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FxWirePro: GBP/USD risk reversals and skews signal shift in hedging sentiments, but IVs still tepid - Options straps to deal with truths and myths

Nov 20, 2017 12:38 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

1992 saw EURGBP, inferred from GBP/DEM, rise from around 0.70 to 0.86 in 1993. GBPUSD fell from 2.01 to a low at 1.41. The pounds fall since early 2015 has seen EURGBP rise from 0.6936 to the August highs of 0.93, in the...

FxWirePro: Ruble goes off-track with crude and configures in high-beta EMFX space

Nov 20, 2017 11:44 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Large gyrations in heavily positioned in high-beta EM FX continued to dominate price action in options markets for another week, but not much of note transpired elsewhere in an otherwise quiet week RUB implied vols...

FxWirePro: A run through on Brent delta-butterflies as to why does smile curve appeal call yields

Nov 20, 2017 10:47 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Crude oil markets are growing nervous, days before OPEC is due to meet in Vienna on 30 November. Front-month prices on ICE Brent are currently retracing around $62.37, down $2.23 from the November highs and putting a pause...

FxWirePro: What’s cooking in commodity-currency bloc?

Nov 20, 2017 09:25 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Instead of policy news, the more notable development this week was the sharp acceleration in the ongoing oil price rally, which puts a spotlight on not only a large and growing deviation between oil prices and petro FX but...

FxWirePro: Stay short in USD/JPY by bidding 2m IV skews and RRs but with dubious eyes

Nov 20, 2017 08:02 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

With little new information at hand, we keep our trade recommendations unchanged. The dollar has lost its upward momentum as select high profile drivers of support stalled. However, cyclical conditions are still strong in...

FxWirePro: Achieve optimized hedging objective for EUR/CAD via call ladder to sync with trend, skews and IV

Nov 20, 2017 07:19 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

EURCAD, on a broader perspective, has been drifting in the range between 1.5258 - 1.4442 from the last couple of months. Last month, we witnessed stern bullish rallies but for now, the trend is foreseen to hover in the...

FxWirePro: Combinations of call option and duration trades to participate in fragile TRY

Nov 17, 2017 12:41 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The weakness in Turkish assets accelerated over the past week. The lira has weakened by around 2% against the US dollar since the start of November, underperforming other EM currencies (refer above chart). The...

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Economy

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Inflation is slowly falling, while student debt is climbing: 6 graphs that explain today’s CPI

Australias inflation rate has fallen for the fifth successive quarter, and its now less than half of what it was back in late 2022. The annual rate peaked at 7.8% in the December quarter of 2022 and is now just 3.6%, in...

Extraordinary Vietnam fraud case exposes the inherent vulnerabilities of banks

The financial crisis of 2008 showed just how much the world depends on banks being well run. Since then, regulators have been given new powers to keep some of the biggest institutions on a much shorter leash to stamp out...

Politics

US Urges China, Russia to Reject AI Control in Nuclear Arms, Align with Global Norms

Paul Dean, a senior U.S. arms control official, emphasized the critical need for China and Russia to join the U.S. in declaring that humans will always decide on the deployment of nuclear weapons, not artificial...

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

History for sale: what does South Africa’s struggle heritage mean after 30 years of democracy?

One of my favourite statues is the one of Nelson Mandela at the Sandton City shopping centre in Johannesburg. Larger than life, its oversized bronze shoes shimmer in the evening light, polished by the hands of many...

Sudan: civil war stretches into a second year with no end in sight

In the early hours of April 15 2023, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) a Sudanese paramilitary force attacked the military airstrip in the town of Merowe and deployed troops across strategic locations in Sudans capital,...

Military conscription is returning to Europe, but is it really a more equal way of mobilising? What history tells us

The idea that conscription, defined as the compulsory enlistment of citizens for military service, can increase equality and instil a sense of solidarity that transcends traditional societal divides has echoed throughout...

Science

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

Technology

Solana's Future Anchored in Four Key Pillars, Developer Outlines Strategy

Vibhu Norby, CEO of Drip Haus, has outlined four essential pillars to define Solanas path forward amid a dynamic period of growth and challenges in the blockchain space. Key Strategies for Solanas Scaling and User...

Shiba Inu Magazine Details Upcoming Shibarium Hard Fork Enhancements

Shiba Inu (SHIB) lovers will get a full description of the highly anticipated Shibarium hard fork in the most recent issue of The Shib magazine. On International Workers Day, the magazine begins with a rallying cry for the...

2025 Sees SK hynix's HBM Chips Fully Booked Amidst AI Surge

SK hynix, a key player in the artificial intelligence (AI) services sector, made a significant announcement on Thursday. HBM Sales Reflect SK hynixs Market Leadership Its high-bandwidth memory (HBM) processors,...

Bitcoin Price May Consolidate for Two Months Post-Halving, Says Bitfinex

As the cryptocurrency market adjusts to the latest Bitcoin halving, analysts from Bitfinex forecast a price consolidation period of up to two months, with significant price fluctuations expected within this...

Former PayPal President Predicts Bitcoin as AI's Future Currency

Amid fluctuating prices, former PayPal President David Marcus champions Bitcoin as the native currency of AI at the Bitcoin for Corporations 2024 event, rekindling interest and optimism in the cryptocurrencys long-term...