China Crisis Series

China Crisis Series

Supply-side structural reforms likely to pose headwinds to China’s growth in short-term

Mar 03, 2016 10:30 am UTC| Commentary Economy Politics

The NPC is expected to keep the supply-side structural reforms topic as its main topic on the macro policy agenda. Their key impact on financial markets is expected to be through the execution and implementation of five...

China Crisis Series

China’s fiscal policy likely to be moderately expansionary in 2016-2017

Mar 03, 2016 10:04 am UTC| Commentary Politics

The China National Peoples Congress (NPC) meeting might give certain upside surprise in fiscal policy. The NPC is expected to stress on a more proactive fiscal policy in 2016 with above expected fiscal deficit recorded in...

China Crisis Series

Fitch: China RRR Cut, Credit Growth Could Lead to Bank Risks

Mar 02, 2016 03:05 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The 50bp cut to the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) for Chinese banks on Tuesday, together with record loan growth in January, could point to an increasing likelihood that the authorities are shifting policy to enable more...

China Crisis Series

Moody's changes outlook on China's Aa3 government bond rating to negative from stable; affirms Aa3 rating

Mar 02, 2016 00:09 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service has today changed the outlook to negative from stable on Chinas government credit ratings, while affirming the Aa3 long-term senior unsecured debt, issuer ratings, and (P)Aa3 senior unsecured shelf...

Currency War Series

China Crisis Series

Poor China's PMIs suggests monetary easing from PBoC likely to continue

Mar 01, 2016 10:40 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Chinas central bank announced on Monday it would cut banks reserve requirement ratio, allowing banks to set aside fewer deposits which in turn encourages them to lend more. The unexpected move came one day ahead of the...

China Crisis Series

China’s subdued PMIs continue to signal weak underlying growth in Q1 and onwards

Mar 01, 2016 10:05 am UTC| Commentary

Chinas February NBS manufacturing PMI declined to 49, extending a seven-month contraction and reaching a seven-year low. The drop in PMI was mainly due to weakening of new orders, which dropped to 48.6 from 49.5, and...

China Crisis Series

Renminbi Series

Renminbi series: China takes up stems to curb outflow

Feb 29, 2016 10:20 am UTC| Commentary Economy

China has taken up steps, which are no reforms, rather anti-reform to break the backbone of fear surrounding its currency depreciation. Reform seeking China is once again back to the trinity table. Government probably...