13-month high following weaker-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payrolls data, raising fresh questions about the Federal Reserves interest rate...

Asian Stocks Rebound as Tech Shares Rally on Fed Rate Cut Hopes and Easing Iran Tensions

Asian stock markets rebounded sharply on Friday as investors returned to technology shares following a week of heavy selling, while easing geopolitical tensions and growing expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate...

Oil Prices Slip as Oversupply Concerns and U.S.-Iran Talks Shape Market Outlook

Oil prices edged lower on Friday as improving global crude supplies and expectations of near-term oversupply continued to pressure the market, while traders reduced bearish positions ahead of the U.S. holiday weekend....

Gold Price Today: Bullion Heads for First Weekly Gain as Weak U.S. Jobs Data Eases Rate Hike Fears

Gold prices stabilized on Friday as weaker-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payrolls data eased concerns over additional Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, helping bullion recover after recently falling to an eight-month low....

China Services PMI Beats Forecasts as Strong Demand Supports June Growth

Chinas services sector expanded at a faster-than-expected pace in June, highlighting the resilience of the countrys economy despite ongoing challenges in domestic consumption. A private business survey released on Friday...

Politics

US Ambassador Prioritizes Cook Islands Critical Minerals, Warns of China’s Pacific Influence

The United States is placing greater emphasis on securing critical minerals from the Cook Islands, with newly appointed U.S. Ambassador Jared Novelly identifying the resource-rich nation as a key strategic priority while...

Air Force Investigates Officer After Capitol Protest Calling for Trump, Vance Impeachment

The U.S. Air Force has launched an investigation into an active-duty officer who publicly called for the impeachment of President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance during a protest outside the U.S. Capitol, drawing...

Venezuela Interim President Defends Earthquake Response as Death Toll Climbs

Venezuelas Interim President Delcy Rodriguez on Thursday strongly defended her governments response to the devastating earthquakes that struck the countrys northern coast, rejecting accusations that officials reacted too...

Taiwan Simulates Chinese Blockade and Invasion in Major Civil Defense Drill

Taiwan has stepped up its civil defense and military preparedness with one of its most comprehensive resilience exercises, simulating a Chinese blockade, cyberattacks, disinformation, infrastructure sabotage, a major...

US Appeals Court Limits ICE Detention Without Bond Hearings After 90 Days

A U.S. federal appeals court ruled that Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) cannot detain migrants for more than 90 days without giving them an opportunity to seek release through a bond hearing, dealing a setback to...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Anthropic Tightens AI Access Controls After Reports of China-Based Workarounds

Anthropic is strengthening measures to prevent unauthorized access to its artificial intelligence services from China after discovering that several Chinese companies had allegedly bypassed its restrictions, according to a...

Kuaishou Stock Jumps as Kling AI Secures $2 Billion Funding Round

Hong Kong-listed shares of Kuaishou Technology (HK:1024) climbed more than 6% on Thursday after its spun-off artificial intelligence business, Kling AI, secured an initial $2 billion in venture capital funding to...

Meta CEO Zuckerberg Says AI Agent Development Has Slowed Despite Massive AI Investment

Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) CEO Mark Zuckerberg has acknowledged that the companys progress in developing artificial intelligence (AI) agents has been slower than expected, despite Metas aggressive investment in AI...

Kioxia Bets on AI Memory Boom With Next-Gen NAND Production in Japan

Kioxia is set to mark a major milestone on Friday with a ceremony at its manufacturing facility in northern Japan as the company prepares to begin mass production of its next-generation NAND flash memory chips. The move...

OpenAI Proposes 5% U.S. Government Stake Amid AI Policy Talks

OpenAI has reportedly proposed granting the U.S. government a 5% ownership stake in the artificial intelligence company as it seeks to strengthen ties with Washington and address growing political scrutiny over the rapidly...