BoE growth and inflation downgrades push out expectation of MPC rate hike
Nov 06, 2015 18:13 pm UTC| Commentary
In contrast to recent Fed pronouncements, the "Super Thursday" output from the MPC, in particular the November Inflation Report, struck a decidedly more dovish tone over the near term with downgrades to Bank staff...
Strong payroll report makes December even more "live"
Nov 06, 2015 16:22 pm UTC| Commentary
Non-farm payrolls increased by 271k in October, well above expectations for a 185k gain. Revisions to the previous two months added 12k to the tally. Private payrolls rose by 268k, also above consensus by a wide margin....
First Fed hike in December due to very strong job report
Nov 06, 2015 16:20 pm UTC| Commentary
Todays labour market report was very strong and, therefore, economists now expect the Fed to deliver a 25bp rate hike at the December meeting. The market now prices close to 85% probability of a hike in December depending...
Strong jobs report to recent highs bolsters economic outlook
Nov 06, 2015 16:00 pm UTC| Commentary
The non-farm payroll report released today showed employment taking huge steps in October and setting recent year highs in nearly every category. The labor market added 271K jobs while unemployment dipped to 5 percent,...
US Job reports all but cements a December liftoff
Nov 06, 2015 15:49 pm UTC| Commentary
Todays figures suggest that the labor market is back on track after a short pause which was probably induced by the Feds excessive focus on international developments following the September FOMC meeting. "We believe that...
A strong US job report clears the way for rate hike
Nov 06, 2015 15:40 pm UTC| Commentary
US employment re-accelerated in October after a two-month long lull. Nonfarm payrolls increased +271k, way above market expectations. The unemployment rate dropped to 5.0%. Especially encouraging from the Feds point of...
Canadian employment jumps 44K in October, thanks to election
Nov 06, 2015 15:32 pm UTC| Commentary
Employment jumped up sizeable 44K in October, thanks to hiring related to the Federal election. Job gains outpaced growth in the labour force, taking the unemployment rate down one tick to 7.0%. Public administration...