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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: What drives laggards of EMFX carry trades?

Aug 02, 2017 11:32 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We reiterate our bullish view on EMFX, and mark-to-market our forecasts to preserve outperformance relative to the forwards and consensus. In our Year Ahead Outlook, we projected that the bottom in EM FX would be in Q1. We...

FxWirePro: Implied thought on implied vols and trade ideas

Aug 02, 2017 08:36 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

A lot of what we had expected has come to fruition so far in 2017, even if we had not expected the sheer magnitude of the depression in equity volatility, which continues to be the single most salient feature of volatility...

FxWirePro: Diagonal Credit Put Spreads for NZD/USD 1m3m skews

Aug 02, 2017 07:50 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

After a disappointing GDT auction, attention will shift to the 2Q labor report with consensus looking for +0.7% QoQ employment and 4.8% unemployment (WBC 4.9%). The lack of wage growth is a global phenomenon and so wage...

FxWirePro: NZD/USD bullish and bearish perspectives and swap rates

Aug 02, 2017 07:47 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The spot NZDUSD prices seem to be fragile to correcting further towards 0.7400 for the day. Medium term perspectives: Stretched technical indicators and stretched long positioning argue for a decent downward correction,...

FxWirePro: USD/NOK risk reversals seem worthy than euro crosses

Aug 01, 2017 13:08 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

For those eyeing cheap optionality to protect returns against an abrupt Euro reversal, USDNOK risk reversals are worth keeping an eye on. NOK has been helped by higher oil prices, but HUF, PLN, and even GBP have...

FxWirePro: Dual strong thematic but defensive trade ideas in cross assets via variance swap spreads

Aug 01, 2017 12:52 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We have suggested two cross-asset variance swap spread trades since the note, and there are important lessons that we have learned in a low-vol environment. As these trades are most likely to be used for carry in a low-vol...

FxWirePro: Cheap valuations available in CEEMEA FX pool

Aug 01, 2017 11:40 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

In EM, keep structural long in ILS vs a 50:50 EUR:USD basket and stay short EURCZK. We are bullish the koruna and expect the currency to trend appreciate over the coming months. Long ILS vs a 50:50 EUR:USD basket for a...

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Economy

Net zero is not just good science – it’s also a good deal for ordinary people

As the UK moves into a general election, a misinformed debate over the countrys climate transition and legally binding net zero targets risks further dividing people. Much of this debate in the UK focuses on the cost of...

The UK has a growing food black market – and it’s making the cost of living crisis worse

The UK food sector has faced its fair share of challenges, and issues around supply are not uncommon. In the year to January 2024, overall food prices rose by 7%. To compound this, last year, the UKs Competition and...

Why do we need a Net Zero Economy Authority? And how can it fulfil its promise?

To support its climate agenda, the Albanese government is building new institutions. One of the most important will be the Net Zero Economy Authority. The proposed laws to create this authority are currently before the...

African countries could unlock billions in local and global trade – what’s working and what’s not

Africas share of global trade remains disproportionately small, hovering around 2%-3%. Countries on the continent trade more with the rest of the world than they do among themselves. Africa needs to improve its share of...

Race still divides South Africa – study shows little transformation in new suburbs in country’s economic hub

As South Africa reflects on 30 years of democracy, its important to ask whether its cities have changed for the better when it comes to racial mixing. During apartheid, South Africas residential development was...

Politics

Trump’s lawyers in lawsuits claiming he won in 2020 are getting punished for abusing courts and making unsupported claims and false statements

Over the past four years, U.S. courts and state bar associations have taken action to protect the integrity of the U.S. judicial system by penalizing attorneys who filed meritless lawsuits claiming without evidence that...

Election 2024: polling shows voters don’t believe the tax pledges

The two main parties contesting the UK general election have been unusually cautious on their spending plans, despite urgent calls for more public funding to tackle crises in housing, social care and the...

Wisconsin is a key swing state this year – and has a history of being unpredictable

Voters in Wisconsin now considered a critical swing state ahead of the 2024 presidential election may be among the most unpredictable in the nation. Although former President Barack Obama carried the state in the 2008...

TSMC Weighed Leaving Taiwan Amid China Tensions, Deemed Move Infeasible

TSMC disclosed it had considered relocating its chip factories from Taiwan amid escalating China tensions but decided the move was impractical. TSMCs Relocation Discussions Tensions between Taiwan and China have been...

Mexico: Sheinbaum faces uphill task to buck the trend and curtail spiralling violence

Mexico has reached a political milestone. According to a quick count by the countrys electoral commission, Mexican voters have just elected their first female president. In a society that has long treated its women...

Science

Eye exercises to improve sight – is there any science behind them? An ophthalmologist explains why you shouldn’t buy the hype

You may have seen advertisements claiming to eliminate the need for eyeglasses through vision therapy or vision training basically, eye exercises. These exercises include putting pressure on or palming the eye; eye...

The universe’s biggest explosions made some of the elements we are composed of. But there’s another mystery source out there

After its birth in the Big Bang, the universe consisted mainly of hydrogen and a few helium atoms. These are the lightest elements in the periodic table. More-or-less all elements heavier than helium were produced in the...

Engineering cells to broadcast their behavior can help scientists study their inner workings

Waves are ubiquitous in nature and technology. Whether its the rise and fall of ocean tides or the swinging of a clocks pendulum, the predictable rhythms of waves create a signal that is easy to track and distinguish from...

If an asteroid hit Earth and all the humans died, would the dinosaurs come back?

Many, many years ago dinosaurs roamed the Earth. Six-year-old Aga knows that a meteorite wiped them out… but could another meteorite bring them back? You can read a print version of this story...

Ancient DNA from an extinct native duck reveals how far birds flew to make New Zealand home

Ask a bird lover if they have heard of the extinct giant moa or its ancient predator, Haasts eagle, and the answer will likely be yes. The same cant be said of New Zealands extinct, but equally unique, mergansers a group...

Technology

Shiba Inu Burn Rate Jumps 3010%; 232M SHIB Tokens Reduced from Circulation

Shiba Inu (SHIB) token burn rate surged by 3010% on June 12, resulting in 232 million tokens being burned, a notable rise during the market downturn. Unprecedented SHIB Burn Rate Increase The Shiba Inu (SHIB) meme...

Critical Week Ahead: SEC to Comment on Ethereum ETF S-1 Filings

The Ethereum ETF is at a pivotal moment this week as the SEC prepares to respond to S-1 filings, potentially shaping the future of Ethereum-based investment products. Crypto Market Awaits SECs Critical Decision on...

Shiba Inu (SHIB) ETF Petition Surpasses 10,500 Signatures, Gains Momentum

A Change.org petition advocating for a Shiba Inu (SHIB) Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) has surpassed 10,500 signatures, highlighting strong community support for expanding cryptocurrency investment options. Petition for...

How Apple's Latest Event Disrupted AI-Linked Tokens and Shook the Crypto Market

Apples annual developer event led to a sharp decline in AI-linked cryptocurrencies, highlighting the intricate relationship between traditional technology and the crypto market. Apples ChatGPT Integration Sparks Decline...

Whale Bags 600 Billion Shiba Inu Coin from Robinhood, Fueling Optimism for Price Rally

A whale recently acquired 600 billion Shiba Inu coins from Robinhood, stirring market optimism for a price rally despite SHIBs recent sluggish performance. SHIB Purchase from Robinhood Fuels Optimism Amid Market...