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After several years of extremely loose monetary policy, the U.S. Federal Reserve intends to start tightening, for clear reasons, markets will remain focused on the crucial event, which is set to have a major impact on almost all asset classes. Economic data releases will provide clues to the robustness of economies- some of which are vulnerable to investment outflows as higher rates make U.S. assets more attractive. Emerging economies are already struggling to support currencies hit by Fed rate hike expectations and will lead to intensified currency wars further. In this exclusive series we will provide insightful analysis and views on central banks decisions, emerging markets currencies, Fed's tools for managing monetary cycle, investment outflows, including direct government intervention, the imposition of capital controls, and, indirectly, quantitative easing.

Currency War Series

ECB's challenges into December: two BoJ meetings, one US employment report

Oct 22, 2015 21:16 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

A combination of an increase in asset purchases and a deposit rate cut is seen as the most likely outcome of the December meeting. And from that perspective, expectations management is likely to be one of the key...

Currency War Series

Currency wars or currency woes?

Sep 25, 2015 18:01 pm UTC| Commentary

On the back of Chinas devaluation of the CNY on August 11, there has been a revival in speculation as to whether the world faces another wave of currency wars. There is still an incentive for some central banks to favour a...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

Currency War Series

Emerging market crisis series – Japan a big victim

Sep 14, 2015 12:02 pm UTC| Insights & Views

Emerging market (EM) crisis and falling values of EM currencies have started taking toll on Japan and Bank of Japans (BOJ) monetary policy. Japans borrowing cost was already at historical low, when Bank of Japan (BOJ)...

Currency War Series

Intensified currency war implies stronger effective Euro

Aug 28, 2015 04:48 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The ECBs outlook for higher inflation is threatened by a renewed trend higher in the effective EUR, which, when considering the 3M change, is at the highest rate in more than two years. The upward pressure on the EUR...

Currency War Series

Financial markets force PBoC to ease

Aug 25, 2015 20:48 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Peoples Bank of China (PBoC) today cut its leading interest rate by 25bp and the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) for commercial banks by 50bp. This was the fifth interest rate cut since November last year. The one-year...

Currency War Series

China stuns markets, but Fed focused on U.S. fundamentals

Aug 16, 2015 07:01 am UTC| Commentary Economy

After holding the Renminbi-USD exchange rate relatively steady for the past few years, China announced on Tuesday that it had lowered the midpoint of the daily trading range (fix) of the RMB relative to the USD by 1.9%....

Currency War Series

PBOC not in favor of significant devaluation of CNY

Aug 14, 2015 05:10 am UTC| Commentary

Chinas move to adjust the mechanism for determining the USDCNY fixing sent shockwaves through EM rates and FX markets. The large movements in EM FX markets have fuelled speculation of weaker growth outcomes in China, a...

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Economy

The idea that US interest rates will stay higher for longer is probably wrong

The 0.4% rise in US consumer prices in March didnt look like headline news. It was the same as the February increase, and the year-on-year rise of 3.5% is still sharply down from 5% a year ago. All the same, this modest...

Impact of Iran-Israel conflict on Stocks, Gold and Bitcoin

Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. The information provided is for general purposes only. No information, materials, services and other content provided on this page constitute a solicitation, recommendation,...

Japan Posts 7.7% Growth in Machinery Orders

In a striking development that looks set to invigorate Japans economic prospects, a key gauge of capital spending in the country has seen its most significant jump in over a year. According to Cabinet Office data released...

Why Africa can be the beating heart of South Korea’s technology industry

Tshepo Ncube, Head: International Coverage and Bhavtik Vallabhjee, Head: Power, Utilities Infrastructure at Absa CIB reflect on their recent visit to South Korea, examining why investors in the region have their eyes set...

How cuts to marginal income tax could boost the UK’s stagnant economic growth

The British prime minister recently claimed the UK economy has turned a corner. Rishi Sunak said inflation figures were encouraging, and proclaimed that 2024 would be the year Britain bounces back. According to his...

Politics

Putin’s Russia: first arrests under new anti-LGBT laws mark new era of repression

Just over three decades after Russia decriminalised homosexuality in 1993, three people have been arrested and charged under the countrys harsh new anti-LGBT laws and could face ten years in prison for membership of an...

Nvidia RTX 4090D Embroiled in US-China Tech Rivalry; South Korea Navigates Chip Export Dilemma

The U.S. government has tightened export restrictions on high-performance semiconductor chips to China, including the Nvidia RTX 4090D, and is urging South Korea to enforce similar curbs, marking a significant escalation...

Canada needs a national strategy for homeless refugee claimants

One year after the federal government closed Roxham Road, refugee claims in Canada continue to increase: there were 143,785 in 2023 compared to 91,730 in 2022. The surprise announcement in March 2023 to modify Canadas...

Who will Trump pick as his running mate?

Being second in line for leadership of the most powerful country in the world is not an easy job. But for Mike Pence, vice president under Donald Trump, things were even harder than usual. As insurrectionists descended...

Science

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

If life exists on Jupiter’s moon Europa, scientists might soon be able to detect it

Europa is one of the largest of more than 90 moons in orbit around the planet Jupiter. It is also one of the best places to look for alien life. Often termed an ocean world by scientists, observations to date strongly...

Exploding stars are rare but emit torrents of radiation − if one happened close enough to Earth, it could threaten life on the planet

Stars like the Sun are remarkably constant. They vary in brightness by only 0.1% over years and decades, thanks to the fusion of hydrogen into helium that powers them. This process will keep the Sun shining steadily for...

Technology

Crypto.com's Launch in South Korea Stalled by AML Regulatory Concerns, Postponement Announced

Crypto.com has delayed its much-anticipated launch in South Korea after an emergency inspection by local regulators revealed issues with its anti-money laundering measures, forcing the cryptocurrency exchange to reassess...

Coca-Cola, Microsoft Forge $1.1B Alliance for Cloud and AI Innovation

The Coca-Cola Company and Microsoft Corp. have joined forces in a $1.1 billion deal to leverage Microsoft Cloud and AI technologies, aiming to streamline operations and spark worldwide innovation. Strategic Partnership...

Korean Military Considers iPhone Ban, Samsung Exempt for Security Reasons

The South Korean military is considering banning iPhones from defense installations over concerns that their voice recording feature could compromise security, whereas Samsung phones are approved for use. Potential...

Shiba Inu Reveals How SHIB Army Can Earn TREAT Token in New Blockchain Ecosystem

The Shiba Inu ecosystem has outlined multiple ways for its community, the SHIB Army, to earn the upcoming TREAT token as part of their engagement with the new layer-3 blockchain, empowering users with greater participation...
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