Taiwan’s central bank is expected to keep its policy interest rate unchanged at 2% this week and maintain stability through early 2026, according to a Reuters poll of 33 economists. The decision comes as policymakers navigate inflation pressures and uncertainties tied to U.S. tariffs.
Last December, the central bank held the benchmark discount rate at 2% after a previous hike from 1.875% in March 2023, anticipating rising electricity costs. While inflation remains a concern, Taiwan’s consumer price index (CPI) rose by a lower-than-expected 1.58% in February, staying below the 2% warning threshold.
Taiwan’s economy, heavily reliant on exports, has been buoyed by strong demand from the artificial intelligence (AI) boom, particularly benefiting TSMC, the world’s leading contract chipmaker. The economy is projected to expand over 3% this year, though growth will slow from last year’s 4.59%.
Economists caution that external risks, particularly potential U.S. tariffs under President Donald Trump, could impact Taiwan’s trade-driven economy. Oxford Economics noted that while future electricity price hikes may push inflation higher, concerns over global trade tensions are likely to keep the central bank cautious.
The U.S. Federal Reserve is also expected to hold interest rates steady this week, adding to the global monetary policy outlook. Taiwan’s central bank will release updated economic growth and inflation forecasts alongside its rate decision on Thursday.


Dollar Weakens Ahead of Expected Federal Reserve Rate Cut
RBI Cuts Repo Rate to 5.25% as Inflation Cools and Growth Outlook Strengthens
BOJ Governor Ueda and PM Takaichi Set for Key Meeting Amid Yen Slide and Rate-Hike Debate
Gold Prices Steady as Markets Await Key U.S. Data and Expected Fed Rate Cut
Germany’s Economic Recovery Slows as Trade Tensions and Rising Costs Weigh on Growth
Dollar Slides to Five-Week Low as Asian Stocks Struggle and Markets Bet on Fed Rate Cut
Asian Currencies Edge Higher as Markets Look to Fed Rate Cut; Rupee Steadies Near Record Lows
Fed Officials Split as Powell Weighs December Interest Rate Cut
BOJ Seen Moving Toward December Rate Hike as Yen Slides
RBA Reassesses Pricing Behaviors and Policy Impact Amid Inflation Pressures
China Urged to Prioritize Economy Over Territorial Ambitions, Says Taiwan’s President Lai
RBNZ Cuts Interest Rates Again as Inflation Cools and Recovery Remains Fragile 



