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Fed Liftoff Series

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Markets are preparing for Fed's liftoff since 2006, as the FOMC fears that if it postpones the first hike, the hiking cycle may not be as gradual as hinted at by members, as the FOMC risks to ‘fall behind the curve. In this exclusive series we provide an insightful views and analysis on US labor market- a key to understanding why the Fed will raise rates (IOER and ON RRP), swap yields, dollar index, FX volatility and new hiking framework.

Fed Liftoff Series

Rate hike odds improve sharply after FOMC minutes

May 19, 2016 06:26 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

After yesterdays FOMC minutes gave clearest indication ever for a June rate hike, interest rates market have adjusted sharply in anticipation of such. As per the minutes, many participants believed a riser would be...

Fed Liftoff Series

Fed signals rate hike in June on conditions of economic improvement

May 19, 2016 05:11 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The minutes of the April 26-27 Federal Reserve Open Market Committee Wednesday signaled markets of a possible rate hike in June, if the US economy good track of improvement. Investors and creditors have been warned of such...

Fed Liftoff Series

FED liftoff series – end of series note

Dec 16, 2015 16:38 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC decision that we have been focusing on for past days in this series covering various aspects, probabilities, possibilities surrounding a rate hike from FED, is finally here and just few hours away. Not forgettable,...

Fed Liftoff Series

FED liftoff series – key short term levels for key major pairs

Dec 16, 2015 16:05 pm UTC| Commentary

We have almost covered, key vital areas, heading into FOMC, which is widely expected to be the meeting, where FED finally hike rates. We in this post, finally cover some technical aspects - levels and resistances of key...

Fed Liftoff Series

FED liftoff series – Decision day – watch out for dissenters

Dec 16, 2015 15:29 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

We are only few hours away from much anticipated FOMC decision. We expect, a 25 basis points hike in Federal fund rate, discount rates and 25 basis points hike in excess as well as required reserve. We also expects FED to...

Fed Liftoff Series

FED liftoff series – Decision day – IOER, discount rates and RRP

Dec 16, 2015 15:04 pm UTC| Commentary

We are only hours away from a highest probability chance of a rate hike of 25 basis points from FED, after a decade of no hikes. We in earlier posts have addressed the possible implications, impact of FED hike that might...

Fed Liftoff Series

FED liftoff series – Decision day – general overview

Dec 16, 2015 14:34 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Today finally there is almost certainty that US Federal Reserve will hike rates by 25 basis points, for first time in almost a decade and officially ending long seven years of accommodation. FED however has indicated that...

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Economy

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Inflation is slowly falling, while student debt is climbing: 6 graphs that explain today’s CPI

Australias inflation rate has fallen for the fifth successive quarter, and its now less than half of what it was back in late 2022. The annual rate peaked at 7.8% in the December quarter of 2022 and is now just 3.6%, in...

The Mattei Plan: why Giorgia Meloni is looking to Africa

Since coming to power, Giorgia Melonis government has been remarkably orthodox in its foreign policy. Unwavering support for Ukraine, loyalty to the Atlantic Alliance and full participation in the European Union - these...

Politics

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

History for sale: what does South Africa’s struggle heritage mean after 30 years of democracy?

One of my favourite statues is the one of Nelson Mandela at the Sandton City shopping centre in Johannesburg. Larger than life, its oversized bronze shoes shimmer in the evening light, polished by the hands of many...

Sudan: civil war stretches into a second year with no end in sight

In the early hours of April 15 2023, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) a Sudanese paramilitary force attacked the military airstrip in the town of Merowe and deployed troops across strategic locations in Sudans capital,...

Military conscription is returning to Europe, but is it really a more equal way of mobilising? What history tells us

The idea that conscription, defined as the compulsory enlistment of citizens for military service, can increase equality and instil a sense of solidarity that transcends traditional societal divides has echoed throughout...

The 50th anniversary of Portugal’s Carnation Revolution

Across Portugal, a number of photography exhibitions are currently on display that commemorate the ousting of the Estado Novo, the dictatorial, authoritarian and corporatist political regime that had ruled the country...

Science

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

Technology

Google Axes 200 ‘Core’ Workers, Transfers Jobs to India and Mexico Amid Restructuring

Google LLC is reducing its workforce again in its latest restructuring efforts. The tech company announced it would axe at least 200 staff from its core teams. According to CNBC, this core unit is responsible for...

Analyst Sees Shiba Inu Hitting $0.00007 Despite Major Token Dump

A Shiba Inu whale recently dumped massive SHIB tokens on Coinbase, one of the worlds top cryptocurrency exchanges. The enormous volume of SHIB offloaded quickly sparked a gloomy feeling among crypto market aficionados...

Casio Joins NFT Trend with Astar zkEVM, Unveils Anniversary Collection

Casio, one of the worlds leading watch companies, has joined the battle for non-fungible tokens (NFTs) in partnership with Astars zero-knowledge Ethereum Virtual Machine. The Casio watch NFTs will go online on May...

Tron's Justin Sun Boosts Dogecoin, Shiba Inu at Token 2049 Conference

At the Token 2049 conference, Tron founder Justin Sun endorsed popular meme coins like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu, emphasizing their pivotal distinction from traditional finance and celebrating their community-driven...

Bitcoin Dips 11% Post-Halving: Unexpected Decline Shocks Investors

Bitcoins price has unexpectedly fallen by 11% since the halving on April 20, stirring concerns among investors hoping for a post-halving surge. According to CoinGecko, Bitcoin dropped below $57,000 on May...