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China CPI Growth Slows While Producer Deflation Eases in January

China CPI Growth Slows While Producer Deflation Eases in January. Source: Prosperity Horizons, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

China’s inflation data for January showed a mixed picture, with consumer price growth moderating while factory-gate deflation continued to ease, according to figures released by the National Bureau of Statistics on Wednesday. The data highlights the ongoing challenges facing the world’s second-largest economy as policymakers work to support domestic demand and stabilize prices.

China’s consumer price index (CPI), a key measure of inflation at the household level, rose 0.2% year-on-year in January. While this marked a continuation of annual growth, it represented a notable slowdown from the 0.8% increase recorded in December. The figure also came in below market expectations, as economists polled by Reuters had forecast a 0.4% rise. The softer CPI reading suggests that consumer demand remains fragile despite recent policy efforts to stimulate spending.

On a month-on-month basis, China’s CPI increased by 0.2% in January. This result matched the pace seen in December but again fell short of forecasts that had pointed to a slightly stronger 0.3% monthly gain. The modest increase indicates limited upward pressure on prices, reinforcing concerns about subdued consumption and lingering deflationary risks within the economy.

Meanwhile, conditions in the industrial sector showed signs of gradual improvement. The producer price index (PPI), which tracks prices at the factory gate, declined 1.4% year-on-year in January. Although producer prices remained in deflationary territory, the contraction was less severe than the 1.9% drop recorded in December. The latest reading was also slightly better than expectations for a 1.5% decline, suggesting that cost pressures on manufacturers may be stabilizing.

The easing of producer deflation offers some cautious optimism for China’s industrial outlook, as lower input prices have weighed on corporate profits for much of the past year. However, the combination of weak consumer inflation and ongoing producer price declines underscores the delicate balance policymakers face in reviving growth without triggering financial risks.

Overall, China’s January inflation data points to an economy still struggling to build strong momentum, keeping attention firmly on future monetary and fiscal policy measures aimed at supporting demand and restoring confidence.

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