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Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over next 12 months

Jan 02, 2018 05:40 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC increased interest rates again in December for the third and projected three more hikes in 2018. However, debates among policymakers are growing over hikes as inflation remains low. Charles Evans joined Neel Kashkari...

FxWirePro: ECB to continue corporate bonds purchase this year; QE unlikely to pause suddenly in September

Jan 02, 2018 05:39 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue its purchase of corporate bonds through this year and the quantitative easing (QE) program is unlikely to witness any sudden pause in September. GDP growth...

FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 2nd January 2018

Jan 02, 2018 03:57 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Not many economic data and events scheduled for today, and all with low to medium volatility risks associated. Data released so far: China: Caixin manufacturing PMI rose to 51.7 in...

FxWirePro: BoE and phase II Brexit negotiation to cause sterling vulnerability again, loonie looks robust – Bid 3m GBP/CAD skews and deploy 3-way straddles

Dec 29, 2017 12:02 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The BoE has reversed the pre-emptive interest rate cut after the Brexit referendum in 2017. However, as this does not mark the start of a hiking cycle, monetary policy will no longer give any momentum. Even if it...

ECB likely to change its monetary policy tune in 2018, says CIBC Capital Markets

Dec 29, 2017 10:09 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to change its monetary policy tune going into 2018, according to a recent report from CIBC Capital Markets. Political turmoil is heating up in a number of Eurozone countries....

FxWirePro: CAD vols to construct easy to Carry RV structures for NAFTA and BoC hedge

Dec 29, 2017 08:44 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

CAD-based implied correlations are priced well below realizeds for nearly the entire CAD-cross universe; owning CADUSD vs CADJPY corr. or a CADJPY - USDJPY vol spread is a positive carry NAFTA hedge. Notably, please be...

FxWirePro: BoC likely to clawback to follow Fed’s pace, CAD IVs least among G7 FX space – Offload CAD/JPY strips and prefer RV trades on directional influence

Dec 29, 2017 07:22 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

In loonys fair assessment, the monetary policy to be more decisive than oil prices. The oil performance has been instrumental in boosting the currency in 2017, even though the long-term picture suggests that the currency...

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Economy

Moody’s Says Peru’s President-Elect Keiko Fujimori Could Boost Investor Confidence

Moodys believes Perus President-elect Keiko Fujimori is well-positioned to strengthen investor confidence by maintaining economic policy continuity and protecting the countrys key institutions. According to the ratings...

New Zealand Consumer Confidence Rises in June as Inflation Expectations Ease

New Zealand consumer confidence improved in June as inflation expectations declined, signaling a gradual recovery in household sentiment despite overall optimism remaining below pre-oil price spike levels, according to the...

Brazil to Phase Out Gasoline Subsidy First as Diesel Support Stays Longer

Brazils government will remove its gasoline subsidy much sooner than the diesel subsidy, opting for a gradual approach to prevent disruptions in the countrys fuel market while maintaining its fiscal-neutrality goals....

Denmark Central Bank Intervenes to Support Krone Peg Against Euro

Denmarks central bank stepped into the foreign exchange market in June for the first time in more than six years to support the Danish krone after the currency weakened to its lowest level against the euro in over 25...

Gold Price Surges Above $4,120 as Weak US Jobs Data Lowers Fed Rate Hike Expectations

Gold prices rallied sharply on Thursday, with spot gold climbing more than 2% after a weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report reduced expectations for additional Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. The softer labor market...

Politics

Russia’s Deadly Kyiv Missile and Drone Attack Kills 27 as Zelensky Urges Faster Air Defense Support

Russia launched one of its largest air assaults on Ukraines capital, Kyiv, overnight, killing at least 27 people, injuring 91 others, and damaging around 130 buildings in the deadliest attack on the city this year....

Russian Attacks Kill Three in Eastern Ukraine as Civilian Casualties Mount

Russian attacks across eastern Ukraine killed at least three people on Thursday, including a seven-year-old child, while several others were injured in strikes targeting multiple regions, according to Ukrainian regional...

DHS Investigates Cyber Breach in Homeland Security Information-Sharing Network

The U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) has launched an investigation into a cybersecurity breach involving an unnamed government information-sharing network, raising fresh concerns about the security of sensitive...

Trump Accounts Now Accept Stock Donations as Treasury Launches New Child Investment Program

Individuals and businesses will soon be able to donate publicly traded stocks to Trump Accounts, the government-backed investment accounts created under President Donald Trumps landmark tax and immigration law, according...

South Korea Warns Won Is Undervalued, Boosts FX Coordination With Japan

South Korea signaled heightened vigilance over its currency market on Thursday, with Vice Finance Minister Huh Chang saying the government is maintaining close communication with Japan and other major partners on foreign...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Kioxia Bets on AI Memory Boom With Next-Gen NAND Production in Japan

Kioxia is set to mark a major milestone on Friday with a ceremony at its manufacturing facility in northern Japan as the company prepares to begin mass production of its next-generation NAND flash memory chips. The move...

OpenAI Proposes 5% U.S. Government Stake Amid AI Policy Talks

OpenAI has reportedly proposed granting the U.S. government a 5% ownership stake in the artificial intelligence company as it seeks to strengthen ties with Washington and address growing political scrutiny over the rapidly...

Apple Expands iPhone Lineup, Boosts Foldable iPhone Production Plans Through 2027

Apple is reportedly preparing one of its most ambitious iPhone product cycles in years, with plans to significantly expand its smartphone lineup through 2027 while increasing production targets for its highly anticipated...

Samsung to Invest $90 Billion in South Korea to Expand AI Chip, Display, and Battery Production

Samsung Group has unveiled a major investment plan worth 140 trillion won (approximately $90 billion) to strengthen South Koreas technology manufacturing sector, with a strong focus on artificial intelligence (AI),...

Super Micro Employees Detained in Taiwan AI Server Export Investigation

Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) said two employees at its Taiwan subsidiary have been detained pending a court hearing, while two others were released on bail after being questioned in an investigation into the alleged...