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Bank Indonesia likely to retain an easing bias through 2016

Indonesian Rupiah was one of the least performing currency in Asia in November which has gone some way to correct the overbought conditions in October when it rose 7.2%.

Bank Indonesia eased its monetary policy by delivering an RRR cut in November. The central bank left benchmark rate at 7.5% in December. Sentiment among business stay comparatively weak and the momentum of fiscal spending will be crucial for growth pace.

While the growth in investment was a pullback on GDP, it seems that the spending rose in second half of  2015. The government now expects less than 92 % of target by 2015 end with tax revenue at 85%.

"BI will retain an easing bias through 2016, but consensus already expects two 25bps rate cuts by end-2016", says RBC Capital Markets in a research note. 

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