Asian stock markets opened cautiously on Monday as investors awaited developments on a potential U.S. government shutdown. President Donald Trump is set to meet with congressional leaders later in the day to discuss extending federal funding. Without a deal, the shutdown would begin Wednesday, coinciding with the implementation of new U.S. tariffs on trucks, pharmaceuticals, and other goods.
Analysts warn a prolonged closure could hinder the Federal Reserve’s policy decisions ahead of its October 29 meeting, as key reports like September payrolls would be delayed. Bank of America noted that while private data could fill gaps, the lack of official government releases may slightly reduce the likelihood of an October rate cut, though markets still price in a 90% chance. Growth impacts are expected to be minor, with estimates of a 0.1% reduction in GDP per week of closure. However, permanent job cuts tied to the shutdown could weigh on employment and consumer confidence.
Despite political uncertainty, equities may find support in seasonal trends. Historically, the fourth quarter has been favorable for U.S. stocks, with the S&P 500 posting gains nearly three-quarters of the time. On Monday, S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures gained 0.2%, while European futures, including Eurostoxx 50, FTSE, and DAX, also rose 0.3%. Japan’s Nikkei dipped 0.7% after a strong September, while South Korea’s market advanced 1.2%. MSCI’s Asia-Pacific index outside Japan rose 0.4%, adding nearly 4% in September.
Treasury yields steadied at 4.17% after recent pressure from strong U.S. economic data. The dollar index held firm at 98.134, with the euro trading at $1.1708 and the yen at 149.49.
In commodities, gold hovered near record highs at $3,764 an ounce, while oil prices eased. Brent crude slipped 0.8% to $69.57, and U.S. crude fell 0.9% to $65.14 as Iraq resumed exports through a key pipeline. OPEC+ is expected to approve another output hike of at least 137,000 barrels per day at its upcoming meeting.


China’s Services Sector Posts Slowest Growth in Five Months as Demand Softens
European Oil & Gas Stocks Face 2026 With Cautious Outlook Amid Valuation Pressure
U.S. Futures Steady as Rate-Cut Bets Rise on Soft Labor Data
China Urged to Prioritize Economy Over Territorial Ambitions, Says Taiwan’s President Lai
Asian Markets Mixed as RBI Cuts Rates and BOJ Signals Possible Hike
RBI Cuts Repo Rate to 5.25% as Inflation Cools and Growth Outlook Strengthens
Spain’s Industrial Output Records Steady Growth in October Amid Revised September Figures
Dollar Weakens Ahead of Expected Federal Reserve Rate Cut
Oil Prices Rise as Ukraine Targets Russian Energy Infrastructure
IMF Deputy Dan Katz Visits China as Key Economic Review Nears
Gold Prices Steady as Markets Await Key U.S. Data and Expected Fed Rate Cut
Asia’s IPO Market Set for Strong Growth as China and India Drive Investor Diversification
Dollar Slides to Five-Week Low as Asian Stocks Struggle and Markets Bet on Fed Rate Cut
Germany’s Economic Recovery Slows as Trade Tensions and Rising Costs Weigh on Growth
Asian Markets Stabilize as Wall Street Rebounds and Rate Concerns Ease
Europe Confronts Rising Competitive Pressure as China Accelerates Export-Led Growth 



