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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: FED assertive, AUD FX OTC adamantly bearish and AUD/USD major downtrend remains intact – PRBS back in action

Dec 23, 2016 11:20 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The momentum remains negative, the next target 0.7145 (May low). AUDUSD 1-3 month:Foresee potential below 0.7200 up to 0.70 levels. The US dollar has had an impressive rise since the US election and has apotential to...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

Fed Hike Aftermath Series: Market not convinced of three rate hikes in 2017

Dec 23, 2016 10:57 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

In its last monetary policy forecast, the Federal reserve has projected three rate hikes in 2017 but that is quite an upgrade given the facts that the FED has raised rates only twice over the past two years. In both 2015...

Central Banking Series

ECB's Weidmann says bank shouldn't delay hike rates

Dec 22, 2016 14:58 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

ECBs governing council member and Bundesbank Chief Jens Weidmann called for the central bank to prevent undue delays in hiking rates. In an interview in German WIWO, Weidmann noted that the central bank shouldnt leave it...

Chart of the Day Series

Chart of the Day: EONIA forward

Dec 22, 2016 14:45 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Euro Overnight Index Average, popularly known as EONIA steepened after US election. Back in September, EONIA was pricing the ECB rate to remain below zero till 2022, but in December it is pricing a zero rate until...

Central Banking Series

Weidman worries inflation; calls for ECB to not to fear hikes

Dec 22, 2016 13:37 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

According to the German Bundesbank chief Jens Weidman, the European Central Bank (ECB) is running the risk of keeping monetary policy too loose in the face of higher inflation. Mr. Weidman, who voted against additional...

BoT likely to remain on hold through 2017, growth prospects remain muted

Dec 22, 2016 12:27 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The Bank of Thailand (BoT) is expected to remain on hold through 2017. As widely expected, the central bank left rates unchanged at 1.5 percent for the 13th straight meeting Wednesday. The economy faces increasing downside...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Can BRL withstand BCB’s 50 bps cuts? Shorting USD/BRL gamma in calendar spreads to answer

Dec 22, 2016 11:56 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

This write up is to emphasize BRLs exposures and keep it safe with optimal hedging vehicles amid intensifying speculation of Brazilian central banks rate cuts. How will monetary policy in Brazil develop next year? It...

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Economy

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Why is the London Stock Exchange losing out to the US

London Stock Exchange (LSE), which can trace its heritage to the coffee houses of the 17th century, is failing. The volume of shares traded is sharply declining, and some UK companies are swiftly moving to the US...

Why Germany ditched nuclear before coal – and why it won’t go back

One year ago, Germany took its last three nuclear power stations offline. When it comes to energy, few events have baffled outsiders more. In the face of climate change, calls to expedite the transition away from fossil...

Politics

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

History for sale: what does South Africa’s struggle heritage mean after 30 years of democracy?

One of my favourite statues is the one of Nelson Mandela at the Sandton City shopping centre in Johannesburg. Larger than life, its oversized bronze shoes shimmer in the evening light, polished by the hands of many...

Sudan: civil war stretches into a second year with no end in sight

In the early hours of April 15 2023, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) a Sudanese paramilitary force attacked the military airstrip in the town of Merowe and deployed troops across strategic locations in Sudans capital,...

Joe Biden Proposes Record 44.6% Capital Gains Tax in Latest Budget Plan That May Favor Cryptocurrencies

President Joe Biden has proposed raising the capital gains tax to an unprecedented 44.6% in a bold fiscal move, targeting the wealthiest Americans. This hike is part of his 2025 budget proposal to reduce income...

Turkey’s suppression of the Kurdish political movement continues to fuel a deadly armed conflict

The world has 91 democracies and 88 autocracies. Yet 71% of the worlds population (some 5.7 billion people) are living under autocratic rule, a big jump from 48% ten years ago. This trend towards authoritarianism can...

Science

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

Technology

Musk Engages China: Baidu’s Data Deal and High-Stakes Hotel Meet with CATL

Tesla CEO Elon Musk is making headlines with a double play in China: securing critical navigation data from Baidu and engaging in strategic talks with CATL. These moves underline Teslas push to lead in global tech and...

Elon Musk Injects $10 Billion Into Tesla AI, Eyes Autonomous Robotaxi

Elon Musk has declared a monumental $10 billion investment in Teslas artificial intelligence, setting the stage for advanced autonomous driving and a potential Robotaxi service. Tesla to Invest $10 Billion in AI for...

OpenAI and Worldcoin Eye Strategic Partnership Amid Regulatory Gaze

Amid escalating regulatory scrutiny, OpenAI, led by Sam Altman, is reportedly discussing a potential partnership with Worldcoin, another venture Altman co-founded. As detailed by Bloomberg, these talks could lead to...

Traders Forecast Best Altseason Since 2017 as Bitcoin Momentum Cools

As Bitcoin stabilizes above $64,000, traders forecast a burgeoning altcoin market that may mirror the explosive growth last seen in 2017. Bitcoin Rebounds Over Weekend, Traders Anticipate Potential Altcoin...
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