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In this exclusive series, we cover on negative rates and its fallacies and implications on global economy. Two fundamental ideas underlying this series are (1) the world may have moved from a positive carry to a negative carry and (2) negative rates are contradictory.

Negative Rates Series

Bank of Japan likely to lower rates further into negative territory in June and H2 2016

Feb 23, 2016 09:12 am UTC| Commentary

The Bank of Japan in January adopted negative interest rates. It introduced a three-tier interest rate system that splits the Bank of Japans balance of current account in three parts and applies different interest rates on...

Negative Rates Series

Negative rates addiction, confusion and absurdities series: vaults in fashion

Feb 22, 2016 11:24 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

As central banks around the world embrace negative rates, fear among public is moving up regarding the issue. Last week, newspapers from Japan reported that people are looking to store or park money elsewhere. Some are...

Negative Rates Series

Currency War Series

CHF value justifies further SNB action?

Feb 19, 2016 14:41 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Despite the turmoil in the global equity markets, the Swiss Franc has remained on a weakening trend since the start of the year. The temporary strength seen in early February on volatility and Fed re-pricing is unlikely to...

Negative Rates Series

Japan machinery orders: More bad news for Mr. Kuroda

Feb 17, 2016 11:41 am UTC| Commentary

Bank of Japan (BOJ) governor Haruhiko Kuroda might be having worst of times in his tenure as the governor, since good news for him are so scarce these days. Since yesterday, Yen has remained quite well bid, raising the...

Negative Rates Series

Japanese economy back in contraction zone

Feb 15, 2016 05:46 am UTC| Commentary Economy

2015 didnt end well for Japan and BOJ too. According to latest estimate released Japans economy shrank in final quarter of 2015 and more than it was expected. AQs per latest data, Japans GDP shrank by 0.4% in fourth...

Negative Rates Series

FED hike aftermath series: probability of negative rates from FED is on the rise

Feb 11, 2016 08:37 am UTC| Commentary

Addicted to negative. Bets in financial markets are slowly creeping up that FED will be following Bank of Japan (BOJ), European Central Bank (ECB), and Swiss National Bank (SNB) to follow into the territory of negative...

Negative Rates Series

Currency War Series

SNB unlikely to cut rates further

Dec 21, 2015 07:08 am UTC| Commentary

Since EUR/CHF stepped up into higher range in July/August, it has been trading around 1.07 to 1.10, which leaves USD/CHF determined by EUR/USD. After the ECB meeting, SNB also held off from easing. It is still...

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Economy

Goldman Sachs Flags 3 Key Risks Ahead of Europe’s Earnings Season

Goldman Sachs has outlined three major themes investors should watch as Europes corporate earnings season approaches, warning that elevated market expectations could lead to stronger share-price swings if companies...

Goldman Sachs Raises USD/JPY Forecast, Sees Yen Weakness Persist Through 2027

Goldman Sachs has raised its USD/JPY exchange rate forecasts, predicting the Japanese yen will remain under pressure as elevated U.S. Treasury yields, limited recession risks in the United States, Japans fiscal concerns,...

JPMorgan Cuts Gold Price Forecast, Sees Bullion Reaching $4,500 by End of 2026

JPMorgan has sharply lowered its near-term gold price outlook, citing weaker-than-expected demand from major buying sectors and growing uncertainty over U.S. monetary policy. The bank now expects gold prices to average...

Oil Prices Steady as U.S.-Iran Peace Talks Ease Strait of Hormuz Supply Fears

Oil prices ended the week largely unchanged as investors weighed improving prospects for a lasting U.S.-Iran peace agreement against rising crude supply from the Middle East. Brent crude futures settled up 14 cents, or...

Asian Currencies Rise as Dollar Weakens; Yen Holds Steady Amid Japan Intervention Watch

Most Asian currencies edged higher on Friday after the U.S. dollar retreated from a 13-month high following weaker-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payrolls data, raising fresh questions about the Federal Reserves interest rate...

Politics

Trump Marks America’s 250th Anniversary With National Mall Rally Amid Political Divide

U.S. President Donald Trump is set to headline a major rally at Washingtons National Mall on Saturday as part of Americas 250th anniversary celebrations, concluding weeks of events that have sparked debate over the growing...

Trump Administration Proposes Repeal of 702 Federal Regulations in Major Deregulation Push

The Trump administration is moving forward with one of its largest deregulation efforts, proposing to eliminate 702 federal regulations across multiple government agencies as part of its latest semiannual regulatory...

Iran Holds State Funeral for Ali Khamenei as Security Fears Shape Succession

Millions of Iranians gathered in Tehran on Saturday for the state funeral of slain Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, while authorities confirmed that his son and successor, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, would not lead funeral...

Trump Offers to Help Advance Ukraine Peace Talks in Call With Putin

U.S. President Donald Trump told Russian President Vladimir Putin that Washington remains ready to help advance efforts to end the war in Ukraine during a phone call that lasted nearly 90 minutes, according to Kremlin aide...

Kim Jong Un Oversees North Korea Destroyer Missile Tests, Orders Rapid Naval Deployment

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un supervised a series of weapons tests aboard the newly built naval destroyer Kang Kon, reinforcing Pyongyangs push to strengthen its maritime military capabilities, according to the Korean...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Anthropic Tightens AI Access Controls After Reports of China-Based Workarounds

Anthropic is strengthening measures to prevent unauthorized access to its artificial intelligence services from China after discovering that several Chinese companies had allegedly bypassed its restrictions, according to a...

Kuaishou Stock Jumps as Kling AI Secures $2 Billion Funding Round

Hong Kong-listed shares of Kuaishou Technology (HK:1024) climbed more than 6% on Thursday after its spun-off artificial intelligence business, Kling AI, secured an initial $2 billion in venture capital funding to...

Meta CEO Zuckerberg Says AI Agent Development Has Slowed Despite Massive AI Investment

Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) CEO Mark Zuckerberg has acknowledged that the companys progress in developing artificial intelligence (AI) agents has been slower than expected, despite Metas aggressive investment in AI...

Kioxia Bets on AI Memory Boom With Next-Gen NAND Production in Japan

Kioxia is set to mark a major milestone on Friday with a ceremony at its manufacturing facility in northern Japan as the company prepares to begin mass production of its next-generation NAND flash memory chips. The move...

OpenAI Proposes 5% U.S. Government Stake Amid AI Policy Talks

OpenAI has reportedly proposed granting the U.S. government a 5% ownership stake in the artificial intelligence company as it seeks to strengthen ties with Washington and address growing political scrutiny over the rapidly...
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