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Thu, May 02, 2024 01:11 AM All times are UTC

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FxWirePro: Hunt for relative betas in Fed hiking cycle - Buy ATMF straddle 3Mx5Y versus 3Mx30Y volatility

Mar 10, 2017 13:09 pm UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

Although the Fed hiking is expected to drive price action, with a March hike now essentially priced in, speculation regarding the near-term pace of tightening is likely to take center stage. Along those lines, our...

ECB keeps policy unchanged, acknowledges improvement in eurozone's economic and inflation situation

Mar 10, 2017 11:59 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks Economy

The European Central Bank (ECB) kept interest rates unchanged, including its 2.3 trillion bond-buying program but presented a brighter view of the eurozone economy. ECB president Mario Draghi sounded more upbeat about the...

FxWirePro: Volatility relative to 10y tails assuming next Fed hike odds

Mar 10, 2017 11:48 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Although the March meeting ended last week a roughly 1:4 shot for a hike, a range of FOMC members and the Chair herself pushed it to fully priced by this Thursday. With March fully priced, markets should turn to focus...

FxWirePro: AUD/USD OTC sentiments for bearish risks remain intact but IVs mounting higher on assertive Fed

Mar 10, 2017 07:06 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

AUDUSDs negative momentum remains strong, the 0.7500 area vulnerable to giving way. All eyes will be on the US payrolls data tonight, markets believing it would take a major disappointment to dent the likelihood of a Fed...

Central Banking Series

BoE likely to maintain 'neutral' policy stance, Bank Rate at 0.25 pct: Danske Bank

Mar 10, 2017 07:01 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The Bank of England (BoE) is expected to maintain its neutral policy stance at the monetary policy meeting, scheduled to be held on March 16. Further, the central bank is also expected to hold its Bank Rate at 0.25 percent...

PBoC to continue shift towards gradual tightening, inflation unlikely to be a near-term driver

Mar 09, 2017 12:23 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

Chinas CPI inflation for February surprised sharply on the downside, falling to 0.8 percent from a year earlier, data released by the National Bureau of Statistics showed Thursday. CPI fell short of expectations for a rise...

FxWirePro: UST’s downside risks from hawkish Fed but low-cost hedges on political risks

Mar 09, 2017 12:02 pm UTC| Central Banks

This week saw a significant shift in Fed rhetoric, seemingly on growing concerns over an overshoot of full employment, leading markets to price in a significantly higher probability of a hike in the next meeting in March...

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Economy

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Inflation is slowly falling, while student debt is climbing: 6 graphs that explain today’s CPI

Australias inflation rate has fallen for the fifth successive quarter, and its now less than half of what it was back in late 2022. The annual rate peaked at 7.8% in the December quarter of 2022 and is now just 3.6%, in...

The Mattei Plan: why Giorgia Meloni is looking to Africa

Since coming to power, Giorgia Melonis government has been remarkably orthodox in its foreign policy. Unwavering support for Ukraine, loyalty to the Atlantic Alliance and full participation in the European Union - these...

Politics

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

History for sale: what does South Africa’s struggle heritage mean after 30 years of democracy?

One of my favourite statues is the one of Nelson Mandela at the Sandton City shopping centre in Johannesburg. Larger than life, its oversized bronze shoes shimmer in the evening light, polished by the hands of many...

Sudan: civil war stretches into a second year with no end in sight

In the early hours of April 15 2023, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) a Sudanese paramilitary force attacked the military airstrip in the town of Merowe and deployed troops across strategic locations in Sudans capital,...

Military conscription is returning to Europe, but is it really a more equal way of mobilising? What history tells us

The idea that conscription, defined as the compulsory enlistment of citizens for military service, can increase equality and instil a sense of solidarity that transcends traditional societal divides has echoed throughout...

The 50th anniversary of Portugal’s Carnation Revolution

Across Portugal, a number of photography exhibitions are currently on display that commemorate the ousting of the Estado Novo, the dictatorial, authoritarian and corporatist political regime that had ruled the country...

Science

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

Technology

Analyst Sees Shiba Inu Hitting $0.00007 Despite Major Token Dump

A Shiba Inu whale recently dumped massive SHIB tokens on Coinbase, one of the worlds top cryptocurrency exchanges. The enormous volume of SHIB offloaded quickly sparked a gloomy feeling among crypto market aficionados...

Casio Joins NFT Trend with Astar zkEVM, Unveils Anniversary Collection

Casio, one of the worlds leading watch companies, has joined the battle for non-fungible tokens (NFTs) in partnership with Astars zero-knowledge Ethereum Virtual Machine. The Casio watch NFTs will go online on May...

Tron's Justin Sun Boosts Dogecoin, Shiba Inu at Token 2049 Conference

At the Token 2049 conference, Tron founder Justin Sun endorsed popular meme coins like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu, emphasizing their pivotal distinction from traditional finance and celebrating their community-driven...

Bitcoin Dips 11% Post-Halving: Unexpected Decline Shocks Investors

Bitcoins price has unexpectedly fallen by 11% since the halving on April 20, stirring concerns among investors hoping for a post-halving surge. According to CoinGecko, Bitcoin dropped below $57,000 on May...

South Korea Pledges 5-Year Boost in Console Gaming Market Share

With an eye toward reducing dependence on mobile platforms, South Koreas government laid out a five-year plan Wednesday to bolster its console gaming sector, which currently represents a mere 1.5% of the global...