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FX Hedging Strategy Series

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Amid highly volatile economic environment, shielding currency exposure has become too risky than before. In this series we provide an intelligent insights and analysis on actionable FX derivative strategies that serve different levels of risk appetites and returns.

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Trump effects on Antipodeans - 1M forward vols priced-in highly asymmetrically with respect to the history of 1M ATM vols

Nov 10, 2016 07:43 am UTC| Research & Analysis

The narrow-dated forward vols in antipodean currencies are priced highly asymmetrically with respect to a rolling history of 1M ATM vol. For instance, the above chart explains that indicative offers on 1M1M FVAs in...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Deploy reverse put spreads to hedge EUR/JPY quantifying and capitalizing RR gap between EUR/USD, USD/JPY and EUR/JPY

Nov 10, 2016 07:33 am UTC| Research & Analysis

The excessive yen skew premium Yen calls are in high demand for all crosses as the market is behaving in a risk-off way. As we wrote here and here, the yen probably met an inflexion point after months of strength. A...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: USD/JPY tumbles but recovers digesting geopolitical news in both US and Japan and but what do risk reversals imply?

Nov 09, 2016 14:36 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

The U.S. dollar tumbled over 1% to a one-month low against the other major currencies on Wednesday, as Donald Trump appeared to be winning the U.S. presidential election. Markets began pricing in owing to a Trumps...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: USD/RUB goes in sideways shrugging off all available news but eyeing crude prices consolidation – DPS for optimized hedging

Nov 09, 2016 14:07 pm UTC| Commentary

The right balance between commodity dependence and external imbalances. The evolution of net commodities exports and current account balance (as % of GDP) between 2013 and 2015 (the second leg of the commodity...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Bid USD/ZAR call spreads as political turmoil still lingers in South Africa while Trump crowns as 45th President

Nov 09, 2016 12:54 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

The results of the US elections has caused turbulence in almost all asset avenues including EMFX as the Republican candidate Donald Trumpis crowningas the 45th president of the United States on Wednesday, crushing the...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Bullion OTC gets stimulated for bullish risks after Trump’s triumph – 3-way straddle versus OTM puts for hedging

Nov 09, 2016 10:17 am UTC| Research & Analysis

We forecast a moderately higher gold price during the remainder of the year with a 4Q16 price forecast of $1,350/oz as our economists expect a slow pace of Fed tightening with the next rate hike likely at the December...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Norwegian inflation keeps Norges bank dovish - USD/NOK dips likely to prolong, stay short via option and cash trades on hedging grounds

Nov 09, 2016 09:42 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The NOK is closely correlated to crude oil prices, and it has strengthened this year following stabilization in oil and the Norwegian economy. Norway is also running the highest inflation readings among G10...

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Economy

Oil Prices Fall on U.S.-Iran Hormuz Deal Hopes

Oil prices fell on Friday, ending a two-day rally as traders weighed reports that the United States and Iran were discussing a phased agreement that could eventually reopen the Strait of Hormuz and ease disruptions to...

Canadian Dollar Faces Pressure as Fed-BoC Policy Gap Widens

The Canadian dollar could remain under pressure through the end of 2026 as diverging monetary policy between the Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada weighs on the currency, according to CIBC Capital Markets. CIBC expects...

Japanese Yen Rebounds as Trump Flags Currency Weakness

The Japanese yen ended a five-day losing streak on Friday, rebounding from the closely watched 160-per-dollar level after Tokyo disclosed that U.S. President Donald Trump had raised concerns about the currencys weakness...

US Comfortable With Canada Trade Standoff as Import Bans Loom

President Donald Trumps administration is prepared to maintain its escalating trade dispute with Canada as new import restrictions approach and Washington threatens additional tariffs on key Canadian industries. U.S. Trade...

Dollar Falls as Oil Eases, Yen Jumps on Intervention Signals

The U.S. dollar weakened on Friday as oil prices retreated, although the currency remained headed for a second consecutive weekly gain as expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hike increased. The Japanese yen,...

Politics

Colombia Extradites FARC Dissident Leader ‘Spider’ to US

Colombia has extradited Geovany Andres Rojas, a senior commander of a dissident faction linked to the former FARC rebel movement, to the United States, where he is wanted on drug-trafficking charges. Rojas, widely known by...

Evan Gershkovich Says FSB Set Trap for 2023 Russia Arrest

Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich says Russias Federal Security Service orchestrated an elaborate sting operation that led to his 2023 arrest on espionage charges, according to his first detailed published...

Saudi Arabia Seeks Military Support as Houthi Attacks Escalate

Saudi, Turkish and Pakistani military chiefs were expected to discuss support for Saudi Arabia as escalating Houthi attacks intensify security concerns across the Middle East, while new restrictions on Iranian flights add...

Putin Says Ukraine Peace Proposals Remain on Table

Russian President Vladimir Putin said Friday that proposals aimed at ending the 4-1/2-year war in Ukraine remain under consideration, although Moscow must determine which options best serve Russias interests. Speaking to...

Iran Rejects Nuclear Concessions in Hormuz Deal

Iran will not compromise on its nuclear rights even if the United States accepts Tehrans proposal for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, according to a senior Iranian official, underscoring major obstacles to ending the...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

AMD Hits $1 Trillion as BofA Raises Price Target to $720

Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) has joined the $1 trillion market capitalization club, and BofA Securities believes the semiconductor giant has room to climb further as artificial intelligence drives stronger demand...

US Appeals Court Upholds Anthropic AI Supply Chain Ban

A U.S. federal appeals court has upheld the Department of Wars decision to exclude Anthropic from its supply chain, handing the Trump administration a significant victory in a closely watched dispute over military use of...

Solidigm Eyes $150 Billion IPO as SK Hynix Expands AI Storage Push

SK Hynix subsidiary Solidigm is considering a U.S. initial public offering as early as next year that could value the semiconductor storage company at as much as $150 billion, according to a Reuters report on Friday. The...

Meta Found Liable in New Mexico Facebook Data Privacy Case

A New Mexico jury has found Meta Platforms liable for misleading consumers about Facebook user privacy and data-sharing practices in a case tied to the Cambridge Analytica scandal. The verdict followed a two-week trial in...

DaVoice Sues Perplexity AI Over Trade Secrets

AI technology startup DaVoice has filed a lawsuit against Perplexity AI in California federal court, accusing the artificial intelligence company of misappropriating trade secrets connected to wake word technology used in...