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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: RBA minutes hint on steady rates to monitor inflation - Deploy Diagonal Credit Put Spreads to monitor AUD/USD swings

Nov 15, 2016 09:23 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

The minutes from the November Board meeting were broadly consistent with the narrative from the recent Statement on Monetary Policy, as expected. The RBA continues to monitor the risks around the labor market, housing...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: AUD/USD ATM IVs screaming off as RBA minutes hint on steady cash rates on inflationary front – Reminiscences of vega puts on spiking IVs

Nov 15, 2016 07:46 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

In the minutes of the November board meeting, there was a similar sense of optimism that was presented in earlier RBA commentary. They did not appear to add a significant amount of new insight into RBA...

Moody's revises outlook on Oman's banking system to stable from negative

Nov 15, 2016 02:21 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service has revised its outlook for Omans banking system to stable from negative. The stable outlook reflects Moodys expectation that Omani banks credit profiles will remain broadly stable over the outlook...

FxWirePro: Defensive themes of EURO, 6m vols to intensify on Europe elections

Nov 14, 2016 14:08 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Europe faces one constitutional referendum (Italy in December) and three to four national elections next year: Netherlands in March, France in April/May, Germany by October and possibly Italy. There are good reasons to...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Russian Ruble on competitive edge over Turkish Lira under Trump’s presidency – 2m Call spreads to arrest further upside risks in USD/TRY

Nov 14, 2016 14:01 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

RUB is often highlighted as a beneficiary of a potentially more amiable foreign policy stance towards Russia under Trump. Although clarity on this will not likely be forthcoming for months to come, RUBs fundamental...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: DXY likely to hit 100 mark on Trumps economic advisory - USD/Asian pairs seem most conducive for 1x2 ratio call spreads

Nov 14, 2016 11:07 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Much manifestation, not much lucidity: A few days to reflect on the possible implications of a Trump Presidency for the US, the rest of the world and the European political landscape hasnt really done much to fill in the...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: BRL, RUB and ZAR among BRICS crosses under-scanner for bearish hedging

Nov 14, 2016 10:42 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Before we begin with this write-up, we urge you to glance through BRICS currencies against thedollar; you notice a massive depreciation in BRICS pair from last 3-4 days to trade 4-weeks highs. EM currency performance...

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Economy

Nigerians throw naira notes around to show love: but it could land you in jail

The legal implication of physically damaging the naira, Nigerias currency, came into focus recently with the prosecution of at least two celebrities by the countrys Economic and Financial Crimes Commission. Nigeria has a...

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Politics

Sudan’s civil war is rooted in its historical favouritism of Arab and Islamic identity

The current civil war in Sudan goes beyond a simple power struggle between two generals. It reflects a deep-rooted crisis within the countrys governing structure thats been present since it gained independence from the...

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

The politics stopping the UK from opening a youth mobility scheme with Europe

Earlier this week, it seemed possible that young people in the UK might soon be able to travel freely to work and live in Europe again. The European Commission laid out proposals to open mobility to millions of 18- to...

Biden administration tells employers to stop shackling workers with ‘noncompete agreements’

Most American workers are hired at will: Employers owe their employees nothing in the relationship except earned wages, and employees are at liberty to quit at their option. As the rule is generally stated, either party...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Technology

Grayscale's Ethereum ETF Twist: Withdraws Application Days Before SEC Verdict

In a dramatic turn of events, Grayscale shocked the cryptocurrency community by retracting its application for an Ethereum futures exchange-traded fund just days before the SECs looming decision deadline. This cast doubt...

Tesla Cybertruck Incident: Owner's Finger Injury Raises Safety Alarms

In a risky demonstration gone wrong, a Cybertruck owners attempt to prove its safety features backfired, resulting in a finger injury and stirring debates about the vehicles design and safety algorithms. Unexpected...

US Revokes Intel, Qualcomm Licenses Amidst Chip Sales Restrictions on Huawei

In a significant escalation of trade restrictions, the United States has revoked licenses from leading semiconductor manufacturers Intel Corp. and Qualcomm Inc., obstructing Huawei Technologies Co.s access to vital chip...

Binance CEO Discloses $150 Million Bribe Amidst Tensions with Nigerian Government

Binance, the renowned cryptocurrency exchange, disclosed that Nigerian government authorities demanded a staggering $150 million in bribes to quell legal actions against its executives, igniting a fierce dispute between...

Hong Kong Central Bank Leads Initiative to Explore Asset Tokenization Advancements

The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) has spearheaded the formation of a specialized community to explore asset tokenization. Partnering with various industry players and regulators, this initiative seeks to drive...