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In this exclusive series, we cover on negative rates and its fallacies and implications on global economy. Two fundamental ideas underlying this series are (1) the world may have moved from a positive carry to a negative carry and (2) negative rates are contradictory.

Negative Rates Series

Bank of Japan likely to lower rates further into negative territory in June and H2 2016

Feb 23, 2016 09:12 am UTC| Commentary

The Bank of Japan in January adopted negative interest rates. It introduced a three-tier interest rate system that splits the Bank of Japans balance of current account in three parts and applies different interest rates on...

Negative Rates Series

Negative rates addiction, confusion and absurdities series: vaults in fashion

Feb 22, 2016 11:24 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

As central banks around the world embrace negative rates, fear among public is moving up regarding the issue. Last week, newspapers from Japan reported that people are looking to store or park money elsewhere. Some are...

Negative Rates Series

Currency War Series

CHF value justifies further SNB action?

Feb 19, 2016 14:41 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Despite the turmoil in the global equity markets, the Swiss Franc has remained on a weakening trend since the start of the year. The temporary strength seen in early February on volatility and Fed re-pricing is unlikely to...

Negative Rates Series

Japan machinery orders: More bad news for Mr. Kuroda

Feb 17, 2016 11:41 am UTC| Commentary

Bank of Japan (BOJ) governor Haruhiko Kuroda might be having worst of times in his tenure as the governor, since good news for him are so scarce these days. Since yesterday, Yen has remained quite well bid, raising the...

Negative Rates Series

Japanese economy back in contraction zone

Feb 15, 2016 05:46 am UTC| Commentary Economy

2015 didnt end well for Japan and BOJ too. According to latest estimate released Japans economy shrank in final quarter of 2015 and more than it was expected. AQs per latest data, Japans GDP shrank by 0.4% in fourth...

Negative Rates Series

FED hike aftermath series: probability of negative rates from FED is on the rise

Feb 11, 2016 08:37 am UTC| Commentary

Addicted to negative. Bets in financial markets are slowly creeping up that FED will be following Bank of Japan (BOJ), European Central Bank (ECB), and Swiss National Bank (SNB) to follow into the territory of negative...

Negative Rates Series

Currency War Series

SNB unlikely to cut rates further

Dec 21, 2015 07:08 am UTC| Commentary

Since EUR/CHF stepped up into higher range in July/August, it has been trading around 1.07 to 1.10, which leaves USD/CHF determined by EUR/USD. After the ECB meeting, SNB also held off from easing. It is still...

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Economy

JPMorgan Sees ECB Raising Rates to 2.75% in December

JPMorgan now expects the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise interest rates for a third time in December, lifting its policy rate to 2.75% as persistent inflation, higher energy costs and resilient eurozone growth...

Asian Currencies Rise as Yen Surges on Fed Rate Outlook

Asian currencies strengthened on Friday, led by a sharp rally in the Japanese yen as the U.S. dollar weakened following dovish comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller. The yen was heading for a weekly...

US Oil Blockade Deepens Iran’s Economic Crisis

Iran is facing mounting economic strain as a U.S. campaign targeting its oil exports, financial networks and sanctions-evasion channels increasingly restricts Tehrans access to foreign currency and essential imports,...

U.S. Payrolls Seen Rebounding in August as Labor Market Stays Soft

U.S. payroll growth is expected to have recovered in August as local government education employment rebounded, although job losses linked to changes in immigration protections could limit overall gains. Economists...

Gold Prices Hold Near $4,500 as Fed Rate Hike Bets Ease

Gold prices hovered near $4,500 an ounce on Thursday, extending a strong rebound as Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Wallers comments reduced expectations for a September interest rate hike. A softer U.S. dollar and...

Politics

Milei Threatens Falkland Oil Firms With Sanctions

Argentine President Javier Milei has threatened sanctions against oil companies operating around the Falkland Islands, escalating Argentinas long-running sovereignty dispute with Britain over the South Atlantic territory....

South Korea, US Discuss Chip Investments Amid Tariff Plans

South Korea and the United States are holding discussions over semiconductor investments in U.S. manufacturing as the two countries navigate broader economic and trade negotiations, a senior Seoul official said Friday. The...

Trump Seeks Europe Repayment for U.S. Ukraine Military Aid

U.S. President Donald Trump said Thursday he plans to ask European nations to reimburse the United States for military aid and munitions previously supplied to Ukraine, while signaling that U.S. weapons sales to allies...

Brazil Warns EU of Retaliation Over Animal Products Ban

Brazil has warned that it could impose reciprocal measures against the European Union if negotiations fail to resolve a new EU ban on Brazilian animal products, raising the prospect of fresh trade tensions between the two...

Pacific Leaders Raise Alarm Over China Missile Test as Nauru Dissents

Pacific Island leaders have raised concerns over Chinas latest intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) test in the Pacific, although Nauru formally rejected the regional blocs position during an annual summit in Palau....

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Anthropic Nears $15 Billion Credit Deal Ahead of IPO

Anthropic is reportedly close to finalizing an expansion of its revolving credit facility to $15 billion, strengthening the artificial intelligence companys financial position ahead of its widely anticipated initial public...

Xiaomi Shares Jump on Europe EV Expansion Plan

Xiaomi shares climbed sharply on Friday after the Chinese technology giant confirmed plans to begin selling its electric vehicles in Europe in 2027, marking a major step in its international EV expansion. Xiaomi Corp...

Nvidia Eyes $2.5 Billion Investment in Thinking Machines Lab

Nvidia is reportedly in discussions to invest about $2.5 billion in Thinking Machines Lab, the artificial intelligence startup founded by former OpenAI executive Mira Murati, as the chip giant continues to expand its...

Chinese AI Stocks Rally After OpenAI Launches GPT-6 Astra

Chinese AI stocks rallied on Friday after OpenAI unveiled GPT-6 Astra, its latest artificial intelligence model, fueling investor optimism over accelerating AI development and the commercial potential of advanced AI...

OpenAI Launches GPT-6 Astra With Advanced AI Agent Capabilities

OpenAI unveiled GPT-6 Astra on Thursday, describing it as its most capable artificial intelligence model yet as the company confronts growing concerns over the safety and control of increasingly autonomous AI systems. The...
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