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FxWirePro: Bearish/Bullish Driving Forces of GBPJPY, OTC Updates And Hedging Perspectives Ahead of UK PMIs And BoJ MPS

Apr 21, 2020 09:07 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Bearish GBPJPY Scenarios: 1) The UK-EU fail to agree on a trade deal and the UK exits the transition period on WTO terms (GBPUSD to 1.20, potentially 1.10). 2) The economic lockdown is extended into June, delaying...

FxWirePro: CBR’s Cushions Ruble Momentarily Through FX Reserve – Uphold USD/RUB Options Positions

Apr 20, 2020 14:25 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

CBR governor Elvira Nabiullina held a press conference last Friday, where she de facto confirmed that the central bank was ready to resume cutting rates. This is significant because CBR had paused rate cuts last month...

FxWIrePro: EUR/JPY Hedging Strategies Ahead of EU Summit And BoJ Monetary Policy

Apr 20, 2020 10:36 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Today, the measures to combat the coronavirus in Germany will be eased for the first time. Further steps in this direction should follow. This will also shift the focus on the markets away from the extent of the slump...

FxWirePro: Turkish Lira On Verge Of Retesting All-Time Lows Despite CBT Intervention – Uphold USD/TRY Debit Call Spreads

Apr 17, 2020 13:09 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

USDTRY has been edging ever closer to the 7.00 mark as predicted in our recent post despite the central bank combatting the trend using indirect FX interventions. CBTs own FX reserves have fallen to a low c.$27bn in net...

FxWirePro: Is Sterling Disregarding Stimulus From BoE And UK Govt? Reactivation of GBP/USD Shorts

Apr 17, 2020 08:56 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Economy Insights & Views

Short GBPUSD is the preferred candidate to raise our long USD, defensive exposure once again after the rounds of profit-takes of recent weeks. As evident from the above diagram, cable has retraced from its lows more...

FxWirePro: India To Roll-Out NDFs For INR As RBI Intervenes Offshore Market

Apr 15, 2020 13:04 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) should be given some credit in exploring new avenues to manage the currency and market volatility. In the emergency meeting two weeks ago on 27-March, RBI slashed rates by 75bp to 4.40% and...

FxWirePro: How Does BoC’s Expansionary Monetary Policy Measures Approach Covid-19 Pandemic? Glance At CAD’s Options Trades

Apr 15, 2020 11:48 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Following rate cuts amounting to a total of 150bp in March (from 1.75% to 0.25%) and numerous other measures to ease refinancing for the banking and economic system the Bank of Canada (BoC) is likely to keep its key rate...

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Economy

India Budget 2026: Modi Government Eyes Reforms Amid Global Uncertainty and Fiscal Pressures

Indias central government is set to present its annual budget on Sunday, a closely watched event as Prime Minister Narendra Modis administration seeks to accelerate domestic reforms while navigating rising global...

China Home Prices Rise in January as Government Signals Stronger Support for Property Market

Average prices of new homes across 100 major Chinese cities recorded an increase in January, while price declines in the secondary housing market continued to narrow, according to a private survey. The data suggests early...

South Korea Exports Surge in January on AI Chip Demand, Marking Fastest Growth in 4.5 Years

South Koreas exports recorded a strong start to the year, rising for an eighth consecutive month in January and posting their fastest growth in four and a half years, driven largely by booming global demand for AI servers...

Russia Stocks End Flat as MOEX Closes Unchanged Amid Mixed Global Signals

Russian stocks finished Saturdays trading session slightly lower overall, with the benchmark MOEX Russia Index closing unchanged at 0.00% in Moscow. Market sentiment remained cautious as investors weighed mixed...

China Factory Activity Slips in January as Weak Demand Weighs on Growth Outlook

Chinas factory activity contracted at the start of the year, highlighting persistent pressure from weak domestic demand despite continued policy support from Beijing. An official survey released on Saturday showed that...

Politics

Trump Says Fed Pick Kevin Warsh Could Win Democratic Support in Senate Confirmation

U.S. President Donald Trump has expressed confidence that his nominee to lead the Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh, could secure votes from Senate Democrats during what is expected to be a closely watched and potentially...

Christian Menefee Wins Texas Special Election, Narrowing GOP House Majority

Democrat Christian Menefee has won a Texas special election for the U.S. House of Representatives, according to the Associated Press, a result that further tightens Republicans slim majority in the chamber. Menefees...

Trump’s Iraq Envoy Mark Savaya Ousted Amid U.S.-Iraq Tensions Over Iran Influence

Mark Savaya, who was named by U.S. President Donald Trump as special envoy for Iraq in October, is no longer serving in that role, according to multiple sources familiar with the decision. The reported removal comes at a...

Keir Starmer Urges Prince Andrew to Testify in U.S. Epstein Investigation

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer has called for former Prince Andrew to testify before a U.S. congressional committee following new revelations about his long-standing links to disgraced financier and convicted sex...

U.S. Government Enters Brief Shutdown as Congress Delays Funding Deal

The U.S. government entered a partial shutdown early Saturday after Congress failed to finalize a funding agreement before a midnight deadline, temporarily halting a range of federal operations. The shutdown officially...

Science

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Technology

Elon Musk’s Empire: SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI Merger Talks Spark Investor Debate

Speculation around a potential Musk Inc has resurfaced as Elon Musks companiesSpaceX, Tesla, and xAIexplore closer ties amid rapid advances in artificial intelligence and automation. With SpaceX expected to go public later...

SpaceX Reports $8 Billion Profit as IPO Plans and Starlink Growth Fuel Valuation Buzz

SpaceX delivered a strong financial performance last year, generating an estimated $8 billion in profit on revenues between $15 billion and $16 billion, according to people familiar with the companys results. The figures,...

SpaceX Updates Starlink Privacy Policy to Allow AI Training as xAI Merger Talks and IPO Loom

SpaceX has revised its Starlink privacy policy to allow customer data to be used for artificial intelligence training, a move that could significantly support Elon Musks broader AI ambitions. The policy change comes as...

Nvidia’s $100 Billion OpenAI Investment Faces Internal Doubts, Report Says

Nvidias ambitious plan to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI, aimed at supporting the training and operation of next-generation artificial intelligence models, has reportedly hit a roadblock. According to a report...

Federal Judge Signals Possible Dismissal of xAI Lawsuit Against OpenAI

A U.S. federal judge has signaled she may dismiss a high-profile lawsuit filed by Elon Musks artificial intelligence startup, xAI, against rival OpenAI, dealing a potential setback to Musk in an escalating legal battle...
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