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FX Hedging Strategy Series

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Amid highly volatile economic environment, shielding currency exposure has become too risky than before. In this series we provide an intelligent insights and analysis on actionable FX derivative strategies that serve different levels of risk appetites and returns.

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: EUR/CHF maintains least IVs among G10 currency pool, risk reversal signals choppy range - Time for counting on “Strangle Shorts”

Jul 18, 2016 14:50 pm UTC| Insights & Views

The EURCHF OTC FX options market appears to be bland in the non-directional trend over the 1w to 3m time horizon as the hedgers have not been showing any interest in this period and as a result delta risk reversal for...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Hedging flavours of EM Asian currency baskets ahead of economic data season

Jul 18, 2016 12:19 pm UTC| Insights & Views

Malaysia CPI (Wed) is expected to fall to 1.8% from 2.0%. We expect one more rate cut in this cycle (link) as the growth picture is not encouraging. Consumer prices rose 2.0 pct YoY in May of 2016, compared to a 2.1 pct...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: TRY struggles to hold onto early gains – Credit Put Spreads likely to fetch handsome yields while serving hedging objectives to bears

Jul 18, 2016 10:15 am UTC| Insights & Views

Developments in Turkey late on Friday during the NY trading session put a damper on the EM FX rally. The TRY suffered its largest daily loss since the 2008 crisis and the risk-off tone permeated across emerging markets....

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Turkish CAD may dampen prospects lira but political stability adds cushion to potential slumps – Hedge USD/TRY for upside risks

Jul 18, 2016 07:43 am UTC| Insights & Views

Turkey has the second largest current account deficit as a percent of GDP in the major EM economies and also the second worst basic balance (current account plus FDI). Being heavily reliant on fickle portfolio and...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: 1m NZD/USD IV skew indicates lower strikes on upper hand – “CCS” to serve both hedging and speculating motives

Jul 18, 2016 07:25 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

1m ATM IVs are trending more than 14% which is favourable for option holders. As you can glance through the skewness in 1m IVs of NZDUSD, they highlight more probabilities of underlying spot sensitiveness to the ITM...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Flirt Yellow metal prices with 3-way straddles versus put eyeing on IV skews

Jul 15, 2016 13:20 pm UTC| Insights & Views

On the Comex division of the NYME,goldfor August delivery edged forward 0.06% to $1,333.50 a troy ounce. Markets had dismissed the possibility of policy tightening this year with odds at 100% that the Fed will keep...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Fitch rating on Poland unlikely to add pressure on Zloty but political turmoil does – “diagonal call spread” for both hedging and speculation

Jul 15, 2016 12:47 pm UTC| Insights & Views

Fitch will review its Poland rating today. We expect the rating (A-) and outlook (stable) to be left unchanged. There is a small risk that the outlook will be lowered to negative, in line with what other agencies have for...

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Economy

UK PM Burnham to Unveil Economic Vision at Labour Conference

UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham will set out his economic vision at next weeks Labour Party conference, aiming to restore confidence in Britains outlook as households and businesses face rising inflation, energy costs and...

Germany’s 2026 Growth Outlook Strengthens on Fiscal Spending

Germanys economy is showing signs of stronger-than-expected growth in 2026 as increased government spending begins to support activity, according to Citi analysts. The fiscal boost is currently most visible in defence...

China Agrees to Buy 20 Million Tons of U.S. Coal

China has agreed to purchase at least 10 million metric tons of U.S. coal annually in 2027 and 2028 as Washington and Beijing deepen trade cooperation following their latest high-level negotiations, Bloomberg reported. The...

Oil Prices Fall on U.S.-Iran Hormuz Deal Hopes

Oil prices fell on Friday, ending a two-day rally as traders weighed reports that the United States and Iran were discussing a phased agreement that could eventually reopen the Strait of Hormuz and ease disruptions to...

Canadian Dollar Faces Pressure as Fed-BoC Policy Gap Widens

The Canadian dollar could remain under pressure through the end of 2026 as diverging monetary policy between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada weighs on the currency, according to CIBC Capital Markets. CIBC expects...

Politics

South Africa Seeks US Talks Despite Visa Restrictions

South Africa remains willing to negotiate with the United States over key areas of disagreement, including foreign investment rules, racial equity policies and mining opportunities, Foreign Minister Ronald Lamola said...

Taiwan Says U.S. Arms Sales Protect Chip Supply

Continued U.S. arms sales to Taiwan serve Washingtons national interests by strengthening the islands defenses and safeguarding its critical semiconductor industry, Taiwan Deputy Foreign Minister Francois Wu said Saturday....

Iran Awaits U.S. Response on Hormuz Ceasefire Proposal

Iran was awaiting an official response from the United States on Saturday to its proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and pause fighting across the Middle East, even as a media report said President Donald Trump had...

Colombia Extradites FARC Dissident Leader ‘Spider’ to US

Colombia has extradited Geovany Andres Rojas, a senior commander of a dissident faction linked to the former FARC rebel movement, to the United States, where he is wanted on drug-trafficking charges. Rojas, widely known by...

Evan Gershkovich Says FSB Set Trap for 2023 Russia Arrest

Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich says Russias Federal Security Service orchestrated an elaborate sting operation that led to his 2023 arrest on espionage charges, according to his first detailed published...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

TikTok Reaches $100 Million Alabama Settlement Over Child Safety Claims

TikTok and Chinese parent company ByteDance have reached a settlement with Alabama over allegations that the social media platform was designed to encourage addictive behavior among children while misleading consumers...

OpenAI Agents Access U.S. Government Websites During Testing

OpenAI artificial intelligence agents accessed several U.S. government websites and performed unintended online actions during months of testing, raising fresh concerns about the safeguards surrounding autonomous AI...

AMD Hits $1 Trillion as BofA Raises Price Target to $720

Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) has joined the $1 trillion market capitalization club, and BofA Securities believes the semiconductor giant has room to climb further as artificial intelligence drives stronger demand...

US Appeals Court Upholds Anthropic AI Supply Chain Ban

A U.S. federal appeals court has upheld the Department of Wars decision to exclude Anthropic from its supply chain, handing the Trump administration a significant victory in a closely watched dispute over military use of...

Solidigm Eyes $150 Billion IPO as SK Hynix Expands AI Storage Push

SK Hynix subsidiary Solidigm is considering a U.S. initial public offering as early as next year that could value the semiconductor storage company at as much as $150 billion, according to a Reuters report on Friday. The...